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On May 19th, Futures News reported that yesterday, market concerns about a potential new US attack on Iran caused a one-sided surge in crude oil prices. However, after Trump announced a temporary halt to the attack, oil prices plummeted, resulting in significant volatility throughout the day. Zhuochuang Information predicts that close attention should be paid to the peace talks. If no agreement is reached, the risk of a US attack will increase dramatically, leading to a surge in oil prices. Conversely, if an agreement is reached, oil prices will likely plummet, continuing the expected wide-range volatility.May 19 - According to the Ministry of Water Resources, due to rainfall, from 8:00 on May 18 to 8:00 on May 19, 16 small and medium-sized rivers, including the Caodu River and Bawang River (tributaries of the Xijiang River in Guizhou), the Xinan River (tributary of the Wujiang River), the Mawei River and Xibu River (tributaries of the Yuanjiang River), the Shiti River (tributary of the Yujiang River in Guangxi), and the Dongqing River (water system of Dongting Lake in Hubei), experienced floods exceeding warning levels. Among them, 5 small and medium-sized rivers exceeded the guaranteed water level.U.S. Coast Guard: The Coast Guard and its partners are responding to an oil spill at the Port of Alavai, Honolulu, Hawaii.On May 19th, the National Healthcare Security Administration (NHSA) announced that the 2026 National Basic Medical Insurance Drug List and the Commercial Health Insurance Innovative Drug List will be adjusted by the end of this month. This years adjustment plan includes several significant changes in application timelines, application conditions, pre-communication with reference drugs, and the connection with the commercial health insurance innovative drug list. Huang Xinyu, Director of the Medical Service Management Department of the NHSA, stated that the pre-application system is designed to provide a more flexible time window for innovative drugs to enter the lists. This year, new application conditions have been added for some drugs not currently listed in the catalogs, and drugs included in the first edition of the commercial health insurance innovative drug list last year can now participate in negotiations for the basic medical insurance drug list. Simultaneously, new application conditions have been added for some drugs not currently listed in the catalogs, and drugs included in the first edition of the commercial health insurance innovative drug list last year can now participate in negotiations for the basic medical insurance drug list.On May 19th, Ryosuke Katagi, a market economist at Mizuho Securities, stated that if geopolitical risks gradually subside and oil prices return to pre-conflict levels, Japans economic growth rate may remain close to its potential. According to data from the Bank of Japan, Japans potential growth rate is estimated to be between 0.5% and 1.0%. However, Katagi pointed out that if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed for an extended period, causing oil prices to remain above $100 per barrel, or exacerbating concerns about a shortage of petroleum products, the Japanese economy may temporarily contract. Data released on Tuesday showed that Japans real GDP grew by 0.5% quarter-on-quarter in the first quarter.

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