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On September 11, according to CBS News, US President Trump proposed a "Trump bonus" of $5,000 to every American citizen if the Republican Party retains control of the House and Senate after the midterm elections. The day after proposing the idea, when asked by reporters whether the money would require congressional approval, Trump stated, "Well, we dont think so. If they really needed it, they certainly would, but we dont think its necessary. The country is doing very well right now, and weve earned trillions of dollars through tariffs and other means. Today, the total amount of manufacturing plant construction and other investments in the United States exceeds $20 trillion, a scale far exceeding any previous period. We think this is a good thing. However, we have a condition: the money must be spent domestically—we dont want this money flowing to other countries. We think this is a very good initiative, very popular, and will inject strong momentum into the economy."U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessenter: We have the best-performing bond market in the world.US Treasury Secretary Bessenter: Sanctions will be imposed on a major bank next Monday.According to Iranian media Fars News, the Houthi rebels in Yemen launched missile attacks on positions and gathering points in the Ras al-Arah region, south of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.Conflict Situation: 1. The IAEA observed construction activities at Ghoshul in Iran but has not yet entered the tunnel complex for inspection. 2. Yemeni government military sources: Houthi rebels have arrived at the Hanish Islands in the Red Sea. 3. Trump: If Iran conducts nuclear activities at Ghoshul, we will strike it hard. 4. Azerbaijani Foreign Ministry stated that a cargo ship in the Black Sea was attacked by a drone, resulting in the deaths of two Azerbaijani citizens. 5. According to Irans Tasnim News Agency: Houthi rebels in Yemen have seized control of the Zubab region and the strategically important Zukar Island near the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. 6. According to CBS: Several US military aircraft were damaged in an attack on the Mowafak Salti airbase in Jordan. 7. Trump denied that US warplanes were damaged in an Iranian attack in Jordan. 8. The US Treasury Department website released a new round of sanctions related to Iran. 9. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Navy announced that it intercepted a US unmanned surface vessel "on a mission" at the entrance to the Strait of Hormuz. 10. An incident occurred 4 nautical miles west of Khasab in the Sea of Oman. A ship reported that two unidentified vessels nearby were hit by four unidentified projectiles; one caught fire, and the condition of the other was unknown. 11. British Maritime Authority: Unidentified flying objects hit two ships in the waters west of Oman. Strait of Hormuz 1. US President Trump: We should rename the Strait of Hormuz to "Trump Strait". 2. Houthi rebels in Yemen have seized control of the Red Sea coastal city of Muha and the strategically important Hanish Islands. 3. Houthi rebels: All ships are safe in the Red Sea, except for Saudi Arabia. 4. Iran suspends the 10% freight surcharge on foreign energy transport vessels. Other matters 1. According to the Wall Street Journal: US and Middle Eastern officials say Iran has resumed ballistic missile production using stockpiled spare parts and in underground facilities. 2. US officials say Iranian oil loadings have dropped sharply in the past week. 3. Israeli military claims to have destroyed Hezbollah underground facilities in southern Lebanon. 4. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu: (Regarding the Iranian regime and Hezbollah in Lebanon) Further actions are coming. 5. US media: The US military is increasing intelligence support to Saudi Arabia but avoiding direct combat. 6. Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi spoke with the Saudi Foreign Minister to discuss regional stability. 7. Iranian Foreign Ministry: The Iranian Foreign Minister discussed the escalation of the regional situation and security issues with the Pakistani Army Commander. 8. Saudi Civil Defense: Alerts were issued for Khamis Mushait and Abha, subsequently lifted. 9. US AI company Anthropic disclosed dangerous use cases of Claude, claiming that Iranian accounts were used to threaten US military targets.

Ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data, the XAU/USD remains sideways below $2,000, according to our Gold Price Forecast

Alina Haynes

Apr 20, 2023 13:49

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In the early European session, the Gold price (XAU / USD) is exhibiting erratic movements near $1,994.00. The precious metal is in a state of indecision as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States on Friday.

 

After violent swings influenced by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction below 102.00. The declining trend of advances to consumer and business loans by U.S. commercial banks has intensified concerns of a recession in the U.S. economy, despite the fact that economic activity in 12 Fed districts remained virtually unchanged. To prevent a decline in asset quality, banks have tightened credit disbursement requirements.

 

In the meantime, S&P futures have recorded sizeable losses during the Asian session, as investors are wary of firms' comments regarding revenue guidance. The market anticipates that constrained credit conditions will impact the working capital management of cash-reliant companies, thereby affecting their output.

 

The market expects preliminary US S&P PMI data to reveal a Manufacturing PMI reading of 49.0, a decrease from the previous reading of 49.9. The Services PMI is anticipated to decrease to 51.5 from 52.6 previously reported.