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On January 30th, at a press conference held by the Ministry of Finance, Zheng Yong, Deputy Director of the Treasury Department of the Ministry of Finance, introduced that the national general public budget revenue in 2025 will be 21.6 trillion yuan, a decrease of 1.7% compared with 2024. Among them, tax revenue increased by 0.8%, showing a steady upward trend throughout the year, reflecting the continued steady and progressive development of my countrys economy; non-tax revenue decreased by 11.3%, mainly due to the increased base caused by the one-time special revenue turned over by central units in 2024.On January 30th, Kristina Clifton, Senior Economist and Senior Currency Strategist at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia, stated that the US dollar did indeed appear to rise on this news, which she believes is because the market generally perceives Warsh to be slightly less dovish than another candidate, Hassett. Therefore, todays market fluctuations are merely minor fluctuations based on this, and Warsh may be better positioned to uphold the Feds independence than some other candidates. "We havent heard much from him yet, but he has made some comments that essentially express a desire for strict adherence to the Feds responsibility to control inflation. He has also served as a Fed governor and does not support quantitative easing, so this may again indicate that he is slightly more hawkish than some other potential candidates."Germanys export price index fell 0.1% month-on-month in December, compared with 0.2% in the previous month.Germanys export price index rose 0% year-on-year in December, compared with 0.3% in the previous month.Germanys import price index fell 2.3% year-on-year in December, compared with a forecast of -2.60% and a previous reading of -1.90%.

Ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data, the XAU/USD remains sideways below $2,000, according to our Gold Price Forecast

Alina Haynes

Apr 20, 2023 13:49

 截屏2022-08-04 下午5.25.46_1024x576.png

 

In the early European session, the Gold price (XAU / USD) is exhibiting erratic movements near $1,994.00. The precious metal is in a state of indecision as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States on Friday.

 

After violent swings influenced by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction below 102.00. The declining trend of advances to consumer and business loans by U.S. commercial banks has intensified concerns of a recession in the U.S. economy, despite the fact that economic activity in 12 Fed districts remained virtually unchanged. To prevent a decline in asset quality, banks have tightened credit disbursement requirements.

 

In the meantime, S&P futures have recorded sizeable losses during the Asian session, as investors are wary of firms' comments regarding revenue guidance. The market anticipates that constrained credit conditions will impact the working capital management of cash-reliant companies, thereby affecting their output.

 

The market expects preliminary US S&P PMI data to reveal a Manufacturing PMI reading of 49.0, a decrease from the previous reading of 49.9. The Services PMI is anticipated to decrease to 51.5 from 52.6 previously reported.


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