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September 21st - On September 20th, Germany held two local elections: one in the capital Berlin and the other in the eastern state of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania (Megrenburg-Western Po). The latest exit polls indicate that the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) is projected to win 37% of the vote in the Mecklenburg-Western Po state election; the center-left Social Democratic Party (SPD) in the ruling coalition is projected to win 35.5%; and the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), led by Chancellor Merz, is projected to win 5.5%, barely crossing the threshold to enter the state parliament—the CDUs worst performance in any state election since 1949. With other major parties refusing to cooperate, the AfDs chances of forming a government in Mecklenburg-Western Po are extremely slim. However, this far-right party has become the largest party in the state parliaments of both German states in the past two weeks. In the Berlin city council elections, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) is projected to win 20% of the vote; the Social Democratic Party (SPD) is expected to win 12%; the Alternative for Germany (AfD) is projected to win 16%, increasing its seat count; and the Left Party is projected to win 24.5%, currently leading. Germany has 16 states, and Berlin is one of three city-states. In the eastern Saxony-Anhalt state elections on September 6th, Merzs CDU suffered a crushing defeat, with its vote share plummeting to around 17%; the AfD won approximately 44% of the vote, becoming the largest party in the state.The U.S. Mission to Saudi Arabia: Due to the ongoing security situation in Saudi Arabia, all U.S. government employees working in Saudi Arabia now require special authorization to travel to the cities of Taif and Yanbu for both official and private purposes.German Chancellor Merz: We need determination, resolve, and patience; as party leader and chancellor, I am ready to do that. I take responsibility because I want to push the country forward.German Chancellor Merz: Germany must become a country that ushers in a new era. We cannot go back to the "good old days".German Chancellor Merz: Change brings challenges and new uncertainties. We need change.

Ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data, the XAU/USD remains sideways below $2,000, according to our Gold Price Forecast

Alina Haynes

Apr 20, 2023 13:49

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In the early European session, the Gold price (XAU / USD) is exhibiting erratic movements near $1,994.00. The precious metal is in a state of indecision as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States on Friday.

 

After violent swings influenced by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction below 102.00. The declining trend of advances to consumer and business loans by U.S. commercial banks has intensified concerns of a recession in the U.S. economy, despite the fact that economic activity in 12 Fed districts remained virtually unchanged. To prevent a decline in asset quality, banks have tightened credit disbursement requirements.

 

In the meantime, S&P futures have recorded sizeable losses during the Asian session, as investors are wary of firms' comments regarding revenue guidance. The market anticipates that constrained credit conditions will impact the working capital management of cash-reliant companies, thereby affecting their output.

 

The market expects preliminary US S&P PMI data to reveal a Manufacturing PMI reading of 49.0, a decrease from the previous reading of 49.9. The Services PMI is anticipated to decrease to 51.5 from 52.6 previously reported.