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July 6th - The US ISM Services PMI report showed that economic activity in the service sector continued to expand in June. The services PMI registered 54, marking the 24th consecutive month in expansion territory. Miller, chairman of the ISM Services Business Survey Committee, stated that the June services PMI was 54, down 0.5 from 54.5 in May. The business activity index remained in expansion territory, down 2.3 from 57.7 in May to 55.4. The price index fell to 67.7 in June, down 3.6 from 71.3 in May, marking the first time it has fallen below 70 since February. This index has been above 60 for 19 consecutive months, with a 12-month average of 68. Diesel, gasoline, petroleum, and related commodities were again mentioned as the commodities with the largest price increases in June, but other respondents reported price declines. This may be due to differences in contract terms between different companies for these commodities. Some respondents reported lower prices for gasoline and diesel, but this was not a widespread phenomenon. We expect this situation to continue for several months as rising oil prices are transmitted to the supply chain, but assuming continued progress in oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz in the near term, it should ease in the fall.The U.S. ISM non-manufacturing supplier deliveries index for June was 54.4, compared to 55.2 in the previous month.The U.S. ISM non-manufacturing inventory index for June was 51.2, down from 62.5 in the previous month.The U.S. Conference Board Employment Trends Index for June was 106.69, compared to 107.01 in June.The U.S. ISM non-manufacturing new orders index was 55.1 in June, compared with 57.3 in the previous month.

Ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data, the XAU/USD remains sideways below $2,000, according to our Gold Price Forecast

Alina Haynes

Apr 20, 2023 13:49

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In the early European session, the Gold price (XAU / USD) is exhibiting erratic movements near $1,994.00. The precious metal is in a state of indecision as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States on Friday.

 

After violent swings influenced by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction below 102.00. The declining trend of advances to consumer and business loans by U.S. commercial banks has intensified concerns of a recession in the U.S. economy, despite the fact that economic activity in 12 Fed districts remained virtually unchanged. To prevent a decline in asset quality, banks have tightened credit disbursement requirements.

 

In the meantime, S&P futures have recorded sizeable losses during the Asian session, as investors are wary of firms' comments regarding revenue guidance. The market anticipates that constrained credit conditions will impact the working capital management of cash-reliant companies, thereby affecting their output.

 

The market expects preliminary US S&P PMI data to reveal a Manufacturing PMI reading of 49.0, a decrease from the previous reading of 49.9. The Services PMI is anticipated to decrease to 51.5 from 52.6 previously reported.


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