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On July 18, Rezaei, an advisor to Irans Supreme Leader, stated that if the United States continues its attacks in the next two to three days, Iran will abandon its previous strategy of deterrence and reciprocal retaliation, shifting to a phase of "full-scale offensive and destruction," and may directly strike US military bases and personnel abroad. He claimed that Irans previous restraint was to avoid spillover of regional conflict, but the USs "miscalculation" could escalate the situation. Rezaei also called on Kuwait, Jordan, Qatar, the UAE, and other regional countries and governments to stop the US and Israel from expanding their operations, stating that the USs strategy of "simultaneous war and negotiation" has failed, and Iran will intensify its counterattacks in the coming days.July 18th - Crude oil futures recorded double-digit gains this week as the US expanded its military strikes against Iranian targets and Iran launched attacks on neighboring Gulf states. Another factor exacerbating concerns about escalating tensions is the possibility that Yemens Houthi rebels may take action to block shipping over the Red Sea; Saudi Arabia has been diverting its crude oil exports via the Red Sea while the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Barclays analyst Amarpreet Singh stated in a report: "With inventories at near-record lows and most strategic petroleum reserve releases completed, the renewed escalation of tensions around the red line of the Strait poses significant upside risks to energy prices. As things stand, we believe the oil market is still too complacent about the potential impact on inventories."July 18th - According to the Wall Street Journal, sources revealed that SpaceX (SPCX.O) is in talks with the U.S. Department of Defense, hoping to provide the agency with billions of dollars worth of computing power to run artificial intelligence models, further strengthening the partnership between Musks company and the Department of Defense. These negotiations are ongoing but could ultimately fall apart. According to people familiar with the plans, SpaceX has signed similar agreements with Anthropic and Google in recent months and is currently planning a significant expansion of its cloud computing business. Sources also revealed that in recent weeks, SpaceX employees have discussed plans to offer computing power to AI customers at lower prices, thus competing more directly with existing vendors such as CoreWeave.Irans Supreme Leaders advisor, Rezaei, stated that if the US attacks continue for several days, Iran will enter a phase of full-scale offensive operations.SpaceX (SPCX.O) quickly narrowed its losses to 2.6%, after previously falling by more than 6%.

Ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data, the XAU/USD remains sideways below $2,000, according to our Gold Price Forecast

Alina Haynes

Apr 20, 2023 13:49

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In the early European session, the Gold price (XAU / USD) is exhibiting erratic movements near $1,994.00. The precious metal is in a state of indecision as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States on Friday.

 

After violent swings influenced by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction below 102.00. The declining trend of advances to consumer and business loans by U.S. commercial banks has intensified concerns of a recession in the U.S. economy, despite the fact that economic activity in 12 Fed districts remained virtually unchanged. To prevent a decline in asset quality, banks have tightened credit disbursement requirements.

 

In the meantime, S&P futures have recorded sizeable losses during the Asian session, as investors are wary of firms' comments regarding revenue guidance. The market anticipates that constrained credit conditions will impact the working capital management of cash-reliant companies, thereby affecting their output.

 

The market expects preliminary US S&P PMI data to reveal a Manufacturing PMI reading of 49.0, a decrease from the previous reading of 49.9. The Services PMI is anticipated to decrease to 51.5 from 52.6 previously reported.