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August 2nd - According to an Israeli official, as of August 1st local time, Israel assesses that US President Trump is closer than ever to approving a major military attack on Iran, although the specific plans have not yet been finalized. According to details of the contingency plan disclosed by the official, the US is considering precise and limited strikes against specific Iranian energy facilities. The assessment indicates that the US currently prefers to exclude Israel from the initial phase of the attack. However, Israel believes that a major US attack on Iran could directly trigger Iranian military retaliation, potentially forcing Israel into the conflict and into the fighting. Currently, the Israeli defense apparatus is maintaining a high level of vigilance.Trump posted on Truth Social: Oil exports are surging because of President Trump!August 2nd - On August 1st local time, the European Union announced that it will hold an emergency meeting of EU interior ministers via video conference on August 4th to discuss the migrant crisis in the Spanish enclave of Ceuta and the EUs response. This meeting was proposed by Spain. Spanish Prime Minister Sánchez had previously written to Ireland (the rotating president of the Council of the European Union), European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, and European Council President Diego Costa, urging the EU to coordinate its response to the current migrant crisis.Former US Vice President Harris: (Regarding the war with Iran) This war is a conflict that the current president, Trump, chose to get involved in. He went to war with Israel, and for the United States, there was no clear national security issue.August 2nd - On August 1st local time, the Turkish Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources announced that the Turkish National Oil Pipeline Company (BOTAŞ) and two Iraqi oil companies had officially signed a one-year crude oil transportation agreement. According to the agreement, Turkey and Iraq will efficiently utilize the oil pipeline, with a daily transport capacity of 750,000 barrels allocated to Iraq. Turkey stated that the pipelines total designed daily capacity is 1.5 million barrels. Previously, during a visit to Turkey, Iraqi Prime Minister Zaidi stated that Turkey would supply 1 million barrels of oil per day.

Ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data, the XAU/USD remains sideways below $2,000, according to our Gold Price Forecast

Alina Haynes

Apr 20, 2023 13:49

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In the early European session, the Gold price (XAU / USD) is exhibiting erratic movements near $1,994.00. The precious metal is in a state of indecision as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States on Friday.

 

After violent swings influenced by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction below 102.00. The declining trend of advances to consumer and business loans by U.S. commercial banks has intensified concerns of a recession in the U.S. economy, despite the fact that economic activity in 12 Fed districts remained virtually unchanged. To prevent a decline in asset quality, banks have tightened credit disbursement requirements.

 

In the meantime, S&P futures have recorded sizeable losses during the Asian session, as investors are wary of firms' comments regarding revenue guidance. The market anticipates that constrained credit conditions will impact the working capital management of cash-reliant companies, thereby affecting their output.

 

The market expects preliminary US S&P PMI data to reveal a Manufacturing PMI reading of 49.0, a decrease from the previous reading of 49.9. The Services PMI is anticipated to decrease to 51.5 from 52.6 previously reported.