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ECB Governing Council member Dorenz: The inflation situation has not yet been resolved, and there are sufficient reasons to raise interest rates in September. 1. Indias Ministry of Food stated in a press release, "The government has observed that in some cases, sugar sold by sugar mills at the beginning of the month is only picked up or shipped by buyers at the end of the month. This practice exacerbates artificial shortages in the market. To address this issue and ensure timely access to the market, the government has decided to implement a bi-weekly sugar allocation system starting in September, replacing the existing monthly quota system." 2. On August 28, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs held a ministerial meeting, emphasizing the need to focus on autumn grain field management and agricultural disaster prevention, mitigation, and relief, striving for a bumper harvest and ensuring the achievement of the target of approximately 1.4 trillion jin (600 million tons) of grain output. The meeting also stressed the importance of strengthening and improving macro-control of the agricultural industry, focusing on stabilizing the production of livestock products such as hogs, and promoting reasonable prices. 3. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) released data showing that private exporters reported selling 182,000 tons of soybeans to China, 226,000 tons of soybeans to unknown destinations, 100,000 tons of soybean meal to Germany, and 100,000 tons of soybean meal to the Netherlands, all for delivery in the 2026/2027 marketing year. 4. Fed Chair Hamack: The Fed should raise interest rates; waiting will only bring pain. He does not believe financial conditions are tight. 5. Fed Chair Warsh warned that inflation has not shown a meaningful slowdown and said policymakers must be confident that inflation is moving in the right direction, otherwise the central bank "has more work to do." Warsh reiterated that the Fed will bring inflation back to its 2% target. He stated that this is a clear and fixed target. Warsh also stated that current financial conditions are not restrictive, and interest rates are the Feds "primary tool" for fulfilling its mandate. 6. US short-term interest rate futures fell, with market pricing indicating increased bets on a Fed rate hike following Warshs remarks. 7. Fed Chair Warsh stated, "Although the PCE and CPI data released this summer were better than expected, they did not convince me that the underlying trend of inflation has shown a meaningful improvement." "Market prices reflect the markets belief that we will achieve price stability. I can assure you that the markets judgment is correct." Warsh then stated that with inflation above 2%, the Feds "primary focus right now should be prices." 8. According to the Associated Press, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh said on Friday that inflation remains too high. He hinted that the central bank may need to raise interest rates in the coming months to reduce inflation. This statement more clearly reflects his view on the economic situation than his previous remarks.On August 28th, George Catrambo, Head of Fixed Income for the Americas at DWS, said during a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh, "Whatever you call it, this is exactly the forward guidance the market was expecting at the July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting." "Im listening to a Fed chairman who is likely to tighten monetary policy. Hes trying to maintain a balance in his speech, but the Fed will most likely raise rates."According to documents from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, Nanjing Nuoling Biotechnology Co., Ltd. has submitted a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.On August 28th, Omar Sharif, an analyst at inflation research firm Inflation Insights, stated, "Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh gave the market what it wanted: a more detailed explanation of his views on current economic data, especially inflation data. Of course, he didnt reveal any potential future policy actions. In that sense, it seems to be a win-win situation for both Warsh and the market."

Ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data, the XAU/USD remains sideways below $2,000, according to our Gold Price Forecast

Alina Haynes

Apr 20, 2023 13:49

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In the early European session, the Gold price (XAU / USD) is exhibiting erratic movements near $1,994.00. The precious metal is in a state of indecision as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States on Friday.

 

After violent swings influenced by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction below 102.00. The declining trend of advances to consumer and business loans by U.S. commercial banks has intensified concerns of a recession in the U.S. economy, despite the fact that economic activity in 12 Fed districts remained virtually unchanged. To prevent a decline in asset quality, banks have tightened credit disbursement requirements.

 

In the meantime, S&P futures have recorded sizeable losses during the Asian session, as investors are wary of firms' comments regarding revenue guidance. The market anticipates that constrained credit conditions will impact the working capital management of cash-reliant companies, thereby affecting their output.

 

The market expects preliminary US S&P PMI data to reveal a Manufacturing PMI reading of 49.0, a decrease from the previous reading of 49.9. The Services PMI is anticipated to decrease to 51.5 from 52.6 previously reported.