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On June 26, according to Irans Press TV, US President Trump has again ordered that all Iraqi oil revenues controlled by Iraq be deposited into accounts at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Executive Order 13303 was originally signed after the US military action against Iraq in 2003 and has been renewed annually since, always citing "national security" as the reason. The White House has not issued a press release on this matter, but Trump sent a formal notification to Congress on May 4 regarding the extension of the order. In the formal notification, Trump stated: "The various obstacles hindering the orderly reconstruction of Iraq, the restoration and maintenance of domestic peace and security, and the development of political, administrative, and economic institutions continue to pose an exceptionally significant threat to US national security and foreign policy. Therefore, this Executive Order must remain in effect beyond May 22, 2026."According to Iranian state television, three foreign oil tankers that attempted to pass through the Strait of Hormuz "without authorization" were forced to turn back after warnings from the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Navy.On June 26, State Councilor Chen Yiqin conducted research in Jiangxi Province from June 23 to 26 on employment, sports, and other related work. She emphasized the need to thoroughly study and implement the spirit of General Secretary Xi Jinpings important speeches, earnestly implement the decisions and deployments of the Party Central Committee and the State Council, resolutely implement the employment-first strategy, actively promote the high-quality development of the sports industry, accelerate the cultivation of more new growth points, and strive to achieve a virtuous cycle of increased residents income, expanded domestic demand, and economic development. Chen Yiqin pointed out that it is necessary to strengthen the employment-first policy, accelerate the implementation of the action plan to stabilize, expand, and improve employment, support industries and enterprises with strong employment absorption capacity to stabilize jobs, and make every effort to ensure employment for key groups such as college graduates and migrant workers. She stressed the need to scientifically grasp and proactively adapt to changes in the employment situation, carry out large-scale vocational skills training programs, continuously improve the public employment service system, and cultivate new occupations and positions around the development of emerging and future industries to better promote employment and income growth for the masses.A Reuters poll shows that for the first time since 2023, more economists are predicting that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates rather than cut them.A Reuters poll showed that 78 of the 102 economists surveyed expect the Federal Reserve to keep the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75% in 2026, compared to 72 of the 102 economists surveyed in early June.

Ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data, the XAU/USD remains sideways below $2,000, according to our Gold Price Forecast

Alina Haynes

Apr 20, 2023 13:49

 截屏2022-08-04 下午5.25.46_1024x576.png

 

In the early European session, the Gold price (XAU / USD) is exhibiting erratic movements near $1,994.00. The precious metal is in a state of indecision as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States on Friday.

 

After violent swings influenced by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction below 102.00. The declining trend of advances to consumer and business loans by U.S. commercial banks has intensified concerns of a recession in the U.S. economy, despite the fact that economic activity in 12 Fed districts remained virtually unchanged. To prevent a decline in asset quality, banks have tightened credit disbursement requirements.

 

In the meantime, S&P futures have recorded sizeable losses during the Asian session, as investors are wary of firms' comments regarding revenue guidance. The market anticipates that constrained credit conditions will impact the working capital management of cash-reliant companies, thereby affecting their output.

 

The market expects preliminary US S&P PMI data to reveal a Manufacturing PMI reading of 49.0, a decrease from the previous reading of 49.9. The Services PMI is anticipated to decrease to 51.5 from 52.6 previously reported.


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