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Federal Reserves Schmid: Leverage levels in technology investments are worth discussing.Japans final composite PMI for July was 52.7, compared to 53.1 in the previous month.Japans final services PMI for July was 51.2, down from 51.9 in the previous month.On August 5th, Federal Reserve Chairman Schmid stated, “Our inflation problem isn’t just about energy. Energy-excluding inflation remains well above 2%, revealing an underlying trend in the data. This trend is not favorable for us. For the six months prior to June, monthly energy-excluding inflation consistently rose above the level needed to achieve our inflation target. Over the past 12 months, energy-excluding inflation has been 3.2%, about 0.5 percentage points higher than in June of last year. Inflation has been persistently excessive across a broad and expanding range of goods and services. Many factors are driving inflation. Reading economic commentary reveals that recent focus has been on supply shocks. These shocks include negative supply factors related to shipping disruptions, oil, and tariffs, all of which have pushed up prices. I am quite cautious about this commentary and oppose the tendency to attribute our inflation problem solely to supply shocks. While supply is indeed a problem for some commodities, inflation is always the result of the combined effects of supply and demand, and the balance between them.”On August 5th, Federal Reserve Chairman Schmid stated, "When examining the economy, my focus is entirely on inflation, which remains excessively high. The Fed defines price stability as an inflation rate of 2%. Why 2%? Because this level seems just right, not having a substantial impact on the day-to-day decisions of households and businesses. However, while the latest inflation data for June showed encouraging signs of a slowdown, it is too early to rely too heavily on a single data point relative to recent trends. Volatile oil prices both pushed up inflation in the previous months and played a significant role in the June pullback. With oil prices rising again, it remains uncertain whether any relief on the energy front will be sustainable."

Ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data, the XAU/USD remains sideways below $2,000, according to our Gold Price Forecast

Alina Haynes

Apr 20, 2023 13:49

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In the early European session, the Gold price (XAU / USD) is exhibiting erratic movements near $1,994.00. The precious metal is in a state of indecision as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States on Friday.

 

After violent swings influenced by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction below 102.00. The declining trend of advances to consumer and business loans by U.S. commercial banks has intensified concerns of a recession in the U.S. economy, despite the fact that economic activity in 12 Fed districts remained virtually unchanged. To prevent a decline in asset quality, banks have tightened credit disbursement requirements.

 

In the meantime, S&P futures have recorded sizeable losses during the Asian session, as investors are wary of firms' comments regarding revenue guidance. The market anticipates that constrained credit conditions will impact the working capital management of cash-reliant companies, thereby affecting their output.

 

The market expects preliminary US S&P PMI data to reveal a Manufacturing PMI reading of 49.0, a decrease from the previous reading of 49.9. The Services PMI is anticipated to decrease to 51.5 from 52.6 previously reported.