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The UKs three-month GDP growth rate for February, seasonally adjusted goods trade balance for February, and industrial and manufacturing output growth rate for February will be released in ten minutes.On April 16th, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Demarco stated that the Eurozone economy may be heading towards the ECBs "adverse scenario," but policymakers need to remain patient and avoid hastily adjusting interest rates to curb inflation. "If the adverse scenario materializes, then the markets expectation of two rate hikes would be a reasonable expectation," he added. However, Demarco downplayed the urgency of immediate action, pointing out that long-term inflation expectations remain stable, the ECBs credibility in combating inflation is high, and that the monetary policy stance was already sound before the crisis – interest rates were at a neutral level, and inflation was in line with the target.Alibaba (09988.HK) rose more than 5% on the news that Alibaba Cloud has raised the service price of some MU (ModelUnit) model units on its large model service platform, Bailian.On April 16th, Pacific Investment Management Company (PIMCO) reportedly made significant purchases of European government bonds after a sell-off triggered by the Middle East wars caused a sharp decline in bond prices. According to Andrew Bowers, Chief Investment Officer of PIMCOs Global Fixed Income division, the company had previously under-invested in the regions debt but has since increased its holdings. The company has added to its global bond fund investments. Bowers stated, "There are a lot of crowded trading positions in the market, which has likely led to a price readjustment." He specifically highlighted the significant volatility in UK and European short-term bond prices, the volatility of European interest rates, and changes in the euro interest rate swap curve.ECB President Demarco: Patience is needed; dont rush into making decisions.

Ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data, the XAU/USD remains sideways below $2,000, according to our Gold Price Forecast

Alina Haynes

Apr 20, 2023 13:49

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In the early European session, the Gold price (XAU / USD) is exhibiting erratic movements near $1,994.00. The precious metal is in a state of indecision as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States on Friday.

 

After violent swings influenced by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction below 102.00. The declining trend of advances to consumer and business loans by U.S. commercial banks has intensified concerns of a recession in the U.S. economy, despite the fact that economic activity in 12 Fed districts remained virtually unchanged. To prevent a decline in asset quality, banks have tightened credit disbursement requirements.

 

In the meantime, S&P futures have recorded sizeable losses during the Asian session, as investors are wary of firms' comments regarding revenue guidance. The market anticipates that constrained credit conditions will impact the working capital management of cash-reliant companies, thereby affecting their output.

 

The market expects preliminary US S&P PMI data to reveal a Manufacturing PMI reading of 49.0, a decrease from the previous reading of 49.9. The Services PMI is anticipated to decrease to 51.5 from 52.6 previously reported.