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July 7th - The Hong Kong Gold Central Clearing and Settlement System officially commenced trial operations. It is understood that the Hong Kong Financial Services and the Shanghai Gold Exchange launched the first phase of "physical connectivity" today, based on the cooperation agreement signed in January this year. HKG Clearing has applied to become an international member of the Shanghai Gold Exchange and opened a physical gold account. Market participants can choose to deposit their physical gold holdings into designated warehouses in Hong Kong on the Shanghai Gold Exchanges international board through this account. Through two-way transfers, market participants can participate in both the Shanghai Gold Exchanges on-exchange market and the Hong Kong over-the-counter market, facilitating the flow of physical gold between the HKG Clearing system and the Shanghai Gold Exchange system, effectively connecting the gold markets of Hong Kong and Shanghai.On July 7th, AMP Chief Economist Shane Oliver listed a list of risks facing the market over the next year, with one key risk focusing on the White House. He stated that after the upcoming midterm elections, US President Trump will be less constrained and may use this window of opportunity before the 2028 election to escalate overseas military operations, including renewed actions against Iran, and potentially involving Greenland and Cuba. Oliver added that this risk is particularly concerning if Trump loses control of both houses of Congress in November.Futures News, July 7th: OPEC+ decided to continue increasing production over the weekend, marking the first such decision in six months. Although the increase has been slowed in the short term due to the Straits dispute, Saudi Arabias willingness to increase production remains strong, leading to a predominantly bearish market sentiment and a continued weak oil price trend. Zhuochuang Information predicts that continued attention will be paid to the actual implementation of Saudi Arabias production increase. With the Straits issue gradually resolved and tanker transport efficiency improving, oil prices will face upward pressure, maintaining an overall bearish outlook.July 7th – The 2026 World Artificial Intelligence Conference and High-Level Meeting on Global Governance of Artificial Intelligence will be held in Shanghai from July 17th to 20th. Sun Xiaobo, Coordinator for Artificial Intelligence Affairs at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, stated at a press conference in Shanghai on July 7th that this year, dozens of countries and international organizations will be invited to send high-level representatives to the conference to exchange in-depth views on cutting-edge and key issues concerning the development and governance of artificial intelligence during the High-Level Meeting on Global Governance of Artificial Intelligence. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs will also arrange a collective exhibition for delegations from various countries and international organizations, allowing them to experience firsthand Chinas achievements in the development and governance of artificial intelligence and to directly feel the vitality and dynamism of Shanghai as an international metropolis.Pan Gongsheng, Governor of the Peoples Bank of China: We will support more high-quality companies to list and issue bonds in Hong Kong, and the annual net investment quota for the Bond Connect "Southbound" program will be increased to 800 billion yuan.

Ahead of preliminary US S&P PMI data, the XAU/USD remains sideways below $2,000, according to our Gold Price Forecast

Alina Haynes

Apr 20, 2023 13:49

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In the early European session, the Gold price (XAU / USD) is exhibiting erratic movements near $1,994.00. The precious metal is in a state of indecision as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States on Friday.

 

After violent swings influenced by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction below 102.00. The declining trend of advances to consumer and business loans by U.S. commercial banks has intensified concerns of a recession in the U.S. economy, despite the fact that economic activity in 12 Fed districts remained virtually unchanged. To prevent a decline in asset quality, banks have tightened credit disbursement requirements.

 

In the meantime, S&P futures have recorded sizeable losses during the Asian session, as investors are wary of firms' comments regarding revenue guidance. The market anticipates that constrained credit conditions will impact the working capital management of cash-reliant companies, thereby affecting their output.

 

The market expects preliminary US S&P PMI data to reveal a Manufacturing PMI reading of 49.0, a decrease from the previous reading of 49.9. The Services PMI is anticipated to decrease to 51.5 from 52.6 previously reported.