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Japans overtime pay rose 1.2% year-on-year in November, up from 1.5% in the previous month.Japans November labor cash income rose 0.5% year-on-year, below the expected 2.30% and the previous figure revised from 2.60% to 2.50%.1. The three major U.S. stock indexes closed mixed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.94% to 48,996.08 points, the S&P 500 fell 0.34% to 6,920.93 points, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.16% to 23,584.27 points. Caterpillar fell more than 4%, and Nike fell more than 3%, leading the decline in the Dow Jones. The Wind U.S. Tech Big Seven Index rose 0.56%, with Google rising more than 2%, Microsoft rising more than 1%, and Intel rising more than 6%. Most Chinese concept stocks fell, with Melco Resorts & Entertainment falling more than 7% and Full Truck Alliance falling more than 7%. 2. European stock indices closed mixed. The German DAX rose 0.92% to 25,122.26 points, the French CAC40 fell 0.04% to 8,233.92 points, and the UK FTSE 100 fell 0.74% to 10,048.21 points. German stocks rose, benefiting from strong infrastructure investment and the industrial sector. French stocks were dragged down by declines in luxury goods stocks such as Kering and LVMH. UK stocks fell due to a pullback in energy and metal stocks, coupled with expectations that the Bank of England would maintain high interest rates. 3. US Treasury yields were mixed. The 2-year Treasury yield rose 1.45 basis points to 3.470%, the 3-year yield rose 0.28 basis points to 3.525%, the 5-year yield fell 0.52 basis points to 3.703%, the 10-year yield fell 2.16 basis points to 4.147%, and the 30-year yield fell 3.17 basis points to 4.829%. 4. The WTI crude oil futures contract closed down 1.28% at $56.4 per barrel; the Brent crude oil futures contract fell 0.51% to $60.39 per barrel. 5. International precious metals futures generally closed lower. COMEX gold futures fell 0.65% to $4467.1 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures fell 3.77% to $77.98 per ounce. 6. Most London base metals fell. LME tin rose 0.34% to $44650.0 per tonne, LME lead fell 0.60% to $2058.5 per tonne, LME aluminum fell 1.60% to $3083.5 per tonne, LME zinc fell 2.63% to $3160.0 per tonne, LME copper fell 2.93% to $12866.0 per tonne, and LME nickel fell 4.21% to $17655.0 per tonne.According to US financial media Semafor: US Treasury Secretary Bessant, US Commerce Secretary Lutnick, and US Energy Secretary Wright will attend the Davos World Economic Forum together with US President Trump.U.S. Republican Senator Lindsey Graham: Following my meeting with President Trump on Wednesday, I have approved the bipartisan Russia sanctions bill.

Forecast for Gold Price: XAU/USD consolidates above $2,000 as investors await initial US S&P PMI data

Daniel Rogers

Apr 21, 2023 13:52

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During the Asian session, the price of gold (XAU / USD) is oscillating above the psychological resistance of $2,000.00. After a gradual increase, the price of gold has leveled off near $2,005.00 as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States.

 

S&P500 futures have added some gains during the Asian session following three consecutive declines. As a result of Elon Musk's price-cutting frenzy, Tesla's revenue projections were gloomy, which dampened market sentiment. Near 101.77, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has extended its correction. The USD Index has been consolidating in a range between 100.90 and 102.03 for the past several trading sessions. Therefore, a move that exceeds the previously specified limit will be considered decisive.

 

The subdued USD index weighs on US Treasury yields as well. The demand for U.S. government bonds has increased as weekly unemployment claims have increased. The number of individuals claiming unemployment benefits rose to 245K, exceeding the consensus estimate of 240K. This indicated a softening in the labor market and bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not raise interest rates after the monetary policy meeting in May.

 

In the future, the publication of the preliminary US S&P PMI data will determine the impact of the Fed's rate hikes on the scope of economic activity. According to projections, the Manufacturing PMI and Services PMI will decline to 49.0 and 51.5, respectively. A preliminary PMI reading that is weaker than anticipated could impact heavily on the U.S. dollar.

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