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The Russian Ministry of Defense reported that Russian troops liberated 172 buildings in Konstantinovka, the "Donetsk Peoples Republic," while Ukrainian troops suffered 40 casualties.On June 13, the Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting reported that Iranian officials announced the funeral arrangements for the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei.June 13th - According to the Financial Times, US investment groups are seizing the opportunity presented by Trumps ouster of Maduro to aggressively acquire Venezuelas underutilized oil fields. Miami-based Lionheart Capital has taken the lead, signing a letter of intent to merge its listed shell company, Lionheart Holdings, with Keo Energy, which owns oil field assets in Venezuela. Sources say the merger would create the first Venezuelan oil company listed on Nasdaq, providing direct investment access for US and institutional investors. The report states that Lionheart plans to list the oil company at a valuation of approximately $1 billion through the merger; its shell company, Lionheart Holdings, raised $230 million in 2024. Sources indicate that negotiations are still in the early stages and have not yet been finalized, and may fall through. Lionheart Holdings plans to hold a shareholder vote next week to gain more time to find acquisition targets, otherwise it may face liquidation.Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk announced on Saturday that Poland will end its fuel price cap this summer, citing expectations of a de-escalation of the conflict involving Iran and price stabilization. In March, the Polish government announced a reduction in the fuel value-added tax (VAT) from 23% to 8%, lowered the excise tax to the lowest level in the EU, and began daily price caps on motor vehicle fuels. These measures have been extended every two weeks since their implementation. This Friday, Poland decided to extend the VAT exemption and price cap on gasoline and diesel until the end of June, but did not extend the excise tax exemption. Tusk stated, "Throughout the crisis, our fuel prices have been the cheapest in Europe, but we will end this measure this summer."On June 13th, Lei Jun, Chairman of Xiaomi Group, posted on Weibo that Xiaomi Auto highly values testing, investing heavily in its testing efforts. Currently, the entire testing team comprises over 800 people, more than 45% of whom are experts with over 10 years of experience. This team has completed over 35 million kilometers of testing in more than 300 cities. Xiaomi Auto has 126 laboratories in four cities: Beijing, Nanjing, Shanghai, and Wuhan, covering a total area of over 65,600 square meters. Additionally, it has rented two comprehensive vehicle testing grounds in Yancheng, Jiangsu, and Guangde, Anhui. There is also a dedicated team of approximately 500 people conducting extreme environment testing. They are divided into summer and winter testing teams, primarily responsible for testing in four extreme environments: Heihe (high-altitude and frigid), Turpan (high-temperature), Kunlun Mountains (high-altitude), and Hainan (high-humidity).

Forecast for Silver Price: XAG/USD to fall to $25.00 as supply concerns subside and risk aversion increases

Daniel Rogers

Apr 20, 2023 13:46

 截屏2022-06-06 下午5.54.42.png

 

During the early hours of Thursday, the price of silver (XAG / USD) falls to $25.20, a new intraday low. In doing so, the precious metal records its first daily loss in three days, as concerns of a supply crisis subside and a risk-averse mood prevails.

 

Wednesday, Reuters cited the Silver Institute's annual prognosis report, which stated that global silver demand increased by 18% to a record high of 1.24 billion ounces last year, resulting in a massive supply deficit. According to the report, "The Silver market was undersupplied by 237.7 million ounces in 2022, the institute said in its most recent World Silver Survey, calling this 'possibly the largest deficit on record'."

 

On the other hand, higher inflation indicators from the United Kingdom, the Eurozone, and the United States, along with hawkish comments from the Bank of England (BoE), European Central Bank (ECB), and Federal Reserve (Fed), increase the likelihood of rate increases and dampen investor sentiment. John Williams, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, is one of the Fed's most recent policy advocates. In May, he voiced support for an interest rate hike of 0.25 percentage points and said, "We will use monetary policy tools to restore price stability." Before him, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Austan Goolsbee, highlighted the strength of the credit market as one of the most important catalysts to monitor prior to the next Fed monetary policy meeting.

 

With this, market participants increase their wagers on the central bank's 0.25 percentage point rate hike in May to at least 85 percent and reduce the likelihood of a rate cut in 2023.

 

It should be noted that the UK's allegations of China's hidden motive to clamp down on Western infrastructure and the US House China Committee's discussion on the Taiwan invasion scenario rekindle the West vs. China conflict narrative and impact on sentiment. On the same line are the concerns surrounding the probable drag on the US debt ceiling decision as a result of US President Joe Biden's reluctance to raise debt limits.

 

In addition, Reuters reported that US consumers are falling behind on their credit card and loan payments as the economy weakens, which also puts pressure on the XAG/USD exchange rate.

 

In this context, S&P 500 Futures have recorded their first daily loss in four days, falling 0.25 percent intraday to 4,168 as of press time. However, the US 10-year and 2-year Treasury bond yields hover around 3.60 percent and 4.25 percent, respectively, after reaching new monthly highs the day before. The US Dollar Index (DXY) fluctuates around 102.000 after rectifying its adverse bias from the previous day.

 

Considering the future, the recent emphasis on qualitative news highlights them as the most important risk indicator. Nonetheless, the US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey, and Existing Home Sales should be monitored for fresh impulses.


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