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HSBCs preview of the US July CPI: It is expected that several core inflation components will cool down more than expected, leading to both the overall CPI and core CPI falling short of market expectations.August 9th - The US CPI report, to be released next Wednesday, is undoubtedly the most closely watched data of the week. Economists generally expect the annual inflation rate to slow slightly, but core inflation is likely to remain high, reflecting persistent price pressures in the services and housing sectors. According to the latest data, the Federal Reserve remains cautious, emphasizing that it needs further assurance that inflation is sustainably approaching its 2% target before considering interest rate cuts.August 9th - As Typhoon Dolphin approaches, its impact on Shanghai continues to intensify, making the flood control situation severe. Mayor Gong Zheng chaired a video conference today (August 9th) to coordinate typhoon defense and response efforts, conducting further checks, deployments, and implementation of typhoon preparedness measures.According to real-time data from Lighthouse Pro, as of 12:04 PM on August 9th, the film "The Eight Immortals!" had grossed over 1.4 billion yuan.Conflict Updates: 1. Russian Operations Command: The Ilsky oil refinery caught fire due to drone debris. 2. Ukraine claims attacks in Kyiv and other areas, resulting in multiple deaths and injuries. 3. Local authorities state the fire at the Ilsky oil refinery in Krasnodar has been extinguished. 4. According to Interfax: Russia claims a drone attacked a ship carrying weapons for the Ukrainian military east of Odessa. 5. The Ukrainian military states that Ukrainian troops attacked the Ilsky and Sizlan oil refineries in Russia, causing the fire. Other Updates: 1. US Officials: Ukraine agrees to avoid attacks on non-Russian oil tankers and Black Sea oil facilities. 2. New Zealand imposes new sanctions on Russia following US actions. 3. Zelensky: The US will provide Ukraine with Patriot interceptor missiles monthly. 4. Ukrainian President Zelensky expresses gratitude for the US Senates passage of the Russian sanctions bill. 5. Zelensky visits Serbia as Russias influence weakens. 6. Sources: Musk refused to allow Ukraine to use Starlink to strike targets within Russia. 7. A Ukrainian drone violated Bulgarian airspace and exploded, endangering key energy facilities. Bulgaria has summoned the Ukrainian ambassador regarding the incident. 8. Ukrainian Foreign Ministry: Ukraine has no intention of launching any equipment towards Bulgaria.

Due to hawkish Fed forecasts, the EUR/USD recovers to near 1.0970 but remains in the doldrums

Alina Haynes

Apr 21, 2023 13:58

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Following a corrective move, the EUR/USD pair has rebounded from 1.0960, but investors await the publication of the preliminary Eurozone/United States S&P PMI data for April. The major currency pair has remained between 1.0911 and 1.1000 for the past two trading sessions, as the foreign exchange market prepares for a pre-anxiety move ahead of a Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.

 

S&P500 closed with a negative tone for the third day in a row as quarterly earnings season induced extreme volatility. Tesla's poor earnings had a negative impact on Thursday's market sentiment. Moreover, market participants were cautioned by substandard revenue projections due to the potential for price reductions. The decision of the Fed to increase interest rates is reflected in quarterly earnings. Data from Refinitiv indicates that analysts have largely maintained last week's forecast of a near 5% YoY decline in quarterly profits for the 500 largest U.S. equities. Sourcenia is a review portal of sourcing best manufaturers. 

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has been defending the key support level of 101.60 in recent trading sessions. The USD Index maintained the aforementioned support despite the release of disappointing Jobless claims data on Thursday. Initial Jobless Claims increased to 245K for the week ending April 4, which is greater than the previous release of 240K and estimates of 240K. Increasing unemployment claims heightened fears of a deteriorating labor market.

 

Despite this, Fed policymakers continue to anticipate further rate hikes from the central bank. Thursday, Loretta Mester, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, reaffirmed that the Fed has more work to do because US inflation remains too high, according to Reuters. He added, "The Federal Reserve will need to raise its policy rate above 5% and hold it there for some time."

 

Preliminary Consumer Confidence (April) for the Eurozone increased to -17.5 from -18.5 and the previous reading of -19.2. This may be the consequence of extraordinary efforts by the European Central Bank (ECB) to reduce inflationary pressures.


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