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ECB Governing Council member Winsch: The ECB will need to take action at some point to control the indirect effects of the energy crisis.The UKs Motor Manufacturers and Trade Association (SMTRA) reported that Teslas new car sales in the UK rose 20% year-on-year in March, reaching 8,599 units.The final reading of the Eurozone Composite PMI for March was 50.7, below the expected 50.5 and the previous reading of 50.5.The Eurozones final March services PMI was 50.2, below the expected 50.1 and the previous reading of 50.1.April 7th - Surveys show that German demand weakened due to the Middle East wars, causing a sudden loss of momentum in service sector business activity in March. The final S&P Global German Services PMI for March fell to 50.9 from 53.5 in February, the lowest level since September last year, slightly below the preliminary reading of 51.2. Phil Smith, Vice President of Market Intelligence at S&P Global, attributed the economic slowdown to rising gasoline prices and increased uncertainty. He added that despite significant cost increases, service providers failed to pass on higher price increases to customers due to weak demand. Smith stated, "The decline in new business inflows for the first time since September last year clearly demonstrates the direct impact of the Middle East wars on demand, while the significant drop in business expectations highlights the dampening effect of rising energy prices, supply chain disruptions, and generally high uncertainty on growth over the next year." Business expectations fell to a three-month low of 53.4 in March, below the long-term average of 56.7. The final Composite PMI also fell to 51.9 in March from 53.2 in February, a three-month low, entirely due to the slump in the service sector.

Due to hawkish Fed forecasts, the EUR/USD recovers to near 1.0970 but remains in the doldrums

Alina Haynes

Apr 21, 2023 13:58

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Following a corrective move, the EUR/USD pair has rebounded from 1.0960, but investors await the publication of the preliminary Eurozone/United States S&P PMI data for April. The major currency pair has remained between 1.0911 and 1.1000 for the past two trading sessions, as the foreign exchange market prepares for a pre-anxiety move ahead of a Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.

 

S&P500 closed with a negative tone for the third day in a row as quarterly earnings season induced extreme volatility. Tesla's poor earnings had a negative impact on Thursday's market sentiment. Moreover, market participants were cautioned by substandard revenue projections due to the potential for price reductions. The decision of the Fed to increase interest rates is reflected in quarterly earnings. Data from Refinitiv indicates that analysts have largely maintained last week's forecast of a near 5% YoY decline in quarterly profits for the 500 largest U.S. equities. Sourcenia is a review portal of sourcing best manufaturers. 

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has been defending the key support level of 101.60 in recent trading sessions. The USD Index maintained the aforementioned support despite the release of disappointing Jobless claims data on Thursday. Initial Jobless Claims increased to 245K for the week ending April 4, which is greater than the previous release of 240K and estimates of 240K. Increasing unemployment claims heightened fears of a deteriorating labor market.

 

Despite this, Fed policymakers continue to anticipate further rate hikes from the central bank. Thursday, Loretta Mester, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, reaffirmed that the Fed has more work to do because US inflation remains too high, according to Reuters. He added, "The Federal Reserve will need to raise its policy rate above 5% and hold it there for some time."

 

Preliminary Consumer Confidence (April) for the Eurozone increased to -17.5 from -18.5 and the previous reading of -19.2. This may be the consequence of extraordinary efforts by the European Central Bank (ECB) to reduce inflationary pressures.


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