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July 30th - US semiconductor stocks extended their gains, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rising 9% and the Nasdaq Composite Index currently up 2.6%. Micron Technology (MU.O) surged over 16%, AMD (AMD.O) rose over 15%, and Intel (INTC.O) climbed over 14%.U.S. EIA natural gas inventories for the week ending July 24 were 28 billion cubic feet, compared to an expected 35 billion cubic feet and a previous reading of 32 billion cubic feet.World Trade Organization: Brazil has filed a dispute settlement lawsuit over US tariffs.On July 30, the Thailand Futures Exchange issued an announcement stating that due to a 2.50% drop in the USD/JPY futures trading price compared to the most recent settlement price, and in accordance with the guidelines for suspending trading of derivatives due to triggering daily price fluctuation limits, the Thailand Futures Exchange decided to temporarily suspend futures trading of this currency pair from 21:04:41 local time, and resume formal trading at 21:06:41.On July 30th, after the Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged and stated that domestic inflationary pressures were easing, UK short-term government bonds saw their biggest single-day gain in over a month. The yield on the most sensitive monetary policy gilt fell 11 basis points to 4.34%, the largest single-day drop since June 12th. Bank of England Governor Bailey stated at a press conference that he did not want people to "leave the meeting with the impression that the committee is gradually moving towards raising interest rates," after which UK government bonds further extended their gains. Influenced by the Bank of Englands dovish stance, the money market expects the Bank of England to raise interest rates by a cumulative total of about 32 basis points by the end of this year, lower than the 38 basis points before the decision was announced. The markets probability of a rate hike at the September meeting has also fallen from nearly 60% to less than 40%. James Lynch, portfolio manager at Aberdeen Asset Management, said, "The threshold for a Bank of England rate hike is very high." He expects the Bank of England to keep interest rates unchanged for the remainder of the year. He stated that Bailey was "more definitive than I expected."

Due to hawkish Fed forecasts, the EUR/USD recovers to near 1.0970 but remains in the doldrums

Alina Haynes

Apr 21, 2023 13:58

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Following a corrective move, the EUR/USD pair has rebounded from 1.0960, but investors await the publication of the preliminary Eurozone/United States S&P PMI data for April. The major currency pair has remained between 1.0911 and 1.1000 for the past two trading sessions, as the foreign exchange market prepares for a pre-anxiety move ahead of a Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.

 

S&P500 closed with a negative tone for the third day in a row as quarterly earnings season induced extreme volatility. Tesla's poor earnings had a negative impact on Thursday's market sentiment. Moreover, market participants were cautioned by substandard revenue projections due to the potential for price reductions. The decision of the Fed to increase interest rates is reflected in quarterly earnings. Data from Refinitiv indicates that analysts have largely maintained last week's forecast of a near 5% YoY decline in quarterly profits for the 500 largest U.S. equities. Sourcenia is a review portal of sourcing best manufaturers. 

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has been defending the key support level of 101.60 in recent trading sessions. The USD Index maintained the aforementioned support despite the release of disappointing Jobless claims data on Thursday. Initial Jobless Claims increased to 245K for the week ending April 4, which is greater than the previous release of 240K and estimates of 240K. Increasing unemployment claims heightened fears of a deteriorating labor market.

 

Despite this, Fed policymakers continue to anticipate further rate hikes from the central bank. Thursday, Loretta Mester, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, reaffirmed that the Fed has more work to do because US inflation remains too high, according to Reuters. He added, "The Federal Reserve will need to raise its policy rate above 5% and hold it there for some time."

 

Preliminary Consumer Confidence (April) for the Eurozone increased to -17.5 from -18.5 and the previous reading of -19.2. This may be the consequence of extraordinary efforts by the European Central Bank (ECB) to reduce inflationary pressures.


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