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New York silver futures touched $74 per ounce, down 5.28% on the day.The yield on 5-year Japanese government bonds fell 2 basis points to 1.65%.British Prime Minister Starmer: I have increased defense spending; Britain needs to "go faster" on defense spending.February 17th - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) believes that inflation will remain high if interest rates are not raised this month, and it remains uncertain whether further policy tightening is necessary. The minutes of Tuesdays meeting revealed that committee members expressed concern about a "substantial shift" in the risks to inflation and employment, providing a stronger case for a rate hike. The minutes stated: "Members unanimously agreed that data received since the last meeting further reinforced their concerns that inflation would persist too high for too long without policy intervention." Therefore, the committee unanimously decided to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.85%. Markets are betting that the stubbornness of inflation this quarter may be sufficient for the committee to raise rates again to 4.10% at its May meeting. First-quarter consumer price data will be released at the end of April, and analysts suspect that core inflation will remain around 3.4%, well above the RBAs target range of 2% to 3%. Regarding future interest rate trends, the committee noted that forecasts carry two-way risks, and future policy decisions will depend on data developments.Reserve Bank of Australia meeting minutes: Remains committed to reducing inflation and protecting jobs.

Volatility subsides around 101.80 as focus shifts to US S&P PMI in US Dollar Index Price Analysis

Alina Haynes

Apr 21, 2023 14:03

US Dollar Index.png 

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has prolonged its correction after falling below immediate support at 101.80 during the Asian session. Following the release of more-than-anticipated Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending April 14 and a lackluster Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey (April), the USD Index fluctuated erratically on Thursday.

 

The US Department of Labor reported that unemployment claims exceeded expectations for the eleventh consecutive week. The economic data revealed that 245K unemployed people filed for unemployment benefits, exceeding both the consensus estimate and the previous figure of 240K.

 

Due to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to increase interest rates, labor market conditions are undeniably and persistently deteriorating. Despite this, the market continues to anticipate a 25 basis point (bp) rate hike. According to CME Fedwatch, over 85 percent of probabilities favor interest rates above 5 percent.

 

In the interim, three consecutive bearish trading sessions on the S&P 500 suggest that investors have supported the risk aversion theme. The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds has dropped below 3.54 percent. Sourcenia is a review portal of sourcing best manufaturers. 

 

On a two-hour time frame, the USD Index is consolidating in a wide range between 101.63 and 102.23, indicating the absence of a significant catalyst. After the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States, a power-pack action is anticipated. It is anticipated that the Manufacturing PMI will register 49.0, a decrease from the previous release of 49.9. The Services PMI is expected to fall to 51.5 from the previously reported 52.6.

 

At 101.85, the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) intersects with the asset price, indicating a significant decrease in volatility.

 

In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) oscillates between 40.00 and 60.00, indicating that investors are waiting for a decisive catalyst.

 

If the asset breaks decisively above the April 17 high of 102.23, investors will push the asset toward the April 10 and March 24 potential resistance levels of 102.76 and 103.36, respectively.

 

Alternately, a breach of the April 5 low of 101.41 would cause the asset to decline to the April 14 low of 100.78. A subsequent decline will reveal psychological support of $100 for the asset.


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