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On August 30th, according to multiple foreign media reports, a recent research report on the AI industry released by Barclays Bank in the UK pointed out that for every $100 in revenue earned by AI model companies, approximately $35 to $40 flows to the three major cloud giants—Amazon Web Services (AWS), Microsofts Azure cloud service platform, and Google Cloud Platform (GCP)—in the form of inference computing power fees. Cloud service providers can obtain approximately $10 to $20 in operating profit from this, corresponding to an operating profit margin as high as 35% to 45%. Meanwhile, the profit margin of AI labs paid inference business has risen significantly, from a low double-digit level in 2025 to 50% to 65% or even higher in 2026, with adjusted gross margins increasing by 30 to 50 percentage points year-on-year. Barclays analysts believe that the actual profit margin may be higher than the reports estimates, but as competition in cutting-edge models intensifies and computing power supply continues to increase, profit margins are expected to gradually decline.NASA’s next-generation flagship space observation platform, the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope, was launched from Florida aboard a SpaceX Falcon Heavy rocket.On August 30, a ferry carrying approximately 270 passengers capsized in Cyprus. The extent of casualties is currently unknown.August 30 - The Lebanese National News Agency reported that Israeli forces dropped flares over the Aita Jbeil forest in the Bint Jbeil region of southern Lebanon this morning, causing a fire.Market news: A passenger ship carrying approximately 270 people sank off the coast of northern Cyprus, and search and rescue operations are underway.

Volatility subsides around 101.80 as focus shifts to US S&P PMI in US Dollar Index Price Analysis

Alina Haynes

Apr 21, 2023 14:03

US Dollar Index.png 

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has prolonged its correction after falling below immediate support at 101.80 during the Asian session. Following the release of more-than-anticipated Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending April 14 and a lackluster Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey (April), the USD Index fluctuated erratically on Thursday.

 

The US Department of Labor reported that unemployment claims exceeded expectations for the eleventh consecutive week. The economic data revealed that 245K unemployed people filed for unemployment benefits, exceeding both the consensus estimate and the previous figure of 240K.

 

Due to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to increase interest rates, labor market conditions are undeniably and persistently deteriorating. Despite this, the market continues to anticipate a 25 basis point (bp) rate hike. According to CME Fedwatch, over 85 percent of probabilities favor interest rates above 5 percent.

 

In the interim, three consecutive bearish trading sessions on the S&P 500 suggest that investors have supported the risk aversion theme. The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds has dropped below 3.54 percent. Sourcenia is a review portal of sourcing best manufaturers. 

 

On a two-hour time frame, the USD Index is consolidating in a wide range between 101.63 and 102.23, indicating the absence of a significant catalyst. After the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States, a power-pack action is anticipated. It is anticipated that the Manufacturing PMI will register 49.0, a decrease from the previous release of 49.9. The Services PMI is expected to fall to 51.5 from the previously reported 52.6.

 

At 101.85, the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) intersects with the asset price, indicating a significant decrease in volatility.

 

In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) oscillates between 40.00 and 60.00, indicating that investors are waiting for a decisive catalyst.

 

If the asset breaks decisively above the April 17 high of 102.23, investors will push the asset toward the April 10 and March 24 potential resistance levels of 102.76 and 103.36, respectively.

 

Alternately, a breach of the April 5 low of 101.41 would cause the asset to decline to the April 14 low of 100.78. A subsequent decline will reveal psychological support of $100 for the asset.


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