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Futures January 21, Economies.com analysts latest view today: Brent crude oil prices showed a tentative upward trend at the opening of today, driven by the positive signal from the stochastic oscillator. However, it is worth noting that yesterdays price closed below the key level of 80.10, a trend that reinforces expectations that prices will continue to correct downward in the short term, with the next correction target expected to be 78.39. In order to maintain the current bearish scenario, prices need to stabilize at $80.85. If this resistance level is effectively broken, it may reverse the current bearish momentum and allow prices to re-enter the upward channel. The expected trading range for Brent crude oil today is set between 78.60 (support) and 81.60 (resistance). Overall trend outlook: bearish.European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA): In December, passenger car registrations in the EU, UK and EFTA increased by 4.1% year-on-year. In December, electric vehicles accounted for 57.7% of the market share of newly registered cars in the EU. Passenger car registrations in 2024 increased by 0.9% year-on-year.According to Nikkei News: 70% of Nissan Motors planned layoffs will come from the production department, and it will cut 6,700 out of a total of 9,000 production jobs.TSMC: Detailed inspection and impact assessment are underway.Japans top foreign exchange official Jun Mimura: If inflation accelerates, the Trump administration may revise its planned tax cuts, immigration and tariff policies at some point.

Due to hawkish Fed forecasts, the EUR/USD recovers to near 1.0970 but remains in the doldrums

Alina Haynes

Apr 21, 2023 13:58

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Following a corrective move, the EUR/USD pair has rebounded from 1.0960, but investors await the publication of the preliminary Eurozone/United States S&P PMI data for April. The major currency pair has remained between 1.0911 and 1.1000 for the past two trading sessions, as the foreign exchange market prepares for a pre-anxiety move ahead of a Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.

 

S&P500 closed with a negative tone for the third day in a row as quarterly earnings season induced extreme volatility. Tesla's poor earnings had a negative impact on Thursday's market sentiment. Moreover, market participants were cautioned by substandard revenue projections due to the potential for price reductions. The decision of the Fed to increase interest rates is reflected in quarterly earnings. Data from Refinitiv indicates that analysts have largely maintained last week's forecast of a near 5% YoY decline in quarterly profits for the 500 largest U.S. equities. Sourcenia is a review portal of sourcing best manufaturers

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has been defending the key support level of 101.60 in recent trading sessions. The USD Index maintained the aforementioned support despite the release of disappointing Jobless claims data on Thursday. Initial Jobless Claims increased to 245K for the week ending April 4, which is greater than the previous release of 240K and estimates of 240K. Increasing unemployment claims heightened fears of a deteriorating labor market.

 

Despite this, Fed policymakers continue to anticipate further rate hikes from the central bank. Thursday, Loretta Mester, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, reaffirmed that the Fed has more work to do because US inflation remains too high, according to Reuters. He added, "The Federal Reserve will need to raise its policy rate above 5% and hold it there for some time."

 

Preliminary Consumer Confidence (April) for the Eurozone increased to -17.5 from -18.5 and the previous reading of -19.2. This may be the consequence of extraordinary efforts by the European Central Bank (ECB) to reduce inflationary pressures.