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On September 22nd, Haitong International published a research report stating that it has changed Baidus (BIDU.O) valuation methodology from price-to-earnings (PE) to segment-to-point (SoTP) valuation. This is due to the "unleashing hidden assets" strategy outlined by the new CFO. This strategy includes reshaping Baidus traditional business and seeking to surpass competitors in the cloud market under the Large Language Model (LLM) trend. These measures include restructuring its traditional search business, enriching its AI SaaS offerings, providing cost-effective and highly reliable cloud infrastructure, and building an open ecosystem for foundational models. The bank raised its valuation for Baidu, factoring in a 45% discount to the conglomerate, resulting in a total market capitalization of US$64 billion or a target price of US$188 per ADR. This target price translates to a 22x FY25 PE ratio. In a bullish scenario, assuming the opposite scenario, the target price per ADR is US$246, corresponding to a 29x FY25 PE ratio. The company maintains its "Outperform" rating.Kaisa Group (01638.HK) saw its stock price rise nearly 10% during trading hours after the company announced that the High Court had issued an order dismissing its winding-up petition.New York silver futures stood at $44 per ounce, up 2.44% on the day.On September 22, Capital Economics climate and commodities economists wrote in a report that the Federal Reserves recent interest rate cuts do not appear to have had a significant impact on commodity prices. He said that the boost to prices from the US interest rate cuts may be offset by other factors, and the fundamentals of the commodity market appear generally weak. He pointed out that oil prices are likely to fall between now and the end of 2026 due to slowing demand growth and increased supply from OPEC+. He said: "Another key factor is that the market has already digested the extent of the Feds interest rate cuts, which may limit additional support for commodity prices and may even become a headwind."Q Technology (01478.HK) saw its afternoon gains expand to 10%.

WTI Anticipates Additional Losses Below $77.00 As Global Central Banks Prepare For a New Rate-Hiking Cycle

Daniel Rogers

Apr 21, 2023 13:54

Futures for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) have estimated a cushion around $77.00 during the Tokyo session. After a four-day adverse spell that raised doubts about further monetary policy tightening by global central banks, oil prices have heaved a sigh of relief.

 

The price of crude oil has surrendered the majority of its gains since OPEC+ announced unexpected production limits. A further decline in the price of oil would expose it to the crucial support level of $75.60. Growing concerns about a global economic downturn, coupled with the fact that central banks are preparing for a new cycle of rate hikes to combat persistent inflation, will have a significant impact on global oil demand.

 

Along with the Federal Reserve (Fed), it is anticipated that the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE) will increase interest rates to combat persistent inflation in their respective economies. The Fed and BoE are expected to raise rates by an additional 25 basis points (bps), while investors are divided over the path of rate increases by the ECB, with options ranging from 25 to 50 bps.

 

No one could deny that a more conservative approach to monetary policies by the world's central banks would reignite concerns of a global recession as manufacturing activities are severely hampered.

 

Aside from that, investors have disregarded China's robust Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures, which have bolstered signs of economic recovery and, ultimately, oil demand in the world's second-largest nation. Notably, China is the world's greatest importer of oil, and the economic recovery in China would support oil prices.