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Hang Seng Index futures closed up 0.82% at 27,154.40 points in overnight trading, a premium of 230.78 points.On January 16th, Federal Reserve Chairman Schmid stated that interest rates should remain at a level that continues to put pressure on the economy in order to further cool inflation. Given that inflationary pressures remain evident, he favors maintaining a moderately restrictive monetary policy. He noted, "While the labor market has cooled, some degree of cooling may be necessary to prevent a worsening of the inflation outlook." Schmid reiterated on Thursday that further rate cuts are unlikely to stimulate hiring and asserted that the slowdown in growth is driven by structural factors, making the Fed best suited to provide assistance during cyclical recessions. Schmid said, "I dont think further rate cuts will effectively repair the cracks in the labor market—these pressures are most likely caused by structural changes in technology and immigration policies. Im concerned that rate cuts will have a more lasting impact on inflation as our commitment to the 2% target is increasingly being questioned."White House Press Secretary Levitt: Trump is closely monitoring the situation in Iran.White House Press Secretary Levitt: Trump is in the decision-making stage regarding the appointment of a Federal Reserve official, and he currently has several preferred candidates for the position. Trump will make a decision on the Fed Chair in the coming weeks.Federal Reserves Schmid: Inflation is overheating, and we are not complacent about the inflation problem.

Forecast for Gold Price: XAU/USD consolidates above $2,000 as investors await initial US S&P PMI data

Daniel Rogers

Apr 21, 2023 13:52

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During the Asian session, the price of gold (XAU / USD) is oscillating above the psychological resistance of $2,000.00. After a gradual increase, the price of gold has leveled off near $2,005.00 as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States.

 

S&P500 futures have added some gains during the Asian session following three consecutive declines. As a result of Elon Musk's price-cutting frenzy, Tesla's revenue projections were gloomy, which dampened market sentiment. Near 101.77, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has extended its correction. The USD Index has been consolidating in a range between 100.90 and 102.03 for the past several trading sessions. Therefore, a move that exceeds the previously specified limit will be considered decisive.

 

The subdued USD index weighs on US Treasury yields as well. The demand for U.S. government bonds has increased as weekly unemployment claims have increased. The number of individuals claiming unemployment benefits rose to 245K, exceeding the consensus estimate of 240K. This indicated a softening in the labor market and bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not raise interest rates after the monetary policy meeting in May.

 

In the future, the publication of the preliminary US S&P PMI data will determine the impact of the Fed's rate hikes on the scope of economic activity. According to projections, the Manufacturing PMI and Services PMI will decline to 49.0 and 51.5, respectively. A preliminary PMI reading that is weaker than anticipated could impact heavily on the U.S. dollar.