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February 11th - At a regular press conference held by the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council on February 11th, a reporter asked: "Recently, the Taiwan Coast Guard announced that it will carry out so-called security maintenance work during the Spring Festival. What is your comment on this?" Spokesperson Zhu Fenglian stated that the Spring Festival is the most important traditional festival for the Chinese nation. If the DPP authorities dare to provoke trouble unnecessarily during this peaceful festival, they must bear all the consequences.February 11th, Futures News: According to the official WeChat account of Tsingshan Industrial Group, 1. Cooperation Overview: Tsingshan Industrial Group and the government of Madagascar signed a memorandum of understanding on a mining and green industry park project. Both parties will jointly explore the investment and construction of a large-scale comprehensive park integrating mineral development, processing and transformation, green industries, and supporting infrastructure, based on Madagascars advantageous mineral resources. 2. Construction Plan: The project plans to include the construction of key infrastructure such as its own port, highways, and airport, aiming to promote the extension of the mineral resource industrial chain and the enhancement of added value locally, thereby promoting industrialization and regional economic development. 3. Official Support: Madagascars President Michael Landrianilina stated that the project aligns with the national industrialization development strategy. Madagascar has established a high-level ministerial joint mechanism to conduct in-depth discussions and feasibility studies with Tsingshan on mineral resource policies, legal frameworks, land supply, and environmental assessments.February 11th - He Xiaopeng, Chairman of XPeng Motors (09868.HK), announced on social media that XPeng Motors largest sales and service center in China has officially reopened after renovation. Located in Huangpu District, Guangzhou, the center covers an area of 25,000 square meters and includes a newly upgraded standardized after-sales service center.February 11th - At a regular press conference held by the State Council Taiwan Affairs Office on February 11th, spokesperson Zhu Fenglian stated that the average load factor for cross-strait routes is expected to reach 80% by 2025, fully reflecting the strong demand for direct cross-strait flights. She expressed hope that Taiwan would heed public opinion and promptly remove unreasonable restrictions on cross-strait air transport, allowing airlines on both sides to independently arrange flight schedules based on market demand. Whether there is actual demand for flights should be determined by the market; the DPP authorities are welcome to lift restrictions and see for themselves.February 11th - The yen strengthened against most G10 and Asian currencies in early trading, primarily driven by concerns about potential intervention in the foreign exchange market by Japanese authorities. Philip Wee, a foreign exchange strategist at DBS Bank, noted that Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama and top foreign exchange official Jun Mimura have reiterated their close monitoring of any excessive yen depreciation. He stated, "Their statements have kept market concerns about foreign exchange intervention alive." Wee added that the USD/JPY pair fell for the second consecutive trading day overnight, driven by profit-taking, after already declining 0.9% on Monday.

Forecast for Gold Price: XAU/USD consolidates above $2,000 as investors await initial US S&P PMI data

Daniel Rogers

Apr 21, 2023 13:52

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During the Asian session, the price of gold (XAU / USD) is oscillating above the psychological resistance of $2,000.00. After a gradual increase, the price of gold has leveled off near $2,005.00 as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States.

 

S&P500 futures have added some gains during the Asian session following three consecutive declines. As a result of Elon Musk's price-cutting frenzy, Tesla's revenue projections were gloomy, which dampened market sentiment. Near 101.77, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has extended its correction. The USD Index has been consolidating in a range between 100.90 and 102.03 for the past several trading sessions. Therefore, a move that exceeds the previously specified limit will be considered decisive.

 

The subdued USD index weighs on US Treasury yields as well. The demand for U.S. government bonds has increased as weekly unemployment claims have increased. The number of individuals claiming unemployment benefits rose to 245K, exceeding the consensus estimate of 240K. This indicated a softening in the labor market and bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not raise interest rates after the monetary policy meeting in May.

 

In the future, the publication of the preliminary US S&P PMI data will determine the impact of the Fed's rate hikes on the scope of economic activity. According to projections, the Manufacturing PMI and Services PMI will decline to 49.0 and 51.5, respectively. A preliminary PMI reading that is weaker than anticipated could impact heavily on the U.S. dollar.