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Futures News, November 12th: Crude oil prices have risen continuously, but weak demand in the fuel oil market has dragged down the pace of price increases. Downstream operators are adopting a wait-and-see attitude and have limited acceptance of high-priced resources. Refineries are facing significant difficulties in shipping and are offering discounts to boost sales. It is expected that fuel oil negotiations will remain stable in some areas today, while others may still see further price reductions.On November 12, the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) announced that it plans to hold a signing ceremony on November 12, 2025, during which the Exchange Fund, HKEX, and Xunqing Clearing Holdings will sign a transaction agreement to finalize a strategic investment. Under the strategic investment, HKEX will acquire a 20% stake in Xunqing Clearing Holdings. Upon completion of the strategic investment, HKEX will invest up to HK$455 million (adjusted for net cash balances) in Xunqing Clearing Holdings to subscribe for newly issued shares. HKEX and the Exchange Fund, under the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA), will hold 20% and 80% stakes in Xunqing Clearing Holdings, respectively.Colombian President Petro de Blasio issued an order suspending intelligence sharing with U.S. security agencies.Japans broad money supply liquidity rate was 2.2% year-on-year in October, down from 2.1% in the previous month.Japans M3 money supply annual rate was 1% in October, compared with 1.00% in the previous month.

Forecast for Gold Price: XAU/USD consolidates above $2,000 as investors await initial US S&P PMI data

Daniel Rogers

Apr 21, 2023 13:52

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During the Asian session, the price of gold (XAU / USD) is oscillating above the psychological resistance of $2,000.00. After a gradual increase, the price of gold has leveled off near $2,005.00 as investors await the release of preliminary S&P PMI data for the United States.

 

S&P500 futures have added some gains during the Asian session following three consecutive declines. As a result of Elon Musk's price-cutting frenzy, Tesla's revenue projections were gloomy, which dampened market sentiment. Near 101.77, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has extended its correction. The USD Index has been consolidating in a range between 100.90 and 102.03 for the past several trading sessions. Therefore, a move that exceeds the previously specified limit will be considered decisive.

 

The subdued USD index weighs on US Treasury yields as well. The demand for U.S. government bonds has increased as weekly unemployment claims have increased. The number of individuals claiming unemployment benefits rose to 245K, exceeding the consensus estimate of 240K. This indicated a softening in the labor market and bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not raise interest rates after the monetary policy meeting in May.

 

In the future, the publication of the preliminary US S&P PMI data will determine the impact of the Fed's rate hikes on the scope of economic activity. According to projections, the Manufacturing PMI and Services PMI will decline to 49.0 and 51.5, respectively. A preliminary PMI reading that is weaker than anticipated could impact heavily on the U.S. dollar.