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Brazilian President Lula: Next week I will speak with leaders of France, Britain, Germany and the European Union.White House trade adviser Navarro: (Regarding Trumps threat to sue Powell) I will not get involved in this matter.On Tuesday, August 13th, U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson expressed optimism in an interview with Fox Business Channel that the Senate would confirm Stephen Milan, current Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, to the temporary vacancy on the Federal Reserve Board before the Feds September meeting. Bessant revealed that President Trump is conducting a wide-ranging search for candidates to fill the permanent vacancy on the Federal Reserve Board next January and is keeping a very open mind. He even revealed that the president has considered nominating former Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen. "This isnt an ideological issue; its about economics—whats best for the American people and whats best for the economy," Bessant emphasized.On August 13, the Wall Street Journal reported that Federal Reserve Chairman Barkin stated that there are numerous signs that low- and middle-income consumers are facing greater financial constraints than they were a few years ago, which could curb their spending and mitigate the inflationary impact of tariffs. "The theory that the cost of (tariffs) will inevitably be passed on, leading to a surge in inflation, will have to be tested by consumer reaction," he said. "I believe consumers will accept price increases on some essential goods, but will inevitably resist price increases in other areas by downsizing or delaying purchases." Regarding the inflation outlook, Barkin noted, "We will see some inflation, but it will be milder than expected because this is not 2022, when consumers had ample cash and a strong desire to spend. The reality in 2025 is that consumers are feeling the pinch and are therefore forced to be frugal."The API crude oil production in the United States in the week ending August 8 was 43,000 barrels per day, compared with 76,000 barrels per day in the previous week.

EUR/USD Is Anticipated To Fall Below 1.0950 Due To Market Optimism Regarding US Economic Prospects

Daniel Rogers

Apr 20, 2023 13:54

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The EUR/USD pair is expected to decline drastically below the near-term support level of 1.0950 during the Asian session. The major currency pair is attracting bids as the US Dollar Index (DXY) has shown a recovery move and surpassed the 102.00 level of resistance.

 

S&P500 futures have extended their losses during the Asian session in anticipation of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to raise interest rates, which could undermine revenue guidance.

 

According to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Beige Book minutes, economic activity is stable in the majority of districts. However, loans and advances to businesses and consumers have decreased due to stringent credit conditions imposed by commercial banks in the United States in order to prevent uncertainty in an unstable environment.

 

In the interim, Fed policymakers remain optimistic regarding the economic prognosis due to the labor market's tightness. As reported by Reuters, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, James Bullard, advocated for the continuation of the central bank's policy tightening in view of the continued strength of labor market data. A Fed official added that the demand for labor has not yet diminished and that a robust labor market results in robust consumer spending.

 

Citi Group forecasts a fourth-quarter recession in the US economy due to the constrained US labor market. Previously, it was anticipated that the United States would enter a recession during the third quarter of 2023.

 

Investors are anticipating the release of Eurozone Consumer Confidence data. Preliminary Consumer Confidence (April) data is anticipated to improve from -19.2 to -18.5. This may be the result of persistently declining inflation in the Eurozone, which reduces the burden on households.


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