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February 17th - A Russian diplomatic source stated late on the 16th that a Russian delegation led by Presidential Aide Medinsky had departed and was expected to arrive in Geneva, Switzerland, early on the 17th to participate in trilateral talks between Russia, the United States, and Ukraine. Bilateral contacts between Russia and Ukraine are possible during the talks. The source said the Russian delegation would arrive in Geneva around 6:00 AM local time on the 17th. The US is technically involved in coordinating the necessary permits for the Russian delegations arrival in Geneva via the EU. The source said the trilateral talks plan to discuss key factors in resolving the Ukrainian issue, including military, political, and humanitarian issues. The duration of the talks is currently unknown. Bilateral contacts between Russia and Ukraine are possible during the Russia-US-Ukraine talks.BHP Billiton (BHP.N): The Escondida copper mine is expected to produce between 1 million and 1.1 million tons in fiscal year 2027.BHP Billiton (BHP.N) reported a net profit of $5.64 billion for the first half of the year, up 28% year-on-year; revenue for the first half was $27.902 billion, higher than the market estimate of $26.907 billion.February 17th - BHP Billiton (BHP.N) announced that it has signed a long-term working capital agreement with Wheaton Precious Metals International Limited. The agreement stipulates that BHP Billiton will receive a $4.3 billion upfront payment upon completion of the transaction. BHP Billiton will deliver silver to Wheaton in accordance with its share of silver production at the Antamina mine. Under the agreement, Wheaton will pay BHP Billiton 20% of the spot price of silver at the time of delivery.Conflict Status: 1. Russian Ministry of Defense: Shot down 345 Ukrainian drones within 24 hours. 2. Russian Ministry of Defense: Recaptured Pokrovka and Minkivka in eastern Ukraine. 3. Local authorities stated that the fire in the Russian port of Taman has been extinguished. Peace Talks: 1. Sources: Talks on the Ukraine issue and the Iran issue will be held simultaneously in Geneva on February 17. 2. Russian Presidential Press Secretary Peskov: The trilateral talks in Geneva will include the territorial issue. 3. Market news: The Russian delegation to the Geneva talks will expand to approximately 20 people. 4. Swiss Foreign Ministry: The Geneva talks on the Ukraine issue will be held behind closed doors. 5. Zelensky: Ukraine will not relinquish its territory. Further Russian attacks will make reaching an agreement more difficult; Russia will launch a new round of large-scale energy strikes. Other Status: 1. Hungarian Prime Minister Orbán: Ukrainian President Zelensky must organize elections. 2. Ukrainian National Anti-Corruption Service: The former Ukrainian Energy Minister is accused of money laundering. 3. Russian media: Hungary and Slovakia have requested Croatia to allow Russian oil to transit through their borders. 4. Following the attack on Russian ports, European coal futures prices continued to rise.

Natural Gas Price News: XNG/USD prompts a three-day recovery near the monthly apex near $2.50 due to the strengthening of the US Dollar

Daniel Rogers

Apr 19, 2023 15:46

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During the early hours of Wednesday morning in Europe, the price of natural gas (XNG / USD) reverses course from its greatest levels in a month to post modest losses of approximately $2.51. As a result, the energy instrument breaks a three-day winning stretch amid negative sentiment and the most recent dollar recovery.

 

Recent news articles concerning the US House China Committee's discussion of the Taiwan invasion scenario and a likely delay on the US debt ceiling decision appear to have agitated the risk profile. Recent unfavorable US data and hawkish Fed forecasts may be on the same trajectory. It should be noted that a divided earnings season influences sentiment and the price of Natural Gas.

 

In addition, Bloomberg released news indicating China's involvement in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which, along with US President Joe Biden's reluctance to negotiate the debt limit, weighed on sentiment.

 

The recent decline in the XNG/USD price appears to be the result of a combination of factors, including reports that the United Kingdom has sufficient natural gas supplies to last through the winter and concerns about the likelihood of milder weather in the West. The Financial Times (FT) may have reported similar information: "The EU is storing record amounts of natural gas after a milder-than-expected winter, bolstering hopes that the bloc can wean itself off imports from Russia." According to the industry group Gas Infrastructure Europe, the bloc's storage capacity reached 55.7% at the beginning of the month, the highest level for early April since at least 2011.

 

In spite of this, the US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses its previous recovery from a one-year low and gains offers to 101.80 at the latest.

 

The previous day, the dollar index versus six main currencies reversed course in response to declining yields. In spite of this, US 10-year and 2-year Treasury bond coupons declined for the first time in four days by the end of Tuesday, hovering around 3.59 and 4.29 percent at the time of publication.

 

As a result of these trades, S&P 500 Futures have retreated from their greatest levels since early February, which were recorded the day before, and are currently trading near 4,178. Notable is the fact that the US stock futures ended their two-day winning trend with the most recent inactivity.

 

The news surrounding China and the US Federal Reserve (Fed), as well as the Fed Beige Book, can occupy Natural Gas traders until Thursday's release of weekly inventory data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA).