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On September 22nd, Haitong International published a research report stating that it has changed Baidus (BIDU.O) valuation methodology from price-to-earnings (PE) to segment-to-point (SoTP) valuation. This is due to the "unleashing hidden assets" strategy outlined by the new CFO. This strategy includes reshaping Baidus traditional business and seeking to surpass competitors in the cloud market under the Large Language Model (LLM) trend. These measures include restructuring its traditional search business, enriching its AI SaaS offerings, providing cost-effective and highly reliable cloud infrastructure, and building an open ecosystem for foundational models. The bank raised its valuation for Baidu, factoring in a 45% discount to the conglomerate, resulting in a total market capitalization of US$64 billion or a target price of US$188 per ADR. This target price translates to a 22x FY25 PE ratio. In a bullish scenario, assuming the opposite scenario, the target price per ADR is US$246, corresponding to a 29x FY25 PE ratio. The company maintains its "Outperform" rating.Kaisa Group (01638.HK) saw its stock price rise nearly 10% during trading hours after the company announced that the High Court had issued an order dismissing its winding-up petition.New York silver futures stood at $44 per ounce, up 2.44% on the day.On September 22, Capital Economics climate and commodities economists wrote in a report that the Federal Reserves recent interest rate cuts do not appear to have had a significant impact on commodity prices. He said that the boost to prices from the US interest rate cuts may be offset by other factors, and the fundamentals of the commodity market appear generally weak. He pointed out that oil prices are likely to fall between now and the end of 2026 due to slowing demand growth and increased supply from OPEC+. He said: "Another key factor is that the market has already digested the extent of the Feds interest rate cuts, which may limit additional support for commodity prices and may even become a headwind."Q Technology (01478.HK) saw its afternoon gains expand to 10%.

Natural Gas Price News: XNG/USD prompts a three-day recovery near the monthly apex near $2.50 due to the strengthening of the US Dollar

Daniel Rogers

Apr 19, 2023 15:46

 截屏2022-11-08 下午5.39.10_1024x576.png

 

During the early hours of Wednesday morning in Europe, the price of natural gas (XNG / USD) reverses course from its greatest levels in a month to post modest losses of approximately $2.51. As a result, the energy instrument breaks a three-day winning stretch amid negative sentiment and the most recent dollar recovery.

 

Recent news articles concerning the US House China Committee's discussion of the Taiwan invasion scenario and a likely delay on the US debt ceiling decision appear to have agitated the risk profile. Recent unfavorable US data and hawkish Fed forecasts may be on the same trajectory. It should be noted that a divided earnings season influences sentiment and the price of Natural Gas.

 

In addition, Bloomberg released news indicating China's involvement in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which, along with US President Joe Biden's reluctance to negotiate the debt limit, weighed on sentiment.

 

The recent decline in the XNG/USD price appears to be the result of a combination of factors, including reports that the United Kingdom has sufficient natural gas supplies to last through the winter and concerns about the likelihood of milder weather in the West. The Financial Times (FT) may have reported similar information: "The EU is storing record amounts of natural gas after a milder-than-expected winter, bolstering hopes that the bloc can wean itself off imports from Russia." According to the industry group Gas Infrastructure Europe, the bloc's storage capacity reached 55.7% at the beginning of the month, the highest level for early April since at least 2011.

 

In spite of this, the US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses its previous recovery from a one-year low and gains offers to 101.80 at the latest.

 

The previous day, the dollar index versus six main currencies reversed course in response to declining yields. In spite of this, US 10-year and 2-year Treasury bond coupons declined for the first time in four days by the end of Tuesday, hovering around 3.59 and 4.29 percent at the time of publication.

 

As a result of these trades, S&P 500 Futures have retreated from their greatest levels since early February, which were recorded the day before, and are currently trading near 4,178. Notable is the fact that the US stock futures ended their two-day winning trend with the most recent inactivity.

 

The news surrounding China and the US Federal Reserve (Fed), as well as the Fed Beige Book, can occupy Natural Gas traders until Thursday's release of weekly inventory data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA).

 

 


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