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Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD will recommence its downward trend in response to hawkish Fed forecasts

Alina Haynes

Apr 19, 2023 15:39

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After a rebound from $1,980.00, the price of gold (XAU / USD) is exhibiting a sharp reduction in volatility. The yellow metal struggles to prolong its recovery as the US Dollar Index (DXY) has rebounded strongly after successfully defending the crucial support level of 101.65.

 

Investors have invested in the USD Index due to its safe-haven appeal, as the Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation. In the short term, the demand for USD Index appears plausible, given that U.S. inflation has softened markedly and labor market conditions have loosened further.

 

In addition, household retail demand has declined due to higher financing costs and strict credit conditions imposed by US commercial banks. The healthy scenario indicates that the Fed will not aggressively raise interest rates further and will contemplate a hiatus to prevent the economy from falling into recession. In the current environment, however, additional rate increases cannot be ruled out.

 

In light of the USD Index's recovery, the demand for US government bonds has weakened once more, resuming the ascent of US Treasury yields. The yields on 10-year US Treasury bonds have surpassed 3.58 percent.