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On June 25, Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Guo Jia-kun held a regular press conference. A reporter asked about Chinas law enforcement patrols in the waters east of Taiwan. Spokesperson Guo stated that, according to Chinese domestic law and international law, including the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, China possesses an exclusive economic zone and continental shelf in the waters east of Taiwan. The relevant Chinese departments law enforcement patrols in these waters are legitimate measures to exercise jurisdiction in accordance with the law, maintain regional stability and maritime order, and are also necessary actions against Japan and the Philippines manipulation of maritime boundary issues and infringement upon Chinas maritime rights and interests. Relevant countries should respect Chinas sovereignty, territorial integrity, and maritime rights and interests, stop confusing right and wrong and distorting the truth, and relevant institutions should not make statements inconsistent with their status. The DPP authorities turn a deaf ear and a blind eye to the infringements committed by Japan and the Philippines, but instead colluded with external forces to launch a massive attack and smear campaign against the central governments rights protection efforts, and clamored for the fallacy of "Taiwan independence." This once again exposes the DPP authorities stubborn "Taiwan independence" nature and their ugly face of betraying the overall interests of the Chinese nation, and will surely be spurned by compatriots on both sides of the Taiwan Strait and subject to historical reckoning.June 25th - According to US media reports, Swiss Federal President and Minister of Economic Affairs Guy Parmelin will visit the United States at the end of this month to meet with US Trade Representative Greer, aiming to finalize a broader trade agreement between the two countries amid renewed tariff pressure from Washington. Parmelins trip is scheduled from June 29th to July 9th, during which he will visit the United States, Canada, and Mexico. A statement from his ministry confirmed the meeting with Greer was planned, but did not specify a date. The statement also indicated that the trip is intended to "emphasize the win-win nature of the close economic ties between Switzerland and the United States."On June 25, Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Guo Jia-kun held a regular press conference. A reporter asked about issues related to Honduras. Guo Jia-kun stated that China has noted the Honduran governments clarification of the lies told by the Taiwan authorities. This once again demonstrates that adhering to the one-China principle is a matter of international justice, the will of the people, and an irresistible trend. The "Taiwan independence" forces and the DPP authorities are going against the tide, are unpopular, and are doomed to failure. Since the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and Honduras, bilateral relations have developed rapidly on the basis of the one-China principle, and pragmatic cooperation in various fields has contributed to Honduras economic and social development. Facts fully prove that the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and Honduras is in the fundamental and long-term interests of both countries and their people. China is willing to promote the continuous development of China-Honduras relations on the basis of the one-China principle.Midday futures market summary for June 25: Weakness was concentrated in precious metals, chemicals, and the energy chain, with Shanghai silver leading the decline, falling by over 7%. Click to view.WTI and Brent crude oil prices are currently trading at around $70.42/barrel and $73.18/barrel respectively.

USD/TRY reestablishes its annual high on route to 17.00, notwithstanding Erdogan's expectation of future inflation moderation

Alina Haynes

Jun 06, 2022 15:25

 截屏2022-06-06 下午3.23.52.png

 

In spite of Turkish currency (TRY) traders' inflation worries and President Erdogan's efforts to appease TRY purchasers, the USD/TRY continues to trade near $16.36, the highest level since 2022. The pair's upward momentum is influenced by Friday's high Turkish inflation data for May, as well as the US dollar's comeback over the last week, not to mention expectations of the Fed's faster/more aggressive rate rises.

 

According to Reuters, "Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan stated on Sunday that inflation numbers from the month of May, when annual consumer prices soared to a 24-year high, indicate that inflation is now on the down." It is noteworthy that the May inflation rate for Turkey increased to 73.5 percent in the most recent report.

 

Reuters also reported that the lira fell by 44 percent last year and has been the poorest performer in emerging markets for several consecutive years, mostly owing to economic and monetary policy worries under the administration of President Tayyip Erdogan.

 

In contrast, the odds supporting a 0.50 percent rate hike by the Federal Reserve in September have lately increased to 75 percent from 35 percent a week earlier, which emphasizes this week's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and favors US dollar purchasers. In spite of this, the US Dollar Index (DXY) reversed a two-week downward trend at Friday's close, trading down 0.14 percent intraday near 102.000 as of press time.

 

US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) for May came in at 390K, above expectations of 325K but falling short of the upwardly revised prior readings of 428K. In addition, the unemployment rate stayed constant at 3.6% against predictions of a minor reduction to 3.5%. In addition, the US ISM Services PMI dropped to 55.9 in May, compared to the market estimate of 56.4 and the flash reading of 57.1 in April. Following the release of the statistics, Loretta Mester, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, stated that the Fed's only worry is inflation. The officials underlined that the likelihood of a recession has increased.

 

Wall Street benchmarks finished in the negative and US 10-year Treasury rates saw their first weekly increase in three weeks to reflect the risk-averse sentiment of the previous day. However, S&P 500 Futures increased by 0.5 percent to 4,126 and US 10-year Treasury rates fell by 1.3 basis points (bps) to 2.942 percent as per the most recent data available.

 

Amid a pre-Fed blackout for Fed officials and in anticipation of Friday's US CPI, USD/TRY traders should pay attention to risk drivers moving forward.

Technical Evaluation

A successful breach of the prior resistance line from early January, about 16.45 at the time of publication, would lead USD/TRY values toward the $17.00 mark before testing the late 2021 top at $18.36.


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