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On May 30th, it was reported that on May 29th, Zhang Zhigang, Chairman and Party Secretary of the State Grid Corporation of China, and Zhang Wenfeng, General Manager and Deputy Party Secretary, held talks with Qian Chaoyang, Chairman and Party Secretary of China Southern Power Grid Co., Ltd., at the companys headquarters. Both sides stated that State Grid and China Southern Power Grid share common responsibilities in ensuring energy security, promoting energy transformation, building a strong energy nation, and serving the overall economic and social development. They agreed to focus on the 15th Five-Year Plan and further strengthen communication and deepen cooperation in areas such as technological innovation, policy recommendations, mechanism building, the electricity market, and industrial innovation to better promote high-quality development of the energy and power sector.May 30th - Data released today by the National Energy Administration shows that in April, my country issued 237 million green electricity certificates, of which 74.85% were tradable. In April, 71.1 million green certificates were traded nationwide, including 29.72 million green certificates traded for green electricity.On May 30th, it was reported that the U.S. 24th Marine Expeditionary Unit announced on the 29th that it had officially assumed command of the U.S. Southern Commands area of responsibility—specifically, the waters surrounding Latin America. According to the announcement, the unit has deployed over 1,300 Marines and sailors and has completed the handover from the previously deployed 22nd Marine Expeditionary Unit.On May 30th, Qu Guochun, Director of the Equipment Industry Development Center of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, stated at the 2026 Equipment Power Forum that after ten years of development, my countrys high-end equipment industry has seen "accelerated progress in catching up, a gradual increase in keeping pace, and a rapid emergence of leaders." The number of key areas at the worlds leading and advanced levels has reached 60.8%, and the industrys scale accounts for over 60% of the overall equipment manufacturing industry. The international competitiveness of the high-end equipment industry has significantly improved. Specifically, intelligent connected new energy vehicles, rail transit equipment, power equipment, information and communication equipment, new energy equipment, aerospace equipment, high-tech ships, and overseas engineering equipment are already at the worlds leading level. Engineering machinery, building materials equipment, and computer equipment are at the worlds advanced level. However, gaps still exist in areas such as industrial machine tools, agricultural machinery, aviation equipment, robots, instruments and meters, semiconductor equipment, and biomedical equipment.On May 30, local time, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney met with Wang Yi, member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Minister of Foreign Affairs, in Ottawa on May 29. Wang Yi conveyed greetings from Chinese leaders to Carney, stating that the Prime Ministers successful visit to China had corrected the course of China-Canada relations and put them back on track. The two leaders decision to build a new type of strategic partnership between China and Canada provides strategic guidance for the development of bilateral relations. Facts have proven that the turnaround in China-Canada relations is in the interests of both countries, meets the expectations of all parties, and is the right choice for Canada. There are no fundamental conflicts of interest between the two countries, and there is enormous room for cooperation. China is willing to work with Canada to respect each other, meet each other halfway, seek common ground while reserving differences, strengthen communication, and deepen cooperation to promote the healthy, stable, and sustainable development of bilateral relations. Both sides should uphold multilateralism, adhere to the rule of international law, and maintain strategic autonomy, supporting free trade and an open world economy, which will benefit the people of both countries and inject stability from China and Canada into a volatile world.

USD/TRY reestablishes its annual high on route to 17.00, notwithstanding Erdogan's expectation of future inflation moderation

Alina Haynes

Jun 06, 2022 15:25

 截屏2022-06-06 下午3.23.52.png

 

In spite of Turkish currency (TRY) traders' inflation worries and President Erdogan's efforts to appease TRY purchasers, the USD/TRY continues to trade near $16.36, the highest level since 2022. The pair's upward momentum is influenced by Friday's high Turkish inflation data for May, as well as the US dollar's comeback over the last week, not to mention expectations of the Fed's faster/more aggressive rate rises.

 

According to Reuters, "Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan stated on Sunday that inflation numbers from the month of May, when annual consumer prices soared to a 24-year high, indicate that inflation is now on the down." It is noteworthy that the May inflation rate for Turkey increased to 73.5 percent in the most recent report.

 

Reuters also reported that the lira fell by 44 percent last year and has been the poorest performer in emerging markets for several consecutive years, mostly owing to economic and monetary policy worries under the administration of President Tayyip Erdogan.

 

In contrast, the odds supporting a 0.50 percent rate hike by the Federal Reserve in September have lately increased to 75 percent from 35 percent a week earlier, which emphasizes this week's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and favors US dollar purchasers. In spite of this, the US Dollar Index (DXY) reversed a two-week downward trend at Friday's close, trading down 0.14 percent intraday near 102.000 as of press time.

 

US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) for May came in at 390K, above expectations of 325K but falling short of the upwardly revised prior readings of 428K. In addition, the unemployment rate stayed constant at 3.6% against predictions of a minor reduction to 3.5%. In addition, the US ISM Services PMI dropped to 55.9 in May, compared to the market estimate of 56.4 and the flash reading of 57.1 in April. Following the release of the statistics, Loretta Mester, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, stated that the Fed's only worry is inflation. The officials underlined that the likelihood of a recession has increased.

 

Wall Street benchmarks finished in the negative and US 10-year Treasury rates saw their first weekly increase in three weeks to reflect the risk-averse sentiment of the previous day. However, S&P 500 Futures increased by 0.5 percent to 4,126 and US 10-year Treasury rates fell by 1.3 basis points (bps) to 2.942 percent as per the most recent data available.

 

Amid a pre-Fed blackout for Fed officials and in anticipation of Friday's US CPI, USD/TRY traders should pay attention to risk drivers moving forward.

Technical Evaluation

A successful breach of the prior resistance line from early January, about 16.45 at the time of publication, would lead USD/TRY values toward the $17.00 mark before testing the late 2021 top at $18.36.


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