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On July 30th, at the CDEC Summit Forum held during ChinaJoy, Zhang Yijun, First Vice Chairman of the China Audio-Visual and Digital Publishing Association, released the "China Game Industry Report for January-June 2026". The report shows that in the first half of 2026, the actual sales revenue of the domestic game market reached 188.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.17%. As of June, the number of game users in my country reached 684 million, a year-on-year increase of 0.82%. In terms of overseas game exports, my country continued to maintain high growth, with the actual sales revenue of self-developed games in overseas markets reaching US$12.372 billion in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 30.2%. Meanwhile, mini-games also showed impressive growth, with the revenue of mini-program mobile games reaching 31.66 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of approximately 36%. Zhang Yijun mentioned that the game industry saw significant growth in scale in the first half of the year, with AI technology fully penetrating the market and the game economy becoming increasingly robust.On July 30th, the worlds largest diameter high-speed rail tunnel boring machine, independently developed by my country, successfully traversed the Yangtze River, marking the completion of the tunnels waterway section. Once operational, the Chongtai Yangtze River Tunnel will end the history of Chongming Island, my countrys third largest island, being without high-speed rail access.U.S. Central Command: There are currently more than 50,000 U.S. troops deployed in the Middle East, maintaining a high level of vigilance and ready to fight at any time.Samsung Electronics: It has received approximately one-quarter of the advance payments for long-term service agreements.Samsung Electronics: The foundry business is expected to turn profitable in the near future.

USD/TRY reestablishes its annual high on route to 17.00, notwithstanding Erdogan's expectation of future inflation moderation

Alina Haynes

Jun 06, 2022 15:25

 截屏2022-06-06 下午3.23.52.png

 

In spite of Turkish currency (TRY) traders' inflation worries and President Erdogan's efforts to appease TRY purchasers, the USD/TRY continues to trade near $16.36, the highest level since 2022. The pair's upward momentum is influenced by Friday's high Turkish inflation data for May, as well as the US dollar's comeback over the last week, not to mention expectations of the Fed's faster/more aggressive rate rises.

 

According to Reuters, "Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan stated on Sunday that inflation numbers from the month of May, when annual consumer prices soared to a 24-year high, indicate that inflation is now on the down." It is noteworthy that the May inflation rate for Turkey increased to 73.5 percent in the most recent report.

 

Reuters also reported that the lira fell by 44 percent last year and has been the poorest performer in emerging markets for several consecutive years, mostly owing to economic and monetary policy worries under the administration of President Tayyip Erdogan.

 

In contrast, the odds supporting a 0.50 percent rate hike by the Federal Reserve in September have lately increased to 75 percent from 35 percent a week earlier, which emphasizes this week's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and favors US dollar purchasers. In spite of this, the US Dollar Index (DXY) reversed a two-week downward trend at Friday's close, trading down 0.14 percent intraday near 102.000 as of press time.

 

US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) for May came in at 390K, above expectations of 325K but falling short of the upwardly revised prior readings of 428K. In addition, the unemployment rate stayed constant at 3.6% against predictions of a minor reduction to 3.5%. In addition, the US ISM Services PMI dropped to 55.9 in May, compared to the market estimate of 56.4 and the flash reading of 57.1 in April. Following the release of the statistics, Loretta Mester, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, stated that the Fed's only worry is inflation. The officials underlined that the likelihood of a recession has increased.

 

Wall Street benchmarks finished in the negative and US 10-year Treasury rates saw their first weekly increase in three weeks to reflect the risk-averse sentiment of the previous day. However, S&P 500 Futures increased by 0.5 percent to 4,126 and US 10-year Treasury rates fell by 1.3 basis points (bps) to 2.942 percent as per the most recent data available.

 

Amid a pre-Fed blackout for Fed officials and in anticipation of Friday's US CPI, USD/TRY traders should pay attention to risk drivers moving forward.

Technical Evaluation

A successful breach of the prior resistance line from early January, about 16.45 at the time of publication, would lead USD/TRY values toward the $17.00 mark before testing the late 2021 top at $18.36.


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