Nov 24, 2022 15:00
In the early Asian session, the USD/CHF pair is wallowing at 0.9423 after two consecutive severely bearish sessions. Bears have paused their six-day run in the last two trading sessions as investors' risk appetite has increased. In response to Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes containing fewer hawkish indications, the dollar fell.
As market sentiment remains hopeful, it is projected that the major currency will continue to drop and may approach the 0.94 round-number support level. The FOMC minutes signal that the era of greater rate hike announcements is over and that a reduction in the rate rise pace is necessary for central banks to attain price stability.
Due to Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers' less hawkish statements on interest rate guidance, the US Dollar Index has dropped (DXY). The US Dollar is now trading near 106.10, and it is expected to test the previous week's low of 105.34. As the likelihood of a fifth consecutive rate hike of 75 basis points (bps) by the Fed diminishes, so do the returns on US Treasury bonds. Long-term US Treasury bond yields have dropped below 3.80%. Meanwhile, US markets are closed on Thanksgiving.
Additionally, solid US Durable Goods Orders were insufficient to support the US Dollar. The economic data exceeded expectations and the preceding report by 1.0%. Strong consumer demand and low real income may encourage customers to borrow more, resulting in higher delinquency costs for credit providers.
Regarding the Swiss franc, Swiss National Bank (SNB) Chairman Thomas J. Jordan reiterated that monetary policy remains expansionary and "we will likely change monetary policy again" The Swiss central bank is mandated to maintain an inflation rate between 0 and 2 percent, and the existing monetary policy is sufficient to achieve this goal.
Nov 23, 2022 16:01