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The Hong Kong dollar 1-week interbank offered rate (HIBOR) saw its biggest drop since May.January 2nd - The Stoxx Europe 600 Banks Index is projected to surge over 60% by 2025. Benjamin Goy, Head of European Financial Research at Deutsche Bank, stated, "European banks are well-capitalized, with most, if not all, in a state of significant excess capital." The core issue facing bank management is how to manage this excess capital. Share buybacks and dividends are common methods with relatively low execution risk. However, Goy predicts that the focus will shift to external growth, particularly M&A activity, in 2026. "This is precisely what the industry has lacked for the past decade. Management confidence is returning, investor support is growing, and announced deals typically boost earnings per share, explaining why acquiring companies share prices often rise. We expect such activity to increase further."Nasdaq futures rose 0.58%, and S&P 500 futures rose 0.39%.Hong Kong stocks saw the Hang Seng Index rise over 2%, the Hang Seng Tech Index rise over 3.5%, Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) rise over 11%, Baidu (09888.HK) rise nearly 8.5%, Kingdee International (00268.HK) rise nearly 7%, and Li Auto (02015.HK) and NetEase-S (09999.HK) both rise over 6%.January 2nd - The Fourth Session of the 16th Shanghai Municipal Peoples Congress will be held in early February 2026. The proposed agenda includes: hearing and deliberating the work report of the Shanghai Municipal Peoples Government; reviewing and approving the Outline of the 15th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development of Shanghai; reviewing and approving the report on the implementation of the 2025 National Economic and Social Development Plan and the draft 2026 National Economic and Social Development Plan of Shanghai, and approving the 2026 National Economic and Social Development Plan of Shanghai; reviewing and approving the report on the implementation of the 2025 Budget and the draft 2026 Budget of Shanghai, and approving the 2026 Shanghai Municipal Budget; hearing and deliberating the work report of the Standing Committee of the Shanghai Municipal Peoples Congress; hearing and deliberating the work report of the Shanghai Higher Peoples Court; hearing and deliberating the work report of the Shanghai Municipal Peoples Procuratorate; and other matters.

NASDAQ, S&P 500, Dow Jones Analysis – Stocks Retreat As Traders Focus On Recession Risks

Steven Zhao

Jan 19, 2023 17:42

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S&P 500 (SPX500)

S&P 500 found itself under pressure as traders reacted to the disappointing economic data.


Retail Sales declined by 1.1% month-over-month in December, compared to analyst consensus of -0.8%. Industrial Production declined by 0.7%, while Manufacturing Production decreased by 1.3%. Both reports missed analyst expectations.


The PPI report showed that Producer Prices declined by 0.5% in December. Treasury yields tested multi-month lows, as bond traders bet on a less hawkish Fed.


Lower Treasury yields did not provide any support to stocks as traders focused on recession risks. The pullback was broad, and all market segments moved lower. Consumer Defensive stocks were among the worst performers as Retail Sales data indicated that consumer activity was slowing down.

NASDAQ (NAS100)

NASDAQ  declined towards the 11,450 level amid a broad market sell-off. Leading tech stocks have found themselves under pressure, although Apple and Alphabet were almost flat in today’s trading session.


It should be noted that lower Treasury yields provided some support to the tech-heavy NASDAQ, which outperformed S&P 500 and Dow Jones.

Dow Jones (US30)

Dow Jones remained under strong pressure after yesterday’s sell-off. While Goldman Sachs made an attempt to rebound, other Dow Jones components were moving lower.


Honeywell, IBM, and Coca-Cola were among the biggest losers in the Dow Jones today. Currently, Dow Jones is trying to settle below the 33,500 level. In case this attempt is successful, Dow Jones will move towards the 50 EMA at 33,290.