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February 3rd - According to foreign media reports, the European Union will propose a partnership with the United States to establish key mineral resources. Sources familiar with the matter revealed that the EU is prepared to sign a memorandum of understanding with the US within three months, outlining a "strategic partnership roadmap" aimed at jointly exploring supply channels for key minerals. The memorandum of understanding recommends that the EU and the US explore joint key mineral projects and study price support mechanisms, while also suggesting measures to prevent external mineral oversupply and other forms of market shocks. The EU memorandum of understanding mentions the possibility of establishing key mineral reserves, which is also a key focus for Trump. The proposal also points out that both sides should establish secure supply chain systems between them. Notably, the EU proposal also emphasizes that both sides should respect each others territorial integrity. Trumps previous indication of intent to acquire Greenland nearly caused a breakdown in US-EU relations recently.February 3rd - Danske Banks Stefan Mellin stated in a report that the short-term risk balance has shifted in favor of a stronger dollar following Trumps nomination of Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair. The nomination appears to have eased market concerns about a potential threat to the Feds independence and prompted a partial reversal of the political risk premium previously priced into the dollar. He pointed out that the dollar sell-off in late January was primarily driven by political risks stemming from the unpredictability of US policy. Therefore, the easing of short-term political uncertainty could "restore the dollars correlation with fundamentals and create a tactical window for a dollar rebound."A Republican caucus in the U.S. House of Representatives accused Big Tech companies of conducting censorship in order to comply with European Union requirements.U.S. Trade Representative Greer: The Supreme Court tariff case is not an “obvious” outcome for the plaintiffs; the stakes in the tariff case are extremely high.U.S. Redbook retail sales annualized at 6.7% for the week ending January 30, compared with 7.1% previously.

NASDAQ, S&P 500, Dow Jones Analysis – Stocks Retreat As Traders Focus On Recession Risks

Steven Zhao

Jan 19, 2023 17:42

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S&P 500 (SPX500)

S&P 500 found itself under pressure as traders reacted to the disappointing economic data.


Retail Sales declined by 1.1% month-over-month in December, compared to analyst consensus of -0.8%. Industrial Production declined by 0.7%, while Manufacturing Production decreased by 1.3%. Both reports missed analyst expectations.


The PPI report showed that Producer Prices declined by 0.5% in December. Treasury yields tested multi-month lows, as bond traders bet on a less hawkish Fed.


Lower Treasury yields did not provide any support to stocks as traders focused on recession risks. The pullback was broad, and all market segments moved lower. Consumer Defensive stocks were among the worst performers as Retail Sales data indicated that consumer activity was slowing down.

NASDAQ (NAS100)

NASDAQ  declined towards the 11,450 level amid a broad market sell-off. Leading tech stocks have found themselves under pressure, although Apple and Alphabet were almost flat in today’s trading session.


It should be noted that lower Treasury yields provided some support to the tech-heavy NASDAQ, which outperformed S&P 500 and Dow Jones.

Dow Jones (US30)

Dow Jones remained under strong pressure after yesterday’s sell-off. While Goldman Sachs made an attempt to rebound, other Dow Jones components were moving lower.


Honeywell, IBM, and Coca-Cola were among the biggest losers in the Dow Jones today. Currently, Dow Jones is trying to settle below the 33,500 level. In case this attempt is successful, Dow Jones will move towards the 50 EMA at 33,290.