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Ukrainian Prime Minister: He and Besente discussed in detail the necessity of strengthening sanctions against Russia.On April 16th, Federal Reserve Chairman Mohamed Mussaleem stated on Wednesday that high oil prices could push core inflation nearly one percentage point above the Feds 2% target for the remainder of the year, potentially requiring the Fed to maintain interest rates. Mussaleem said, "We are likely to see some transmission of oil prices to core inflation," and that by the end of the year, the underlying measure of price increases will be "slightly below 3%, perhaps around 3%," with further upside risks. Mussaleem said the Fed is likely to keep its policy rate in its current 3.50%-3.75% range "for some time," while monitoring inflation, employment, and economic data in the coming months—a view shared by many of his colleagues. The impact of last years tariff increases may be fading this quarter, and housing price inflation is also weakening. With rising oil prices, inflation in a range of service sectors remains high, and he would be open to raising interest rates if inflation starts to rise and potentially boost inflation expectations. Mussaleem also stated that the oil market represents "the third negative supply shock in 12 months," and coupled with rising tariffs and stricter immigration regulations, the inflation outlook and the job market face risks, potentially impacting economic growth. He believes that economic growth will slow this year, but will still be between 1.5% and 2%.According to MS Now, citing two Pakistani officials, the US and Iran may return to Pakistan next week for negotiations.On April 16, it was reported that on April 15 local time, a majority of U.S. senators expressed support for President Trumps military action against Iran. The Senate voted 52 to 47 to reject a Democratic-led resolution aimed at preventing war until hostilities were authorized by Congress.Federal Reserve Chairman Mossallem: As economic growth slows, the unemployment rate may rise, but the increase may only be a fraction of a percentage point.

NASDAQ, S&P 500, Dow Jones Analysis – Stocks Retreat As Traders Focus On Recession Risks

Steven Zhao

Jan 19, 2023 17:42

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S&P 500 (SPX500)

S&P 500 found itself under pressure as traders reacted to the disappointing economic data.


Retail Sales declined by 1.1% month-over-month in December, compared to analyst consensus of -0.8%. Industrial Production declined by 0.7%, while Manufacturing Production decreased by 1.3%. Both reports missed analyst expectations.


The PPI report showed that Producer Prices declined by 0.5% in December. Treasury yields tested multi-month lows, as bond traders bet on a less hawkish Fed.


Lower Treasury yields did not provide any support to stocks as traders focused on recession risks. The pullback was broad, and all market segments moved lower. Consumer Defensive stocks were among the worst performers as Retail Sales data indicated that consumer activity was slowing down.

NASDAQ (NAS100)

NASDAQ  declined towards the 11,450 level amid a broad market sell-off. Leading tech stocks have found themselves under pressure, although Apple and Alphabet were almost flat in today’s trading session.


It should be noted that lower Treasury yields provided some support to the tech-heavy NASDAQ, which outperformed S&P 500 and Dow Jones.

Dow Jones (US30)

Dow Jones remained under strong pressure after yesterday’s sell-off. While Goldman Sachs made an attempt to rebound, other Dow Jones components were moving lower.


Honeywell, IBM, and Coca-Cola were among the biggest losers in the Dow Jones today. Currently, Dow Jones is trying to settle below the 33,500 level. In case this attempt is successful, Dow Jones will move towards the 50 EMA at 33,290.