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Futures News, December 11th: Crude oil prices corrected, and positive news for the fuel oil market offered limited guidance. Downstream traders remained cautious and acted on demand, while refineries maintained a slow pace of sales. It is expected that fuel oil trading will mostly stabilize today.December 11th - Calvin Tse, Head of US Strategy and Economics at BNP Paribas: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has served a long time and enjoys high prestige within the FOMC. Even under his leadership, three members still oppose interest rate decisions, and its hard to imagine any new Fed Chairman easily gaining unanimous approval from the FOMC members.On December 11th, in a social media interaction, Musk hinted that SpaceX might go public, following reports that the rocket maker plans an IPO in 2026. Musk responded to a post by Berger, saying, "As always, Eric is accurate." Erics post read, "This is why I think SpaceX is about to go public," and included Erics related article. Reuters reported on Tuesday that SpaceX hopes to raise more than $25 billion through an IPO in 2026, a move that could boost SpaceXs valuation to over $1 trillion.According to Huahai Qingke, on December 10, the cumulative output of the 12-inch thinning and polishing integrated machine Versatile-GP300, independently developed by Huahai Qingke, exceeded 20 units.On December 11th, a macro research report from Guolian Minsheng stated that, contrary to market expectations, neither Federal Reserve Chairman Powell nor the dot plot showed a more pronounced hawkish bias. Powell announced the resumption of short-term bond purchases and continued his previous stance on interest rate cuts, emphasizing that the Fed will make decisions based on economic data at each meeting, and that monetary policy has no fixed path. The dot plot also showed a more dovish distribution compared to September. Following the meeting, US stocks and precious metals surged, while the dollar and US Treasury yields weakened. However, regardless of the outcome, given the current interest rate level, the threshold for Fed rate cuts has clearly increased. The Fed will likely enter a period of observation in the first half of next year, with a significantly slower pace of change, and the political drama surrounding the Feds independence will officially begin.

NASDAQ, S&P 500, Dow Jones Analysis – Stocks Retreat As Traders Focus On Recession Risks

Steven Zhao

Jan 19, 2023 17:42

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S&P 500 (SPX500)

S&P 500 found itself under pressure as traders reacted to the disappointing economic data.


Retail Sales declined by 1.1% month-over-month in December, compared to analyst consensus of -0.8%. Industrial Production declined by 0.7%, while Manufacturing Production decreased by 1.3%. Both reports missed analyst expectations.


The PPI report showed that Producer Prices declined by 0.5% in December. Treasury yields tested multi-month lows, as bond traders bet on a less hawkish Fed.


Lower Treasury yields did not provide any support to stocks as traders focused on recession risks. The pullback was broad, and all market segments moved lower. Consumer Defensive stocks were among the worst performers as Retail Sales data indicated that consumer activity was slowing down.

NASDAQ (NAS100)

NASDAQ  declined towards the 11,450 level amid a broad market sell-off. Leading tech stocks have found themselves under pressure, although Apple and Alphabet were almost flat in today’s trading session.


It should be noted that lower Treasury yields provided some support to the tech-heavy NASDAQ, which outperformed S&P 500 and Dow Jones.

Dow Jones (US30)

Dow Jones remained under strong pressure after yesterday’s sell-off. While Goldman Sachs made an attempt to rebound, other Dow Jones components were moving lower.


Honeywell, IBM, and Coca-Cola were among the biggest losers in the Dow Jones today. Currently, Dow Jones is trying to settle below the 33,500 level. In case this attempt is successful, Dow Jones will move towards the 50 EMA at 33,290.