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On February 11th, Citigroup issued a research report stating that China Literature Limited (00772.HK) issued a profit warning, projecting non-IFRS adjusted net profit for last year to be between RMB 800 million and 900 million, lower than Citigroups and market expectations. The bank estimates that New Classics Media may record a loss in fiscal year 2025, mainly due to delays in content production leading to limited drama series releases, a significant difference from Citigroups previous forecast of releasing six drama series in the second half of the year and recording RMB 243 million in profit. Profit from non-New Classics Media businesses may be RMB 1 billion, lower than Citigroups pre-earnings forecast of RMB 1.08 billion. Therefore, Citigroup believes that the lower-than-expected profit for China Literature in 2025 is mainly due to the limited content releases from New Classics Media, while non-New Classics Media businesses will only slightly underperform expectations. Given that the market is already aware of the content production delays, Citigroup believes that the disappointing performance of New Classics Medias business should not be surprising. Citigroup expects the market to lower its profit forecast for China Literature in response to the profit warning, and the share price is expected to decline. Citigroup maintains a buy rating on China Literature with a target price of HKD 38.On February 11th, Citigroup released a research report predicting that Pop Marts (09992.HK) IP-centric diversification strategy will enhance its ability to withstand IP cyclical risks and revitalize new demand. Citigroups weekly data tracking shows a recent upward trend in app downloads, particularly in China and the US, which Citigroup attributes primarily to the launch of its new Skullpanda x My Little Pony series. Looking ahead to 2026, Citigroup predicts that the groups breakthroughs in IP diversification, product innovation, and monetization capabilities across a wide range of sectors will drive growth. The report mentions that the groups other iconic IP products, such as SKULLPANDA and CRYBABY, are becoming new growth drivers and have their own fan bases, proving they are not simply substitutes for LABUBU. The report predicts that non-LABUBU IPs have upside potential this year, and recent global consumer surveys also suggest that interest in non-LABUBU IPs in overseas markets may be underestimated. Citigroup has given Pop Mart a "Buy" rating with a target price of HK$415, based on a P/E ratio of 28x for 2026 earnings. The group commands a premium compared to most global toy and IP peers, likely due to its rapid growth driven by overseas expansion. Citigroup also believes Pop Mart deserves a premium over its domestic competitors due to its leading position.OpenAI founder Altman: Today we updated GPT-5.2 (Instant Model) in ChatGPT. While the changes are minor, we hope you find them to be an improvement.February 11th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: In recent intraday trading, spot gold prices have continued to fluctuate within a narrow range, holding steady above the psychological level of $5,000, attempting a technical correction in preparation for accumulating bullish momentum, driving prices higher, and resuming the upward trend.February 11th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: WTI crude oil futures prices further consolidated their gains in the previous trading session, benefiting from their continued trading above the EMA50 moving average. This moving average continues to provide dynamic support, further strengthening the stability and dominance of the main bullish trend in the short term, especially as prices move along the support trendline of this trend.

NASDAQ, S&P 500, Dow Jones Analysis – Stocks Retreat As Traders Focus On Recession Risks

Steven Zhao

Jan 19, 2023 17:42

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S&P 500 (SPX500)

S&P 500 found itself under pressure as traders reacted to the disappointing economic data.


Retail Sales declined by 1.1% month-over-month in December, compared to analyst consensus of -0.8%. Industrial Production declined by 0.7%, while Manufacturing Production decreased by 1.3%. Both reports missed analyst expectations.


The PPI report showed that Producer Prices declined by 0.5% in December. Treasury yields tested multi-month lows, as bond traders bet on a less hawkish Fed.


Lower Treasury yields did not provide any support to stocks as traders focused on recession risks. The pullback was broad, and all market segments moved lower. Consumer Defensive stocks were among the worst performers as Retail Sales data indicated that consumer activity was slowing down.

NASDAQ (NAS100)

NASDAQ  declined towards the 11,450 level amid a broad market sell-off. Leading tech stocks have found themselves under pressure, although Apple and Alphabet were almost flat in today’s trading session.


It should be noted that lower Treasury yields provided some support to the tech-heavy NASDAQ, which outperformed S&P 500 and Dow Jones.

Dow Jones (US30)

Dow Jones remained under strong pressure after yesterday’s sell-off. While Goldman Sachs made an attempt to rebound, other Dow Jones components were moving lower.


Honeywell, IBM, and Coca-Cola were among the biggest losers in the Dow Jones today. Currently, Dow Jones is trying to settle below the 33,500 level. In case this attempt is successful, Dow Jones will move towards the 50 EMA at 33,290.