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On January 29th, the US Treasury yield curve steepened for the second consecutive trading day, primarily driven by a weaker dollar and stronger oil prices, both of which boosted inflation expectations. The 2-year/10-year Treasury yield spread widened to 67.6 basis points at one point, up from 66.6 basis points at the close on Tuesday. The yield curve exhibited a typical "bear market steepening" characteristic, where longer-term yields rise faster than shorter-term yields as investors price in the risk of renewed inflation acceleration. Gunnett Dingela, Head of US Interest Rates Strategy at BNP Paribas, stated, "Weaker dollars typically lead to longer-term yields becoming more sensitive to inflation risks. Therefore, the dollar and Treasuries often act as pressure relief valves for the combination of monetary and fiscal policies. If the combination of fiscal and monetary policies suggests that the dollar will continue to weaken, then I think the rise in long-term yields is a textbook reaction."The German DAX 30 index closed down 91.30 points, or 0.37%, at 24,816.93 on Wednesday, January 28; the UK FTSE 100 index closed down 55.50 points, or 0.54%, at 10,152.30 on Wednesday, January 28; and the French CAC 40 index closed down 86.14 points, or 1.06%, at 8,066.68 on Wednesday, January 28; European The Stoxx 50 index closed down 62.53 points, or 1.04%, at 5932.06 on Wednesday, January 28; the Spanish IBEX 35 index closed down 206.52 points, or 1.16%, at 17597.58 on Wednesday, January 28; and the Italian FTSE MIB index closed down 343.94 points, or 0.76%, at 45096.50 on Wednesday, January 28.The percentage of winning bids for the 4-month U.S. Treasury bonds auctioned as of January 28 was 45.62%, compared to 50.47% previously.The bid-to-cover ratio for the US 4-month Treasury bond auction ending January 28 was 2.92, compared to 2.99 previously.The US 4-month Treasury auction on January 28th yielded a winning bid of 3.59%, compared to 3.58% previously.

S&P 500, Dow Pressured by Weak Economic Data, Hawkish Fed Remarks

Cory Russell

Jan 19, 2023 17:29

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The S&P 500 and the Dow both fell by about 2% on Wednesday, sending the main U.S. stock index futures down. Wall Street suffered its largest daily loss in more than a month as hawkish remarks from two Fed members and dismal economic data contributed to investor desire for lower-risk assets.


The benchmark S&P 500 Index finished the day on Wednesday at 3928.86, down 62.11 or -1.56%. The blue chip Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the day at 33296.96, down 613.89 or -1.81%, while the tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite dropped 138.10, or 1.24%, to close at 10957.01.


Wednesday's Recap Following the release of data revealing a decline in industrial production last month and the largest drop in retail sales in a year, U.S. equities dipped just before the cash market opened on Wednesday.


The theme of a weakening economy and an impending recession in 2023 was furthered by the drop in both industrial output and retail expenditure. Additionally, it could have dispelled last week's market craze about a "soft-landing" recession.


Investors also had to cope with Microsoft's announcement of 10,000 layoffs and hawkish remarks from Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, and Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker in addition to the bad economic news.

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