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Silver Price Prediction: XAG/USD falls as the dollar recovers some of its losses

Daniel Rogers

Oct 13, 2022 14:35

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Despite US Treasury bond yields retreating from weekly highs as a result of FOMC minutes indicating Fed officials' reluctance to declare triumph over inflation, the silver price extended its losing streak to four consecutive days.

 

Earlier in the European session, the XAG/USD reached a session high of $19.30 before falling to a session low of $18.84 before recovering some ground. XAG/USD is trading at $19.05 at the time of writing, 0.77% below its opening price.

 

US stocks ended Wednesday's trading session with slight losses. The atmosphere deteriorated as a result of the BoE's reiteration that the emergency bond-buying program will finish on October 14, and the minutes from the September FOMC meeting, which weighed on risk-perceived assets.

 

According to the FOMC's minutes, policymakers "stressed that the cost of taking insufficient action to reduce inflation likely outweighed the cost of taking excessive action." Officials emphasized that it will be necessary to "calibrate the pace of future rate hikes" in order to mitigate the impact on the US economy.

 

Several Fed members stressed the need to maintain a restrictive policy for as long as necessary, reaffirming the necessity to raise interest rates for an extended period.

 

In addition, traders are preparing for Thursday's US inflation report for September. Data released on Wednesday indicated that the Producer Price Index (PPI) increased by 8.5% year-over-year, while the so-called core PPI increased by 7.2%, which was less than the prior reading and projections.

 

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 75 basis point rate hike are 82% given the current environment. Consequently, the white metal will likely continue under pressure, preventing silver buyers from placing new wagers as US Treasury yields climb.


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