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Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting (IRIB): Alarms are sounding in Bahrain.According to Israeli media reports, sounds resembling missile launches were heard in Darab, Fars province, Iran.Market news: Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh told staff in a memo that he would engage in dialogue on Fed reform with a “clear eye” while adhering to the Fed’s best traditions.According to sources familiar with the matter, Broadcom (AVGO.O) has pledged the largest share of funding guarantees for Anthropic’s record-breaking microchip financing deal, reducing the debt costs of the $36 billion transaction.① Iran 1. Iran says repairs to damaged energy facilities are progressing faster than expected. 2. Explosions were heard on Qeshm Island in southern Iran. ② United States 1. US media reports a US pilot was shot down twice: once by friendly fire and once by an Iranian attack. 2. The US military claims to have attacked an Iranian oil tanker, rendering it unable to navigate. 3. US Central Command: Since imposing a blockade on all maritime traffic to and from Iranian ports on April 13, the US military has crippled six merchant ships and forced another 122 to change course. ③ Israel 1. Israeli Defense Minister Katz: If northern Israel is attacked again, strikes will be launched against the suburbs of Beirut, Lebanon. The US has "approved" the policy of striking the Beirut suburbs. 2. Israel clarifies reports of a phone call between Trump and Netanyahu. Trump did not comment on the imprisonment issue, nor did he claim that Netanyahu is hated globally. 3. Israeli Foreign Ministry: Despite yesterdays renewed ceasefire announcement, Hezbollah continues to violate the ceasefire agreement. Just last night, Hezbollah launched multiple missile and drone attacks from Lebanon into Israeli communities. 4. The Israeli Prime Minister vowed the Iranian regime would fall. 5. Netanyahu: Iran will not be allowed to threaten Israels survival. ④ Strait of Hormuz 1. Iranian media: Applications for passage permits to the Strait of Hormuz are now open. ⑤ Ceasefire negotiations 1. According to Irans Meh News Agency: Sources say Irans final text is still under discussion in Tehran and has not yet been responded to by the US. 2. Iranian media: Information exchange between Iran and the US has been interrupted for several days. 3. According to Israels i24News: Israeli and Lebanese officials are holding their fourth round of talks in Washington, D.C. 4. Rubio: The US and Iran are still talking, and it is uncertain when an agreement will be reached. 5. According to AFP: Hezbollah in Lebanon will not accept a "partial ceasefire" with Israel. 6. Trump demands a stronger commitment from Iran on the nuclear issue. 7. Trump: "The US and Iran stopped talking a few days ago" is fake news; dialogue between the two sides has been ongoing. ⑥ Other situations: 1. Bahrains Ministry of the Interior: Due to the current security tensions, citizens are prohibited from traveling to Iran and Iraq. 2. The UAE plans to build an oil product pipeline that bypasses the Strait of Hormuz.

WTI sellers assault $87.00 as US President Biden contests OPEC+ ruling

Daniel Rogers

Oct 12, 2022 14:29

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WTI remains below the $87.00 support level as US President Biden expresses his displeasure with the decision by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, including Russia, known collectively as OPEC+. Nevertheless, the bears remain cautious at the weekly low throughout the Asian session on Wednesday.

 

Reuters reported that US Vice President Joe Biden stated on Tuesday that "there will be consequences" for US-Saudi ties following OPEC+'s announcement last week that it will reduce oil production against US concerns. The news further reported that Biden's remark occurred a day after the influential Democratic senator Bob Menendez, chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, stated that the United States must immediately halt any cooperation with Saudi Arabia, including military sales. Notable is the fact that OPEC+ startled markets by declaring a two million-barrel-per-day output cut last week.

 

In addition to the OPEC+-agreed-upon supply cutbacks, the risk-aversion wave and the strengthening US Dollar Index (DXY) further weigh on commodities prices.

 

In spite of this, the DXY re-establishes a two-week high above 113.50 as higher US Treasury yields and hawkish Fed bets keep dollar investors optimistic ahead of today's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes.

 

The International Monetary Fund's (IMF) most recent economic forecasts may also impose downward pressure on the price of black gold. Tuesday, the IMF dropped its global economic growth forecast for 2023 from 2.9% in July to 2.7%, citing pressures from rising energy and food prices and interest rate hikes as the primary reasons for the change. Notable is that the Washington-based institute maintained its 3.2% growth prediction for 2022, compared to 6.0% for 2021.

 

In conclusion, the risk-averse sentiment and optimism for an easing of the supply constraint weigh on the price of black gold prior to the private weekly inventory data from the American Petroleum Institute (API), which was previously -1.77M.