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RSM Chief Economist Joseph Brusueras: Warsh delivered the right hawkish signals at the press conference and attempted to reinforce the Fed’s credibility in restoring price stability, while also enhancing his own credibility.U.S. stocks continued to decline after the Walsh press conference, with the S&P 500 falling 1%, its biggest drop since July 29, the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.65%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 0.6%.On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh declined to answer questions at a press conference regarding his interactions with US President Trump. Trump has been calling for lower interest rates in recent months. Warsh stated, "I have no comment on my discussions with the president." White House Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Christopher Phelan said on Tuesday that raising interest rates would be a "mistake."On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that he would not disclose details of future interest rate decisions by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). He said, "I am not responsible for providing forward guidance. Our decision today (to raise interest rates) is a carefully considered, serious, and responsible one. We have been preparing for and thinking about this decision for the past 110 or 120 days." Warsh also stated that this decision was not market-driven. He said, "Our decision today is based on our assessment of the current situation, our judgment of the employment trend, and our assessment of the strength of the economy. Sometimes, the market tries to anticipate our decisions. I watch market prices to see what information the market is sending. But todays decision is our own."On September 17th, Warsh stated that while the Federal Reserve cannot prevent price shocks in commodities such as oil on its own, the central bank can use policy tools to prevent further spread of inflationary pressures. Warsh said, "We cannot influence the price of any single commodity, such as oil or groceries." However, he pointed out, "We can and will ensure that any changes in relative prices do not spread further, and do not have second- or third-order effects on the economy. Thats our responsibility, and thats what were doing." Warsh made these remarks as U.S. diesel prices hit a record high due to the Iran war.

Silver Price Analysis: XAG / USD reverses from a six-week-old resistance level toward $22.00

Daniel Rogers

Mar 20, 2023 13:19

 截屏2022-06-06 下午5.54.42.png

 

As the Fed week gets underway, the silver price (XAG / USD) accepts offers to renew intraday lows near $22.40, reversing from the greatest levels since early February.

 

In doing so, the brilliant metal reverses from the horizontal area consisting of multiple peaks marked since February 3 at approximately $22.60.

 

Notably, the overbought conditions of the RSI (14) aid the XAG/USD in trimming recent gains near the multi-day high.

 

However, optimistic Silver purchasers are buoyed by bullish MACD signals and the metal's sustained trading above critical support levels.

 

A one-week-old ascending trend line near $21.90 and the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near $21.65 provide immediate crucial support.

 

The early-month swing high near $21.30 and the $21.00 round figure can act as additional downside filters for XAG/USD bears before targeting the monthly low of $19.90.

 

In the meantime, the Silver price rise above the aforementioned resistance line near $22.60 requires confirmation from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the metal's February-March decline, which is located close to $22.85.

 

After that, a rise to the Year-To-Date (YTD) high around $24.65 cannot be ruled out.

 

Silver prices are expected to decline overall, but the bears have a long way to go before regaining control.