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Futures News, August 4th: Following the easing of tensions between the US and Iran, crude oil prices declined, dragging down fuel oil costs and prompting downstream traders to adopt a cautious approach to high-priced purchases. Today, the news regarding low-sulfur asphalt futures offered limited support, but on the supply and demand side, increased coking plant operating rates and reduced residual oil supply provided some support to the market. It is expected that domestic fuel oil negotiations will remain largely stable today, with some potential for price reductions to encourage increased supply.According to JLC Network Technologys calculations, as of the second working day of August 4th, the average price of benchmark crude oil was $84.73 per barrel, with a change rate of -5.23%. Domestic gasoline and diesel retail prices should be reduced by 240 yuan per ton. The adjustments are based on: 1. the domestic crude oil import structure and settlement benchmark varieties; 2. the possibility of slight adjustments based on import structure and other factors during the pricing mechanisms operation, which JLC Network Technology will revise accordingly; 3. at 24:00 on July 31st, domestic gasoline and diesel retail prices were increased by 685 and 655 yuan per ton respectively. Based on the "ten working days" principle, the adjustment window for this round is 24:00 on August 14th.As of 8:30 on August 4, 2026, WTI crude oil, Brent crude oil and other commodities saw the largest fluctuations. A chart reviews the overnight price changes in the international market and their corresponding theoretical mappings in the domestic market.As of 8:30 AM Beijing time, spot platinum was up 0.06% and spot palladium was down 0.06%.Futures News, August 4th: Market concerns eased, international oil prices fell, and cost support weakened, leading to a generally weak PX market today. The short-term PX tightness situation continues, with supply and demand remaining favorable.

Silver Price Analysis: XAG / USD reverses from a six-week-old resistance level toward $22.00

Daniel Rogers

Mar 20, 2023 13:19

 截屏2022-06-06 下午5.54.42.png

 

As the Fed week gets underway, the silver price (XAG / USD) accepts offers to renew intraday lows near $22.40, reversing from the greatest levels since early February.

 

In doing so, the brilliant metal reverses from the horizontal area consisting of multiple peaks marked since February 3 at approximately $22.60.

 

Notably, the overbought conditions of the RSI (14) aid the XAG/USD in trimming recent gains near the multi-day high.

 

However, optimistic Silver purchasers are buoyed by bullish MACD signals and the metal's sustained trading above critical support levels.

 

A one-week-old ascending trend line near $21.90 and the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near $21.65 provide immediate crucial support.

 

The early-month swing high near $21.30 and the $21.00 round figure can act as additional downside filters for XAG/USD bears before targeting the monthly low of $19.90.

 

In the meantime, the Silver price rise above the aforementioned resistance line near $22.60 requires confirmation from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the metal's February-March decline, which is located close to $22.85.

 

After that, a rise to the Year-To-Date (YTD) high around $24.65 cannot be ruled out.

 

Silver prices are expected to decline overall, but the bears have a long way to go before regaining control.