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On July 4, the South Korean Joint Chiefs of Staff reported that the South Korean military controlled a North Korean person who crossed the military demarcation line on the evening of the 3rd. The South Korean Joint Chiefs of Staff stated that after the South Korean military found the relevant personnel in the area of the military demarcation line in the central and western parts of the country on the evening of the 3rd, they tracked and monitored them, carried out induced operations, and then controlled the relevant personnel. At present, the relevant departments are investigating them. The Joint Chiefs of Staff also stated that as of now, the North Korean army has no special movements.According to a Reuters poll: 31 of 37 economists believe the Reserve Bank of Australia will cut the cash rate to 3.60% on July 8, while six believe the rate will remain unchanged. The median forecast of economists shows that the Reserve Bank of Australia will cut the cash rate to 3.10% by the end of 2025 (down from 3.35% in the May survey).Japanese government officials: Japans household spending growth in May was the fastest year-on-year since August 2022, and the month-on-month growth rate was the highest since March 2021.Trump praised U.S. Treasury Secretary Besant, U.S. Senate Republican leader Thune and U.S. House Speaker Johnson for the passage of the "Big, Beautiful Act."Japans total household spending in May was 4.7% year-on-year, in line with expectations of 1.20% and the previous value of -0.10%.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD forges bullish path above $1,960, Fed and banking unrest anticipated

Daniel Rogers

Mar 21, 2023 13:57

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Following a retracement from a Year-To-Date (YTD) high, the gold price (XAU / USD) regains upward momentum amid cautious optimism in the banking sector. The market's inaction during the Japanese holiday as well as the failings of US Treasury bond yields to prolong the recent corrective bounce off a six-month low could lend support to the recovery movements.

 

Headlines indicating that U.S. policymakers are searching for ways to insure all bank deposits and that major central banks are rushing to keep markets liquid with the US Dollar flow appear to favor Gold purchasers.

 

Notably, the most recent reading of the CME's FedWatch tool indicates that the likelihood of a 0.25% Fed rate rise on Wednesday is now close to 75%, up from 65% last week. This allows US Treasury bond yields to rebound. However, Treasury bond yields remain inactive due to Japan's national holidays, which restrict bond trading in Asia. The previous day saw the 10-year and 2-year US Treasury bond yields rebound from their lowest levels since September 2022.

 

Gold traders will be keenly interested in the Fed's response to the banking crisis, as the 0.25 percentage point rate hike is a foregone conclusion. Should the dot-plot hint at a policy reversal, the US Dollar could experience further losses, which could propel the XAU/USD exchange rate.


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