• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
On August 2, Russias First Deputy Permanent Representative to the United Nations, Konstantin Polyansky, stated at a Security Council meeting that UN staff were unwilling to take seriously the Ukrainian militarys attack on Russian civilian facilities, which undermined the UNs authority. He said: "In this case, the relevant staff of the UN Secretariat acted with extreme hypocrisy, feigning ignorance and evading responsibility by claiming they could not verify the authenticity of the information about Ukrainian crimes. All of this clearly undermined the authority of our global organization."On August 2nd, a full year since the Bank of England began its interest rate-cutting cycle, despite four consecutive rate cuts and the likelihood of further cuts, British households continue to face the highest borrowing costs in a generation. Analysis of Bank of England savings and mortgage data shows that Britons are spending £11 billion (US$14.5 billion) less annually than in July of last year. This loss stems primarily from two factors: First, the rate cuts have hit savers hard, significantly reducing the returns on their savings. Second, many homeowners have yet to benefit from the rate cuts, as they are still waiting for mortgages locked in during periods of high interest rates to expire. Edward Allenby, an economist at Oxford Economics, said: "Against the backdrop of slowing real wage growth and tighter fiscal policy, the lagged impact of past rate hikes on mortgage holders will continue to dampen consumption. The Bank of Englands rate-cutting cycle is unlikely to provide a significant boost to business investment and consumer spending over the next few years."DeepBlue Auto: Global deliveries of 27,169 vehicles in July, a year-on-year increase of 62%.On August 2, CNN reported that the United States plans to conduct the first large-scale test of its Golden Dome missile defense system before the 2028 presidential election, allowing the current administration to promote it as a political achievement during the campaign. The report indicated that the test is tentatively scheduled for the fourth quarter of 2028. An unnamed US Department of Defense official stated that this timeline indicates that Republicans want to have a demonstration to show during the November election. He also noted that completing the systems test preparations within such a tight timeframe is an "extremely challenging task," especially given the high technical complexity of deploying a new missile interceptor system. This test may only be the first phase of the Golden Dome project, and full deployment will take much longer.YouGov poll: Most Americans believe tariffs hurt American consumers; only 22% blame foreign manufacturers.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD forges bullish path above $1,960, Fed and banking unrest anticipated

Daniel Rogers

Mar 21, 2023 13:57

269.png 

 

Following a retracement from a Year-To-Date (YTD) high, the gold price (XAU / USD) regains upward momentum amid cautious optimism in the banking sector. The market's inaction during the Japanese holiday as well as the failings of US Treasury bond yields to prolong the recent corrective bounce off a six-month low could lend support to the recovery movements.

 

Headlines indicating that U.S. policymakers are searching for ways to insure all bank deposits and that major central banks are rushing to keep markets liquid with the US Dollar flow appear to favor Gold purchasers.

 

Notably, the most recent reading of the CME's FedWatch tool indicates that the likelihood of a 0.25% Fed rate rise on Wednesday is now close to 75%, up from 65% last week. This allows US Treasury bond yields to rebound. However, Treasury bond yields remain inactive due to Japan's national holidays, which restrict bond trading in Asia. The previous day saw the 10-year and 2-year US Treasury bond yields rebound from their lowest levels since September 2022.

 

Gold traders will be keenly interested in the Fed's response to the banking crisis, as the 0.25 percentage point rate hike is a foregone conclusion. Should the dot-plot hint at a policy reversal, the US Dollar could experience further losses, which could propel the XAU/USD exchange rate.