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Futures News on February 24: Last Friday, the international commodity market generally fell, and the performance of crude oil can be described as diving, with a drop of more than 3%. 1. Obviously, even though crude oil has risen for several days before, it is still not a variety suitable for strong thinking. The latest data shows that the number of oil drilling rigs in the United States has increased by 7, indicating that Trump will implement his previous promise to reduce energy prices by increasing production, thereby easing inflation. At the same time, senior officials from the United States and Russia have recently had a series of positive contacts. In addition to the war issue, the repair of bilateral relations between the two countries is also discussed as a core issue. This will obviously make the market believe that the relationship between the two countries will warm up, and Russias previous crude oil export sanctions will be gradually lifted. Once the support from the supply side fades, oil prices will easily fall. After all, in the context of the transformation of the global energy industry, the market and major institutions are not very optimistic about the demand prospects for crude oil. The recent rumor that OPEC+ will postpone the production increase plan again is actually a good confirmation. 2. Then, for the 04 contract of WTI crude oil, we need to focus on whether $70 can be held. For the 04 contract of Brent crude oil, $74 is a very important price barrier. Once it cannot be held and is broken downward, it is a pattern signal in technical analysis that the decline may continue.On February 24, the article stated that innovation is endless and policy support also needs to be continuously optimized. There is still room for improvement in the intensity and efficiency of fiscal and taxation forces to support scientific and technological innovation. In terms of intensity, we will coordinate financial resources, increase investment in science and technology, further focus on basic research and national strategic scientific and technological tasks, and fully support the key core technology research. In terms of efficiency, we will deepen the reform of the mechanism for the allocation and use of fiscal science and technology funds, improve the performance of fund use, and give full play to the leverage effect of fiscal funds. Research and improve the structural tax reduction and fee reduction policies that focus on supporting scientific and technological innovation and the development of the manufacturing industry, study the tax system that is compatible with the new business format, promote policies that are more in line with the demands of the market and enterprises, improve the accuracy of policies, promote the direct and quick enjoyment of policy dividends, and help enterprises innovate and develop.According to German news today: Lindner, chairman of the German Free Democratic Party, announced his withdrawal from politics.Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky congratulated the CDU/CSU and Merz on their victory in the German Bundestag election.On February 24, the leaders of the 27 EU countries will hold an emergency summit on March 6 to discuss the Ukraine issue and the next steps regarding European security. European Council President Costa announced on Sunday that he would hold the summit in Brussels. Costa posted on social media: "We are at a decisive moment for Ukraine and European security." European Commission President von der Leyen and other members of the EU executive will visit Kiev on Monday to express support for Ukraine on the third anniversary of the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.

NZD/USD falls toward 0.6100 as Vice President Joe Biden aims to raise taxes on the rich and China's CPI is in focus

Daniel Rogers

Mar 09, 2023 14:01

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The NZD/USD pair was unable to recapture the crucial resistance level of 0.6120 during the Asian session. The New Zealand dollar is falling toward the round-number support of 0.6100 as the news that US President Joe Biden has proposed increasing the corporate tax rate from 21% to 28% has bolstered bearish market sentiment.

 

US Vice President Joseph Biden proposes a 25% tax on billionaires and steep levies on affluent investors. He has also proposed a 39.6% tax on incomes over $400,000 in the budget. The United States' fiscal policy appears to be kicking in to prevent the Consumer Price Index (CPI) from flexing its muscles further. By diminishing market liquidity, higher taxes may have a significant effect on consumer spending.

 

As a consequence of the news that wealthy Americans will be taxed more heavily, the S&P 500 futures are also under duress. The futures for the 500 largest U.S. stocks are falling during the Asian session. It appears that market participants will use Wednesday's insignificant recovery move as a selling opportunity.

 

In response to Vice President Biden's proposal for higher tariffs, the US Dollar Index (DXY) may experience some upward movement. The USD Index is presently hovering above 105.20 and is anticipated to resume its upward trend.

 

This week, the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data will remain in the spotlight. According to the consensus, the US economy added 203K new employment in February, which is less than the previous record-breaking release of 517K. The unemployment rate is anticipated to remain unchanged at 3.4%. Investors are concerned about the Average Hourly Earnings data, which is expected to increase to 4.8% on an annual basis from the previous release of 4.4%. An increase in the labor cost index will increase the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates more significantly (Fed).

 

Investors are keeping an eye on China's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. China's CPI is anticipated to decrease to 1.9% from the previous annual rate of 2.1%. The monthly CPI is expected to decrease to 0.2% from the previous release of 0.8%. If inflation declines, the Chinese government and the People's Bank of China (PBOC) may be forced to infuse more liquidity into the economy.

 

Notably, New Zealand is one of China's primary trading partners, and an increase in liquidity in the Chinese economy will increase demand for the New Zealand Dollar.