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On April 26, UBS said that the current market thinking is consistent with the banks basic forecast, that is, tariffs will be reduced from the current announced level for the rest of the year, and the Federal Reserve will further cut interest rates this year. However, as uncertainty in trade, economy and Federal Reserve policy remains high, expected volatility also remains high. However, UBS believes that the US stock market is attractive, and the S&P 500 index target continues to be 5,800 points by the end of the year. UBSs current basic forecast is that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 75 to 100 basis points this year, but in the short term, the Feds policy flexibility seems more limited because it must balance concerns about economic growth with the risk of inflation recovery.According to AFP: Senior officials said that Ukrainian President Zelensky and US President Trump may meet in Rome.Spokesman for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has arrived in Rome to attend the Popes funeral.According to the Ukrainian National News Agency: Russian troops launched 414 attacks in the Zaporizhia region at night.Market news: Ukrainian President Zelensky and his wife arrived in Rome.

GBP/JPY Meets Resistance Near 158.00 As UK GDP Forecasts Weaken

Daniel Rogers

Feb 08, 2023 14:47

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The GBP/JPY pair has detected selling attention despite striving to extend recovery above the critical resistance of 158.00 in the Asian session. The less-confident pullback move by the Pound Sterling has been fined and the negative path for the cross has continued.

 

On Tuesday, the cross was heavily dumped by the market participant. Additionally, Bank of Japan (BoJ) officials admitted a covert operation to support the Japanese Yen.

 

Meanwhile, the impact of appointing BoJ Deputy Governor Masayoshi Amamiya as BoJ Haruhiko Kuroda's replacement has begun to be felt on the street. OCBC analysts examined the impact of each contender for BoJ's new leadership on the Japanese yen.

 

According to a letter from OCBC, "this week's focus will be on the list of BoJ nominees that is anticipated to be handed to parliament on 10 February, however reports indicate a postponement until next week." Amamiya’s appointment would be most advantageous to the Japanese Yen upward but Yamaguchi’s appointment might drag down Yen’s strength.

 

On the front of the United Kingdom, the Bank of England (BoE) has failed to meaningfully lower inflationary pressures despite being an early adopter of tight monetary policy throughout the pandemic and pushing interest rates to 4%. As a result of their inability to meet key expenses, households are suffering from the effects of a growing cost of living.

 

As reported by Reuters, according to a report from Britain's National Institute for Economic and Social Research (NIESR), "one in four British households would be unable to pay for food and energy without using up savings, borrowing, or seeking other assistance in the 2023/24 financial year, up from one in five in the current year."

 

The agency has cut its predictions for the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) from 0.7% to 0.2% and from 1.7% to 1.0% for 2024. Governor of the Bank of England Andrew Bailey's decision to boost interest rates in order to attain price stability has lowered the scale of economic activities.


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