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February 2nd - On February 1st local time, US President Trump, answering reporters questions about Iran at Mar-a-Lago, stated his hope that "a deal can be reached." Responding to Iranian Supreme Leader Khameneis warning that a US strike would trigger a regional war, Trump said that if a deal cannot be reached, "then well see if he (Khamenei) is right." Trump emphasized to reporters that the US has deployed "the worlds largest and most powerful ships" in the region. Earlier that day, Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi stated that Iran "remains confident" of reaching an agreement with the US on the nuclear issue.Domestic News: 1. The State Taxation Administration clarified the threshold for value-added tax (VAT) collection and management. 2. Wang Yi held strategic communication with Sergei Shoigu, Secretary of the Security Council of the Russian Federation. 3. Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC): Investors should closely monitor changes in precious metal prices and reasonably control their position size. 4. The first-month performance reports of emerging electric vehicle manufacturers in the new year are released. Xiaomi, Wenjie, and HarmonyOS performed well, while BYDs production and sales both declined. 5. Guotou Silver LOF: Trading will be suspended from the opening of the market on February 2nd until 10:30 am on the same day. The daily price fluctuation limit after resumption of trading will be 10%. 6. China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom announced: The scope of application of VAT on telecommunications services has been adjusted, and the tax rate has increased to 9%, which will affect the companys revenue and profits. International News: 1. The Speaker of the Iranian Parliament announced that the armies of European countries will be considered "terrorist organizations." 2. US media: The Speaker of the US House of Representatives said he is confident that the partial government shutdown will end by Tuesday. 3. Zelensky: A new round of trilateral talks between Ukraine, the US, and Russia will be held on February 4th and 5th. 4. Saudi stocks suffered their biggest drop since June last year due to geopolitical factors and a gold price plunge. 5. Indias budget: 400 billion rupees will be allocated to support the semiconductor manufacturing industry. 6. Indias stock market held a special trading session on Sunday due to the budget, with metal stocks and ETFs suffering heavy losses. 7. OPEC+ statement: Eight member countries will maintain their original plan to suspend increases in oil production in March. 8. US-Iran situation—① It is reported that high-ranking US and Israeli military officials held intensive talks this weekend to discuss a strike against Iran. ② Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei stated that if the US launches a war this time, it will trigger a regional conflict. ③ Iranian officials: Media reports about the Revolutionary Guard planning military exercises in the Strait of Hormuz are incorrect. ④ US media: The US military is strengthening its air defense deployment in the Middle East to prepare for potential action against Iran.OPEC+ Statement: The OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) reiterated the importance of full compliance with oil production targets.On February 1st, OPEC+ held an online meeting to assess the global market situation and outlook. The eight participating countries reaffirmed the decision made on November 2nd, 2025, to suspend increased production in March 2026 due to seasonal factors. The eight countries reiterated that the previous production cut of 1.65 million barrels per day may be partially or fully restored depending on market developments, and this will be done gradually. Countries will continue to closely monitor and assess market conditions, and while continuing efforts to maintain market stability, reiterated the importance of a cautious approach and sufficient flexibility to continue suspending (increased production) or canceling additional (production cuts), including the voluntary production cut of 2.2 million barrels per day announced in November 2023. The organization will hold its next meeting on March 1st, 2026.OPEC+ statement: Reaffirmed its commitment to maintaining market stability, and stated that the global economic outlook is stable and the current oil market fundamentals are healthy with low inventory levels.

USD/JPY Surpasses 131.80 As Concern Grows Prior To BoJ Governor Selections

Alina Haynes

Feb 09, 2023 15:08

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During the Tokyo trading session, the USD/JPY pair jumped past the key resistance level of 131.80. The asset has demonstrated significant increases as investors become anxious in advance of the announcement of the list of candidates to replace Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda. The BoJ's Kuroda has maintained an ultra-loose monetary policy for an extended length of time, and the Japanese government wishes to arrange an exit from the expansionary policy with his successor.

 

The statement by Vice President Joe Biden that the United States will not experience a recession in 2023 and 2024 has bolstered risky assets. S&P500 futures are showing moderate gains in the Asian session following a decline on Wednesday, indicating a modest revival in investor risk appetite.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is failing to hold above 103.00 despite Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell and his team's commitment to raising interest rates higher and maintaining them at elevated levels for a longer period of time.

 

As reported by CNBC, Fed Governor Christopher Waller stated that the central bank will maintain its present plan of action, which has resulted in eight interest rate increases since March 2022. Regarding the labor market, the Fed official finds it to be relatively solid and anticipates that it will promote future consumer spending.

 

On the Japanese Yen front, investors are focusing mostly on the list of candidates for the position of next BoJ Governor. Wednesday, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida stated, "In the process of selecting the next Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor nominee, they are aware of the market's keen emphasis on the decision."

 

In the meantime, OCBC has issued the following statement: "This week, the focus will be on the list of BoJ nominees that is anticipated to be presented to parliament on 10 February, but rumors predict a delay until next week. The appointment of Amamiya would be most beneficial for the USD/uptrend, JPY's but Yamaguchi's appointment might weaken the Japanese Yen.


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