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On November 28th, according to the Financial Times, Belgian Prime Minister Barthes de Wever warned that rushing the EUs plan to use frozen Russian assets to raise €140 billion in loans for Ukraine would undermine the possibility of a peace agreement. In a letter to European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, de Wever outlined three key conditions: EU member states must provide legally binding joint guarantees for €185 billion in Russian assets held in trust at Eurobank; they must share potential litigation costs; and other EU member states must also contribute their frozen Russian assets to the loan program. De Wever emphasized in the letter that "rushing into a compensation loan program would lead to collateral damage – as the EU, we are effectively hindering the final peace agreement." He also proposed an alternative: the EU should utilize its untapped borrowing capacity under the budget framework to provide €45 billion in aid to Ukraine. While most EU countries support this loan program, Belgium, as the main trustee of Russian assets, is concerned about potential Russian retaliation and legal risks.The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) reported that UK car production fell 23.8% in October to 59,010 vehicles.The yield on 40-year Japanese government bonds fell 2.0 basis points to 3.665%.Japans inventory rose 0.6% month-on-month in October, compared with 0.8% in the previous month.Japans preliminary industrial production growth rate for October was 1.5% year-on-year, below the expected -0.50% and the previous reading of 3.80%.

As a Bearish-Pennant Forms, Sellers Have Entered the NZD/JPY Market

Daniel Rogers

Feb 09, 2023 15:14

NZD:JPY.png 

 

Throughout Wednesday's session, the NZD/JPY pair failed to gain upward/downward momentum, and as Thursday's Asian Pacific session begins, it is meandering at this week's lows. At the time of writing, the NZD/JPY exchange rate was 82.87, which was close to unchanged.

 

The daily chart for NZD/JPY displays the currency pair as neutral to slightly negative, although on Wednesday it failed to gain momentum. A doji appeared at the bottom of the week around 82.65, which may intensify a near-term consolidation. If this scenario plays out, the NZD/JPY will move between 82.65 and 83.00 for the remainder of the session, barring a catalyst that propels the pair above or below the range.

 

The initial upwards barrier for the NZD/JPY would be the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 83.44, followed by the 200-day EMA at 83.85. The weekly lows at 82.65 would provide the next support for the NZD/JPY, followed by the crucial 82.00 level.

 

In the immediate future, the formation of a bearish pennant on the NZD/JPY 1-hour chart indicates that further drops are imminent. A breach of the bottom trendline of the pennant will pave the way for additional losses, with the first leg of the slide targeting the S1 daily pivot at 82.62.

 

Next stop for the New Zealand dollar/Japanese yen downtrend would be the S2 pivot at 82.44, followed by the S3 daily pivot at 82.24.


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