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In an interview with Al Jazeera, Irans Foreign Minister stated that the new agreement will ensure safe passage under "specific conditions" and based on the interests of Iran and the region.1. Morgan Stanley: Powell may choose to ignore energy-driven inflation, posing a downside risk to the dollar. 2. Rabobank: With no signs of easing in the Middle East conflict, the dollar may still have room to strengthen further. 3. ANZ: The dollar has rebounded due to its safe-haven status, but this strength may be temporary as the currency remains overvalued. 4. TS Lombard: Believes the dollar is unlikely to see sustained appreciation at present, and will face further downward pressure in the next 3 to 6 months. 5. TD Securities: Remains committed to a weaker dollar forecast for 2026, citing waning US economic growth advantages, diminished safe-haven appeal, and a further intensification of "hedge against the US" trades. 6. HSBC: In the baseline scenario, if geopolitical premiums subside and the market returns to macroeconomic fundamentals, the dollar will resume its previous weakening trend. However, if energy inflation forces the Fed to return to a rate hike path, the dollar will experience an unexpected surge. 7. DBS Bank: Unless the Middle East conflict triggers an extremely severe long-term inflationary spiral and forces the market to completely erase expectations of two rate cuts in 2026, the US dollar will lack the unilateral upward momentum driven by the aggressive rate hike wave of 2022. March 18th - SMBC Nikko Securities economists stated that Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda is expected to avoid committing to a specific timetable for interest rate hikes at Thursdays press conference. However, if the summary of opinions from this meeting, to be released on March 30th, shows policymakers support further tightening, investors may further price in the possibility of an April rate hike. The market considers a 1% policy rate (currently 0.75%) to be still accommodative for the Bank of Japan, therefore, even a deterioration in the Middle East and increased global risk aversion are unlikely to prevent an April rate hike.Italian oil company Eni: The Gendallo and Gandang projects are expected to start production in 2028. Eni will achieve a stable peak production of 2 billion cubic feet per day for natural gas and 90,000 barrels per day for condensate by 2029.Italian oil company Eni: With the approval of the Gendarlo, Gandang, Genbei and Ghem oil fields, Eni expects to achieve a natural gas production of up to 2 billion cubic feet per day and a condensate production of 90,000 barrels per day.

GBP/JPY Meets Resistance Near 158.00 As UK GDP Forecasts Weaken

Daniel Rogers

Feb 08, 2023 14:47

GBP:JPY.png

 

The GBP/JPY pair has detected selling attention despite striving to extend recovery above the critical resistance of 158.00 in the Asian session. The less-confident pullback move by the Pound Sterling has been fined and the negative path for the cross has continued.

 

On Tuesday, the cross was heavily dumped by the market participant. Additionally, Bank of Japan (BoJ) officials admitted a covert operation to support the Japanese Yen.

 

Meanwhile, the impact of appointing BoJ Deputy Governor Masayoshi Amamiya as BoJ Haruhiko Kuroda's replacement has begun to be felt on the street. OCBC analysts examined the impact of each contender for BoJ's new leadership on the Japanese yen.

 

According to a letter from OCBC, "this week's focus will be on the list of BoJ nominees that is anticipated to be handed to parliament on 10 February, however reports indicate a postponement until next week." Amamiya’s appointment would be most advantageous to the Japanese Yen upward but Yamaguchi’s appointment might drag down Yen’s strength.

 

On the front of the United Kingdom, the Bank of England (BoE) has failed to meaningfully lower inflationary pressures despite being an early adopter of tight monetary policy throughout the pandemic and pushing interest rates to 4%. As a result of their inability to meet key expenses, households are suffering from the effects of a growing cost of living.

 

As reported by Reuters, according to a report from Britain's National Institute for Economic and Social Research (NIESR), "one in four British households would be unable to pay for food and energy without using up savings, borrowing, or seeking other assistance in the 2023/24 financial year, up from one in five in the current year."

 

The agency has cut its predictions for the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) from 0.7% to 0.2% and from 1.7% to 1.0% for 2024. Governor of the Bank of England Andrew Bailey's decision to boost interest rates in order to attain price stability has lowered the scale of economic activities.


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