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On April 14th, Bank of America Securities released a research report, forecasting that JD Logistics (02618.HK)s total revenue for the first quarter of 2026 will increase by 25% year-on-year to RMB 58.9 billion, with non-IFRS net profit rising by 37% year-on-year to RMB 1.03 billion. The non-IFRS net profit margin is expected to improve from 1.6% in the same period last year to 1.8%. Excluding the on-demand delivery business, the bank expects JD Logistics core supply chain logistics revenue to grow by 6% year-on-year, with traditional express delivery revenue growing by 10%, outperforming the industry, while its cross-border express delivery business will achieve double-digit growth. Bank of America Securities believes that in a volatile operating environment, revenue growth is more important than profit margin, reflecting the high stickiness of supply chain logistics customers. The bank also raised its non-IFRS profit forecasts for the group for this year and next by 13% to 18%; the target price was raised from HK$15 to HK$16.6, and the "Buy" rating was reiterated.On April 14th, it was learned from the Beijing Municipal Commission of Transport that the Beijing Municipal Transportation Law Enforcement Team has recently launched an investigation into Shanghai Hello Bike Technology Co., Ltd. for illegally deploying excessive numbers of shared bicycles in Beijing. Going forward, Beijings transportation authorities will continue to strengthen supervision of the shared bicycle industry, urging all operating companies to earnestly fulfill their responsibilities and operate in accordance with laws and regulations. For issues such as illegal deployment and untimely data access, measures such as interviews, administrative penalties, and dynamic control of the total number of bicycles will be taken in accordance with the law. Companies that repeatedly violate regulations and refuse to rectify their practices will be severely punished according to law.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially determined that a magnitude 3.1 earthquake occurred in Tongliang District, Chongqing (29.61 degrees north latitude, 106.07 degrees east longitude) at 11:53 on April 14, with a focal depth of 8 kilometers.On April 14th, Japans 20-year government bond auction attracted the strongest demand since 2019, with higher yields continuing to attract investors despite ongoing conflicts in the Middle East. The bid-to-cover ratio for Tuesdays auction was 4.82, compared to 3.25 in the previous auction and a 12-month average of 3.27. Prices of Japanese government bonds rose after the auction.DeepX, a South Korean AI chip startup, is preparing for an IPO in South Korea.

Forecast for Silver Price: XAG/USD pares substantial weekly gains below $22.00 amid conflicting sentiment

Daniel Rogers

Mar 17, 2023 13:47

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Silver price (XAG/USD) recovers from the intraday low to $21.80 on a sluggish Friday as metal traders take a respite following a volatile week amid a light calendar and conflicting sentiments. Nevertheless, the XAG/USD appears poised for its largest weekly gain since the week beginning November 28.

 

The efforts of global policymakers to allay concerns of the 2008 financial market crisis were met with little enthusiasm, but they were successful in preventing further market losses, so traders remain cautiously optimistic. Nonetheless, contradictory US data and hawkish Fed wagers challenge the optimists.

 

Ammar Al Khudairy, the chairman of the Saudi National Bank, stated that Credit Suisse's conditions were "sound," joining the efforts of the major US banks to assist the California-based First Republic Bank in avoiding a liquidity crisis and bolstering the risk-on disposition. Credit Suisse plans to borrow up to 50 billion Swiss francs (CHF) from the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to bolster liquidity, and Reuters cites anonymous sources as saying that US institutions are less susceptible to the Credit Suisse scandal. Moreover, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's assurances regarding the health of the US banking industry and the European Central Bank's (ECB) 50 basis point (bps) rate hike, which was in line with market expectations, also boosted sentiment and enabled the most recent increase in XAG/USD prices.

 

However, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims decreased to 192K for the week ending March 10 compared to 205K expected and 212K previously, while the four-week moving average decreased to 196.5K from 197.25K previously. (revised). In addition, Housing Starts increased to 1.45 million in February from 1.32 million in January and 1.31 million predicted by economists. During the same month, Housing Starts increased to 1.524 million from 1.34 million anticipated and 1.339 million previously. In addition, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey indicator came in at -23.2, compared to the expected -14.5 and the prior reading of -24.3.

 

It should be noted that the most recent decline in US inflation expectations, as indicated by the 10-year and 5-year breakeven inflation rates from the St. Louis Federal Reserve (FRED) data, also benefits the Silver price by exerting downward pressure on the US Dollar.

 

Ten-year and two-year US Treasury bond yields display a lack of direction while reflecting market sentiment, as yesterday's rebound fails to supplant the two-week downtrend. However, Wall Street ended the day in the black with benchmark indices gaining more than 1.0%, while S&P 500 Futures posted slight losses.

 

Bloomberg's dissemination of news articles indicating China's sustained economic recovery also challenges Silver Bears.

 

Traders in metals should keep a watch on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) monetary policy meeting next week. Prior to that, initial readings of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for March and the UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectations for the aforementioned month will be crucial for establishing distinct directions.


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