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June 30th - Prices surged due to the Iranian situation, quickly giving back as markets anticipate the resumption of previously disrupted Middle Eastern supplies. Aluminum prices are on track for their biggest monthly drop since 2008, having plummeted over 15% so far in June. The temporary ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran fueled optimism, with markets expecting the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to resume freight transport in the Middle East. This expectation erased gains from the previous three months. Like other metals, aluminum prices have also been impacted by the rapid strengthening of the US dollar since mid-May, making dollar-denominated metals more expensive for most buyers. Furthermore, market expectations that the Federal Reserve will need to maintain high interest rates for an extended period, and may even raise rates further to curb inflation, have also weighed on the demand outlook.On June 30, Eli Lilly and Innovent Biologics (01801.HK) jointly announced that they have reached a cooperation agreement regarding the rights to Eli Lillys CDK4&6 inhibitor Vizzar® (abecicalbide tablets) in mainland China: Innovent Biologics will be responsible for the import, sales, promotion and distribution of Vizzar® (abecicalbide tablets) in mainland China; Eli Lilly will continue to be responsible for the production, supply and ongoing development of the product.On June 30th, the Shanghai Stock Exchange announced that the secondary market trading price of Invesco Great Wall Global Chip LOF (501225) was significantly higher than its net asset value per unit, exhibiting a substantial premium. Trading in the fund will be suspended from the opening of the market on the afternoon of June 30th, 2026, until the market closes on the same day. Redemption services will continue as usual during the suspension period.Morningstar: Lowered its fair value estimate for JD.com (09618.HK) by 20% to HK$138.00.On June 30th, Unisound (09678.HK) announced that it plans to develop Hangzhou into a regional R&D center for the Yangtze River Delta region, constructing the Unisound AI Chip Innovation Headquarters R&D building. The project will focus on building a large-scale, high-performance intelligent computing cluster to further improve the underlying computing infrastructure for large-scale model services, supporting the companys core strategy of strong foundational models and deep applications. To this end, a subsidiary of the company entered into a general contracting agreement with Shuanglou Construction, the general contractor, for the construction of the Unisound AI Chip Innovation Headquarters project. The contract price is RMB 252,977,950.

AUD/USD falls to approximately 0.67 as a result of less hawkish RBA minutes

Daniel Rogers

Mar 21, 2023 14:05

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As a result of the publication of minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) that were less hawkish, the AUD/USD pair has declined to near 0.6705. Given that inflation was still too high, the labor market was constrained, and business surveys indicated robust activity, the Board reaffirmed that additional policy tightening would likely be required. The RBA policymakers viewed a 25 basis point (bps) rate increase as the only viable option for March's monetary policy.

 

Investors should be aware that RBA Governor Philip Lowe raised the Official Cash Rate by 25 basis points to 3.60 percent for the fifth consecutive time. In addition, it was the RBA's eleventh consecutive increase in interest rates to combat persistent inflation.

 

Recent optimistic Australian employment data indicate that the fight against persistent inflation is extremely complicated and that RBA policymakers are still required to make challenging decisions in times of inflation uncertainty and global banking collapse concerns.

 

In the Asian session, S&P500 futures have extended Monday's gains as investors disregard concerns over the Federal Reserve's (Fed) impending monetary policy, indicating a further improvement in market participants' risk appetite.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has remained relatively stable around 103.30 as investors anticipate a less hawkish monetary policy and interest rate guidance. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is required to restore investor confidence following the failure of three midsize commercial banks in the United States. This could be accomplished through minor adjustments to interest rate policy.

 

In the interim, the demand for U.S. government bonds has weakened further as inflation expectations have risen as a result of the collaborative effort of various central banks to support commercial banks by providing liquidity assistance in the form of US dollars. This has led to higher yields on US Treasury bonds. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note has risen to 3.5%.