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UBS: The Federal Reserve is expected to purchase approximately $40 billion in short-term Treasury bonds per month in early 2026.On December 6th, Nick Terry, product manager of OpenAIs ChatGPT, stated that there is a great deal of misunderstanding regarding rumors about potential advertising in ChatGPT. No advertising has been tested at present. If we consider introducing advertising in the future, we will do so in a carefully considered manner.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 104.05 points, or 0.22%, to close at 47,954.99 on Friday, December 5; the S&P 500 rose 13.28 points, or 0.19%, to close at 6,870.40; and the Nasdaq Composite rose 72.99 points, or 0.31%, to close at 23,578.13.Conflict Situation: 1. Russia – ① Russian forces have occupied Bezimenne in the Donetsk region of Ukraine. ② Russian forces conducted one large-scale airstrike and four cluster airstrikes, targeting defense industrial enterprises, energy facilities, and temporary deployment sites of Ukrainian armed forces and foreign mercenaries. All intended targets were hit. ③ Chechen leader Kadyrov: The Chechen capital was attacked by Ukrainian drones. 2. Ukraine – ① Ukraine claims its energy infrastructure was attacked, causing power outages in multiple areas. ② Ukraine attacked Russias Samara oil refinery. Other Situations: 1. US Vice President Vance: Good news is expected on the Ukraine issue in the coming weeks. 2. The US is reportedly lobbying several European countries to oppose the EUs plan to provide loans to Ukraine. 3. The G7 and the EU are reportedly considering banning Russian oil export shipping services as a replacement for the oil price cap. 4. The US has reportedly set a 2027 deadline requiring Europe to assume the main responsibility for NATOs conventional defense; if this is not met, the US may withdraw from some NATO defense coordination mechanisms. White House: Trump signed a bill repealing the Bureau of Land Management’s regulations regarding the “Decision Records of the Integrated Activities Plan for the Alaska National Petroleum Reserve.”

EUR/GBP is anticipated to decline below 0.8730 as BoE-ECB policy divergence widens

Daniel Rogers

Mar 21, 2023 14:09

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The EUR/GBP pair fluctuates erratically within a 0.8730-point range during the Asian session. The cross aims to fall below the aforementioned support as the market anticipates higher rates from the Bank of England (BoE) despite credible indicators of banking turmoil.

 

The failure of three midsize United States commercial banks and the 164-year-old Credit Suisse has jolted the confidence of market participants. Two schools of thought have perplexed investors, with one believing that central banks could maintain a constant approach to interest rates despite the possibility of significant repercussions from the banking shakeup. Others believe that inflation is extremely persistent, especially in the United Kingdom region, and must be brought under control as soon as possible.

 

In order to maintain pressure on UK inflation, the market expects BoE Governor Andrew Bailey to announce a 25 basis point (bps) reduction in interest rates. This would result in 4.25 percent interest rates.

 

Prior to the Bank of England's interest rate decision, inflation data for the United Kingdom will be diligently monitored. The annual headline CPI is expected to decline from 10.1% to 9.8%, according to projections. At 5.8%, the core CPI, which excludes the cost of fuels and food, would not change.

 

Christine Lagarde's remarks on inflation projections and earnings bolstered expectations for the European Central Bank's (ECB) sustained rate hikes in the Eurozone. ECB According to Reuters, Lagarde stated that it is anticipated that inflation will remain excessively elevated for too long. She added that as a consequence of robust labor markets, wage pressures have increased and workers are endeavoring to regain some of their purchasing power.