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Real-time News
Conflict Situation: 1. Russia – ① Russian officials stated that a Ukrainian drone attack damaged apartment buildings and oil depots in the Russian Black Sea port of Novorossiysk. ② Russian Ministry of Defense: Air defense forces shot down or intercepted 216 Ukrainian drones overnight. 66 drones were shot down in the Krasnodar region of southern Russia. ③ Russian Federal Security Service: A Ukrainian plot to assassinate a senior Russian government official was foiled while the official was visiting a cemetery in Moscow. ④ Governor of Volgograd Oblast: Air defense systems repelled a nighttime drone attack targeting energy infrastructure. ⑤ Sources: Oil exports from the Russian Black Sea port of Novorossiysk have been suspended following the drone attack. ⑥ Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian forces conducted large-scale strikes against Ukrainian military and energy facilities. ⑦ Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian forces continued to attack besieged Ukrainian troops in the Krasnodar region. Russian forces successfully repelled seven Ukrainian attempts to relieve besieged troops from the northwest of Krasnodar. Russian forces also completed the clearing of Ukrainian personnel from the Rog settlement east of Krasnodar. 2. Ukraine – ① Numerous explosions were heard in the Ukrainian capital, Kyiv, with the mayor claiming a large-scale Russian attack. ② The mayor of Kyiv stated that the Russian attack injured 11 people. ③ The Ukrainian Ministry of Energy reported that Russia attacked energy facilities last night, causing power outages in parts of Kyiv, Odessa, and Donetsk. ④ The attack on Kyiv has resulted in 6 deaths. ⑤ Ukraine launched a major drone attack on Novorossiysk, a key Black Sea port handling oil cargo from Russia and Kazakhstan. ⑥ The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported that Russian forces launched 64 attacks in multiple locations in the Pokrovsk direction, of which Ukrainian forces repelled 41; the remaining battles are ongoing. Other developments: 1. Denmark delivered €830 million in military aid to Ukraine. 2. German Chancellor Merz stated that the EU is preparing new sanctions against Russia. 3. Russia consulted with the International Atomic Energy Agency regarding the power supply security of the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant. 4. Two industry sources said that the Saratov oil refinery in Russia halted oil processing on November 11 following the drone attack. 5. The deputy head of the Ukrainian military intelligence service stated that the number of artillery shells North Korea supplied to Russia in 2025 has decreased by about half compared to 2024. 6. The deputy head of the Ukrainian military intelligence service stated that Russia plans to produce approximately 500 new glide bombs with a range of 200 kilometers this year and is working to extend the range to 400 kilometers.On November 15th, the Russian Ministry of Defense stated that on the 14th local time, Russian forces continued their operations against besieged Ukrainian troops in the Krasnoyarsk region. Russian forces successfully repelled seven Ukrainian attempts to relieve besieged troops from the northwest of Krasnoyarsk, and also completed the clearing of Ukrainian personnel from the Rog settlement east of Krasnoyarsk. Furthermore, Russian forces continued their aggressive advance in the Dimitrov (Mirnokhlad) region adjacent to Krasnoyarsk, expanding their control. On the same day, the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces stated that Russian forces launched 64 attacks in multiple locations in the Pokrovsk direction, repelling 41 of them, with the remaining battles ongoing.On November 15th, Denmark, holding the rotating presidency of the European Union, announced on social media that it had completed the delivery of weapons and military equipment worth nearly €830 million to Ukraine. The funds came from "unexpected proceeds" generated by the EU using frozen Russian assets. This marks the second time the EU has used "unexpected proceeds" to provide military support to Ukraine. The equipment will reportedly be used to strengthen the combat capabilities of the Ukrainian armed forces. Denmark stated that the delivery is complete and that it will continue to support Ukraine alongside its EU partners.On November 15th, the State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) drafted the "Guidelines for Anti-Monopoly Compliance of Internet Platforms (Draft for Public Comment)," which was released for public comment. To help platform operators better identify anti-monopoly compliance risks and enhance the readability and vividness of the provisions, the "Guidelines," drawing on anti-monopoly regulatory enforcement experience, lists eight risks for platform operators using examples: algorithmic collusion between platforms, organizing and assisting platform operators in reaching monopoly agreements, unfair pricing by platforms, selling below cost by platforms, account blocking, "choose one of two" practices, "lowest price across the entire network," and platform discrimination. These eight risk examples provide clear indications of monopoly risks in specific scenarios for internet platforms, covering various platform operations such as data transmission, algorithm application, service pricing, search ranking, recommendation display, traffic allocation, and subsidies. Platform operators are encouraged to proactively conduct risk assessments and self-checks based on the risk examples listed in the "Guidelines" to avoid the anti-monopoly compliance risks mentioned in the examples. However, determining whether an act constitutes a monopolistic act prohibited by the Anti-Monopoly Law requires investigation, evidence collection, analysis, and argumentation based on the Anti-Monopoly Law and related regulations before a conclusion can be reached.The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 309.74 points, or 0.65%, at 47,147.48 on Friday, November 14; the S&P 500 closed down 3.38 points, or 0.05%, at 6,734.11; and the Nasdaq Composite closed up 30.23 points, or 0.13%, at 22,900.59.

EUR/GBP is anticipated to decline below 0.8730 as BoE-ECB policy divergence widens

Daniel Rogers

Mar 21, 2023 14:09

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The EUR/GBP pair fluctuates erratically within a 0.8730-point range during the Asian session. The cross aims to fall below the aforementioned support as the market anticipates higher rates from the Bank of England (BoE) despite credible indicators of banking turmoil.

 

The failure of three midsize United States commercial banks and the 164-year-old Credit Suisse has jolted the confidence of market participants. Two schools of thought have perplexed investors, with one believing that central banks could maintain a constant approach to interest rates despite the possibility of significant repercussions from the banking shakeup. Others believe that inflation is extremely persistent, especially in the United Kingdom region, and must be brought under control as soon as possible.

 

In order to maintain pressure on UK inflation, the market expects BoE Governor Andrew Bailey to announce a 25 basis point (bps) reduction in interest rates. This would result in 4.25 percent interest rates.

 

Prior to the Bank of England's interest rate decision, inflation data for the United Kingdom will be diligently monitored. The annual headline CPI is expected to decline from 10.1% to 9.8%, according to projections. At 5.8%, the core CPI, which excludes the cost of fuels and food, would not change.

 

Christine Lagarde's remarks on inflation projections and earnings bolstered expectations for the European Central Bank's (ECB) sustained rate hikes in the Eurozone. ECB According to Reuters, Lagarde stated that it is anticipated that inflation will remain excessively elevated for too long. She added that as a consequence of robust labor markets, wage pressures have increased and workers are endeavoring to regain some of their purchasing power.