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On September 15th, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed that in August, the year-on-year decline in new residential property prices in first-tier cities was 0.9%, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month. Specifically, prices in Beijing, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen fell by 2.3%, 1.9%, and 2.3% respectively, while Shanghai saw an increase of 3.0%. In second- and third-tier cities, the year-on-year declines in new residential property prices were 2.7% and 4.1% respectively, both narrowing by 0.1 percentage points. In August, the year-on-year decline in existing residential property prices in first-tier cities was 2.7%, a decrease of 1.0 percentage point compared to the previous month. Specifically, prices in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen fell by 3.5%, 0.8%, 3.8%, and 2.7% respectively. In second- and third-tier cities, the year-on-year declines in existing residential property prices were 4.9% and 5.6% respectively, both narrowing by 0.2 percentage points.New Residential Housing Prices: 1. Beijing: August new residential housing prices -0.2% month-on-month (previous value -0.3%), -2.3% year-on-year (previous value -2.3%). 2. Shanghai: August new residential housing prices +0.4% month-on-month (previous value +0.2%), +3.0% year-on-year (previous value +3.0%). 3. Guangzhou: August new residential housing prices +0.1% month-on-month (previous value +0.1%), -1.9% year-on-year (previous value -2.2%). 4. Shenzhen: August new residential housing prices +0.2% month-on-month (previous value +0.2%), -2.3% year-on-year (previous value -2.9%). Second-hand Residential Housing Prices: 1. Beijing: August second-hand residential housing prices -0.1% month-on-month (previous value 0.0%), -3.5% year-on-year (previous value -4.5%). 2. Shanghais existing home prices in August increased by 0.3% month-on-month (previous value +0.3%) and decreased by 0.8% year-on-year (previous value -2.0%). 3. Guangzhous existing home prices in August remained unchanged month-on-month (previous value +0.4%) and decreased by 3.8% year-on-year (previous value -4.7%). 4. Shenzhens existing home prices in August increased by 0.1% month-on-month (previous value +0.2%) and decreased by 2.7% year-on-year (previous value -3.6%).National Bureau of Statistics: Beijings second-hand housing prices in August decreased by 0.1% month-on-month (previous value +0%) and decreased by 3.5% year-on-year (previous value -4.5%).According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the price of second-hand residential properties in Shenzhen rose 0.1% month-on-month in August (up 0.2% in the previous month) and fell 2.7% year-on-year (down 3.6% in the previous month).September 15th - The 2026 China Carbon Market Conference was held in Wuhan, Hubei Province this morning, and the "National Carbon Market Development Report (2026)" was released at the conference. Reporters learned that as of the end of August, the national carbon emission trading market had accumulated transactions exceeding 900 million tons, with a transaction value exceeding 60 billion yuan. The national carbon market has grown from nothing to a significant stage, playing a crucial role in promoting the achievement of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals.

EUR/GBP is anticipated to decline below 0.8730 as BoE-ECB policy divergence widens

Daniel Rogers

Mar 21, 2023 14:09

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The EUR/GBP pair fluctuates erratically within a 0.8730-point range during the Asian session. The cross aims to fall below the aforementioned support as the market anticipates higher rates from the Bank of England (BoE) despite credible indicators of banking turmoil.

 

The failure of three midsize United States commercial banks and the 164-year-old Credit Suisse has jolted the confidence of market participants. Two schools of thought have perplexed investors, with one believing that central banks could maintain a constant approach to interest rates despite the possibility of significant repercussions from the banking shakeup. Others believe that inflation is extremely persistent, especially in the United Kingdom region, and must be brought under control as soon as possible.

 

In order to maintain pressure on UK inflation, the market expects BoE Governor Andrew Bailey to announce a 25 basis point (bps) reduction in interest rates. This would result in 4.25 percent interest rates.

 

Prior to the Bank of England's interest rate decision, inflation data for the United Kingdom will be diligently monitored. The annual headline CPI is expected to decline from 10.1% to 9.8%, according to projections. At 5.8%, the core CPI, which excludes the cost of fuels and food, would not change.

 

Christine Lagarde's remarks on inflation projections and earnings bolstered expectations for the European Central Bank's (ECB) sustained rate hikes in the Eurozone. ECB According to Reuters, Lagarde stated that it is anticipated that inflation will remain excessively elevated for too long. She added that as a consequence of robust labor markets, wage pressures have increased and workers are endeavoring to regain some of their purchasing power.