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November 15th - Stephen Innes, Managing Partner of SPI Asset Management, stated that with the US government reopening, a backlog of important data will be released, including employment and inflation indicators, which the market expects to be weak. Weaker US data could depress US Treasury yields, reigniting market expectations for an interest rate cut in early 2026 and providing room for a rebound in gold prices, which have been squeezed by rising real yields. The recent pullback in gold prices appears more like position adjustments than a trend reversal. The outlook for gold remains positive, and investors will closely watch US real yields, a weaker dollar, and upcoming data. If the data points to a cooling US economy, gold could rebound next week.November 15th - According to the Financial Times, Apple (AAPL.O) is accelerating its succession planning, preparing for Tim Cook to potentially step down as CEO as early as next year. Multiple sources familiar with internal discussions revealed that Apples board and senior management have recently expedited preparations to welcome Cooks departure. John Ternus, Apples senior vice president of hardware engineering, is widely considered Cooks most likely successor, but a final decision has not yet been made. Sources close to Apple indicate that this long-awaited transition is not due to the companys current performance, as Apples iPhone sales season at the end of this year is expected to be very strong. If a successor is announced early next year, the new leadership team will have time to establish themselves before Apples key annual events, including the Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) in June and the iPhone launch event in September.According to the Financial Times, Apple (AAPL.O) is preparing for Tim Cook to step down as CEO as early as next year, with John Ternus, the companys senior vice president of hardware engineering, widely considered the most likely successor.According to the Financial Times, Apple (AAPL.O) is stepping up its planning for a successor to CEO Tim Cook.On November 15th, the European Parliament adopted its position paper on amendments to the European Climate Law on the 13th, supporting the addition of a legally binding 2040 mid-term climate target to the existing EU climate law. The position paper requires the EU to reduce net greenhouse gas emissions by 90% from 1990 levels by 2040, while also supporting the European Commissions proposal to introduce flexibility in achieving the target. The European Parliament stated its support for member states to offset emissions reductions of up to 5% of their 1990 emissions by purchasing international carbon credits from other partner countries starting in 2036. The European Parliament also advocated for incorporating permanent carbon removal into the EU Emissions Trading System, in addition to existing reduction methods, to offset some emissions that are difficult to reduce.

GBP/JPY Nears 161.50 As Risk-On Sentiment Roughens The Waters

Daniel Rogers

Mar 20, 2023 13:25

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In the early hours of Monday's Asian session, GBP/JPY appreciated as Japanese Yen demand waned in response to rising liquidity optimism. Monday's improvement in risk appetite was the consequence of a global effort to end the liquidity crisis of the previous week.

 

In order to restore confidence in the financial system, several major central banks, including the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Bank of England (BoE), have coordinated efforts to dilute the global banking ecosystem with US Dollars. This is the reason why the transition line has been implemented.

 

This swap line's principal source of financing is the Federal Reserve (Fed); the Fed will lend US Dollars to other central banks in exchange for local currency as a short-term loan. The exchange line will begin on Monday and continue through April.

 

Sunday, the Bank of England issued a statement welcoming the Swiss government's decision to merge Credit Suisse and UBS Group and reiterating that the UK banking system is adequately capitalized and funded. The Bank of England (BoE) will make a decision regarding interest rates on Thursday, and it will be crucial to observe their future direction. Given the ongoing liquidity crisis, this may be the last time the BoE raises interest rates.

 

March meeting of the Bank of Japan The previously released Summary of Opinions contains no new information, as the Federal Reserve has maintained an extremely permissive monetary stance for decades. In addition, Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki stated on Monday that he was closely monitoring market movements in the wake of Credit Suisse Group's rescue agreement over the weekend.

 

This week, it is also crucial to monitor the liquidity situation, citing reports that two European banks are under close observation. Therefore, it is probable that upward advances in the GBP/JPY pair will continue to be fragile.