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In an interview with Al Jazeera, Irans Foreign Minister stated that the new agreement will ensure safe passage under "specific conditions" and based on the interests of Iran and the region.1. Morgan Stanley: Powell may choose to ignore energy-driven inflation, posing a downside risk to the dollar. 2. Rabobank: With no signs of easing in the Middle East conflict, the dollar may still have room to strengthen further. 3. ANZ: The dollar has rebounded due to its safe-haven status, but this strength may be temporary as the currency remains overvalued. 4. TS Lombard: Believes the dollar is unlikely to see sustained appreciation at present, and will face further downward pressure in the next 3 to 6 months. 5. TD Securities: Remains committed to a weaker dollar forecast for 2026, citing waning US economic growth advantages, diminished safe-haven appeal, and a further intensification of "hedge against the US" trades. 6. HSBC: In the baseline scenario, if geopolitical premiums subside and the market returns to macroeconomic fundamentals, the dollar will resume its previous weakening trend. However, if energy inflation forces the Fed to return to a rate hike path, the dollar will experience an unexpected surge. 7. DBS Bank: Unless the Middle East conflict triggers an extremely severe long-term inflationary spiral and forces the market to completely erase expectations of two rate cuts in 2026, the US dollar will lack the unilateral upward momentum driven by the aggressive rate hike wave of 2022. March 18th - SMBC Nikko Securities economists stated that Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda is expected to avoid committing to a specific timetable for interest rate hikes at Thursdays press conference. However, if the summary of opinions from this meeting, to be released on March 30th, shows policymakers support further tightening, investors may further price in the possibility of an April rate hike. The market considers a 1% policy rate (currently 0.75%) to be still accommodative for the Bank of Japan, therefore, even a deterioration in the Middle East and increased global risk aversion are unlikely to prevent an April rate hike.Italian oil company Eni: The Gendallo and Gandang projects are expected to start production in 2028. Eni will achieve a stable peak production of 2 billion cubic feet per day for natural gas and 90,000 barrels per day for condensate by 2029.Italian oil company Eni: With the approval of the Gendarlo, Gandang, Genbei and Ghem oil fields, Eni expects to achieve a natural gas production of up to 2 billion cubic feet per day and a condensate production of 90,000 barrels per day.

Weakness Fueled by Dismal Economic Data

Skylar Shaw

Jun 29, 2022 15:06

The announcement of worse than anticipated consumer confidence data on Tuesday caused sellers to enter the market, which resulted in a steep decline in the September E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average futures late in the session.


The price movement indicates that investors are still hesitant to purchase strength because they are unsure if a bottom has occurred. Furthermore, it is anticipated that concerns about a recession and rising interest rates would continue to rule the market.


September E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are now trading at 30977, down 444 or -1.41 percent, at 19:27 GMT. The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), which is down $4.57 or 1.45%, is now trading at $309.79.

Shares of Blue Chip Companies Fall as US Consumer Confidence Declines

Following poor economic statistics, the blue chip average turned to the fall. The Conference Board said that the consumer confidence index dropped to a score of 98.7, down from 103.2 in May and below the 100 Dow Jones projection. The disappointing statistics comes as recession worries have grown recently as the Federal Reserve aggressively raises interest rates to battle growing inflation.

Swing Chart Technical Analysis for the Day

The daily swing chart indicates that the primary trend is downward. The major trend will switch to up if a transaction is made through 33255. A move through 29639 will indicate that the downturn has resumed.


Even the slightest trend is negative. Earlier in the day, sellers pulled away 31331, and the trend swung downward. The minor trend will turn upward if a deal is made through 3186.


The range for the near future is 33255 to 29639 The market is now experiencing resistance as it trades on the weaker side of its retracement range, which is 31447 to 31874.


29639 to 31867 is the minor range. The closest support and objective on the downside is at its 50 percent level, which is 30253.

Swing chart technical forecast for the day

The response of traders to 31421 will probably influence the movement of the September E-mini Dow into Tuesday's closing.

Grizzly Situation

Continual movement below 31421 will signal the existence of sellers. Look for the selling to potentially continue towards the minor pivot at 30253 if this move generates enough downward momentum.

Positive Scenario

The presence of buyers will be shown by a prolonged advance over 31421. A breach of the 50% mark at 31447 will signal a strengthening of intraday buying. This may spark a rush into the resistance band between 31867 and 31874. In the event that the latter is taken out, the following significant objective, 32599, might be reached.