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On May 10, UN Secretary-General António Guterres spokesperson, Stéphane Dujarric, issued a statement on May 9, welcoming the announcement by Russia and Ukraine of a three-day ceasefire from May 9 to 11 and plans for a large-scale prisoner exchange. The statement said the Secretary-General reiterated his call for an immediate, comprehensive, unconditional, and lasting ceasefire as a first step toward achieving a just, sustainable, and comprehensive peace, consistent with the UN Charter, international law, and relevant UN resolutions. The statement added that Guterres appreciated the efforts made by the United States to facilitate the agreement and fully supported its implementation.On May 9th, Hong Kong Stock Exchange data showed that the total market capitalization of the securities market reached HK$48 trillion at the end of April 2026, a year-on-year increase of 24%. The average daily turnover in April 2026 was HK$253.5 billion. The average daily turnover for the first four months of 2026 was HK$271.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8%. The average daily turnover of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for the first four months of 2026 was HK$39.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5%. There were 49 new listed companies in the first four months of 2026, a 158% increase compared to 19 in the same period last year. The total funds raised through initial public offerings (IPOs) in the first four months of 2026 amounted to HK$151.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 604%.On May 9th, the National Healthcare Security Administration released the "Work Plan for Adjusting the National Basic Medical Insurance, Maternity Insurance and Work Injury Insurance Drug Catalog and the Commercial Health Insurance Innovative Drug Catalog in 2026 (Draft for Public Comment)" for public comment.On May 9th, Japans Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) announced on social media that Japan may send government officials to Russia as early as the end of May to maintain communication channels and provide support to its companies still operating in Russia. METI stated that it is necessary to protect the assets of Japanese companies remaining in Russia, and to support these efforts, the Japanese government has been maintaining government-level communication with Russia and has made relevant requests.May 9th - As the war with Iran disrupts oil transport in the Persian Gulf, global oil inventories are being depleted at a record rate, eroding the buffers originally intended to withstand supply shocks. The rapid shrinking of inventories means the risk of more extreme price spikes and supply shortages is looming. With the Strait of Hormuz nearing closure for two months, governments and industries have fewer options to cope with a supply loss of over 1 billion barrels. The sharp depletion of inventories also means that even after the conflict ends, the market will remain vulnerable to future supply disruptions for a longer period. Morgan Stanley estimates that global oil inventories fell by an average of about 4.8 million barrels per day between March 1st and April 25th, far exceeding previous peaks in quarterly inventory declines compiled by the International Energy Agency. Crude oil accounted for nearly 60% of the decline, with the remainder being refined products. Crucially, the oil system also needs to set a minimum inventory level. Natasha Kaneva, global head of commodities research at JPMorgan Chase, stated that this means that the untouchable safety stock will be reached before inventories truly bottom out.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Run Out of Momentum

Skylar Shaw

Jun 28, 2022 14:50

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Initial attempts at a rebound by the S&P 500 in the futures market on Monday failed due to the overbought state on Friday stalling.

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

The S&P 500 attempted to rebound early in the Monday session in the futures market, but has encountered a little bump on the road because to the ongoing commotion. As a result, there is a good chance that the market will continue to experience trepidation and maybe a retreat. Even if the Friday session was quite volatile, we are still very much in a downturn. You might perhaps make a weak case for portfolio rebalancing on Friday or, to be honest, merely short-covering as we go into the weekend.


Nevertheless, the 50 Day EMA is rapidly approaching the 4000 mark, therefore I believe it is also speaking. I've been seeking for a chance to short this market when it shows indications of weariness, and I think I'm about to. At least until we break over the 4200 barrier, I have no interest in purchasing the S&P 500. It's important to be patient and select your locations in the meantime. If it begins to move in my way, I will add to my initial little position. It is not always possible to quantify short selling, making it something of an art form. Risk management, emotion, and fear are all important factors.


It should be emphasized that I usually take around half as much risk when shorting a company or an index as when I would be purchasing it. They are not intended to fall for extended periods of time, which is the reason.