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US President Trump: Received a call from Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang about San Francisco.On October 24th, The Guardian reported that sources said British Chancellor of the Exchequer Reeves is considering raising income tax in next months budget to help narrow the multi-billion pound fiscal deficit. Reports indicate that Reeves, facing a fiscal gap exceeding £30 billion, is actively discussing whether to break a key Labour Party campaign promise of not raising income tax. Government officials are considering options such as increasing the basic income tax rate or adjusting the tax threshold. Reeves hopes to reduce the deficit by the end of the decade by balancing day-to-day spending with tax revenue. The current budget deficit reached £71.8 billion between April and September, a 17% year-on-year increase.On October 24, the European Union decided to postpone until December whether to use frozen Russian central bank assets to aid Ukraine after Belgium requested more guarantees to ensure it would not be liable for risks associated with the 140 billion euro loan. People familiar with the matter said that EU leaders asked the European Commission to draft options for them to consider at the next summit, with the goal of reaching a final agreement before the end of the year.On October 24, the White House stated that President Trump is increasingly disappointed with Russias inadequate peacemaking efforts and hopes to see action, not just talk, to end the conflict. The White House also stated that a meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin is not completely impossible. White House Press Secretary Levitt said at a press conference, "I think the president and the entire administration hope to have another meeting someday, but we want to ensure that this meeting can produce tangible, positive results."On October 24th, Russian President Vladimir Putin responded to US President Trumps comments regarding the Budapest summit, stating that the US is currently leaning toward postponing the summit rather than canceling it. "Based on the latest US statement, I understand that the US president has decided to cancel or postpone the meeting. Judging from his statement, a postponement is more likely," Putin told reporters. He emphasized that hastily holding the Budapest summit without adequate preparation would be a major mistake. "Such high-level meetings must be carefully prepared. It would be a mistake for both me and the US president to treat the summit lightly or fail to achieve the expected results."

WTI struggles to surpass $85.00 despite the fact that hurricane Fiona and US President Biden favor bulls

Alina Haynes

Sep 19, 2022 14:39

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After declining for three consecutive weeks, WTI crude oil prices posted modest gains around $85.30 during Monday's Asian session as traders prepared for the Fed's monetary policy decision. In addition to price-positive news from China and the United States concerning Hurricane Fiona, the price of black gold remains positive. In addition, statements from Vice President Joe Biden appeared to have supported oil prices during a lackluster session.

 

Recent information from the National Hurricane Core (NHC) indicates that the center of hurricane Fiona will approach the northern shore of the Dominican Republic tonight. The Reuters update also stated, "Hurricane Fiona is currently traveling west of Puerto Rico and is headed for the eastern Dominican Republic, producing devastating flooding."

 

The news that Dalian, a city in the Chinese province of Liaoning, will remove the citywide lockdown on Monday also seems to have supported the WTI recovery. On the same line, US President Biden is quoted as saying, "I'm more positive than I've been in a very long time." The national leader also claimed that inflation will be brought under control.

 

Nonetheless, the oil bears are optimistic due to the Fed's hawkish wagers and the economic concerns emanating from China and Europe. Initial September Consumer Sentiment readings from the University of Michigan came in at 59.5, up from 58.6 the previous month but below market expectations of 60.0. With the stronger US statistics, the probability of a 75 basis point (bps) rate hike by the Federal Reserve increased to over 80%, or 82% at the time of publication, while the market's estimates of a complete one percentage point increase in the Fed rate jumped to 18%.

 

In the future, demand concerns are likely to continue exerting downside pressure on the energy market, despite the fact that the absence of important data/events on Monday and hurricane updates are likely to assist the black gold in recouping recent losses.