EUR/USD 1.18208
0.563%
Gold 4981.50
0.923%
Oil 61.059
2.474%
USD/JPY 155.813
-1.645%
GBP/USD 1.36362
0.994%
GBP/JPY 212.474
-0.652%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
DownDetector, a network monitoring website, reports user complaints that social media platform “X” is experiencing issues.January 24th - The market is widely focused on when the window for reserve requirement ratio (RRR) and interest rate cuts will open. Ming Ming, chief economist at CITIC Securities, stated that based on past experience, a reduction in the relending rate opens up corresponding room for overall interest rate cuts. With a large number of fixed deposits maturing in the first quarter, the pressure on bank interest rate spreads is easing, and the timing of a policy rate cut is expected in the second quarter. "A RRR cut is expected to be implemented in the first quarter, but a comprehensive interest rate cut still needs to wait," analyzed a research report from Galaxy Securities. The report suggests that with fiscal policy taking the lead and monetary policy actively cooperating with fiscal policy, a 50 basis point RRR cut is likely to be implemented. A comprehensive interest rate cut still needs to wait for the right opportunity; it is expected that there will be one to two interest rate cuts throughout the year, totaling a reduction of 10 to 20 basis points in the policy rate, thereby guiding the LPR (Loan Prime Rate) downward, which will then be transmitted to further reduce loan and deposit rates.January 24 - According to the China Coast Guard, on January 23, the China Coast Guard continued its search and rescue operation for crew members of a capsized foreign cargo ship near Huangyan Island. As of now, four crew members remain missing. The China Coast Guard vessels Dongsha and Sanmen, together with the Philippine Coast Guard vessel 9701, which arrived at the scene that evening, are conducting search and rescue operations in designated areas.On January 24th, Xiaomi Group announced its plan to repurchase no more than HK$2.5 billion worth of its Class B ordinary shares, with the repurchase program officially commencing on January 23rd. Since 2026, major Hong Kong stock market indices have generally maintained a volatile but upward trend, with repurchase amounts exceeding HK$11 billion. Industry leaders have maintained their repurchase pace and intensity; Tencent Holdings, for example, has repurchased over HK$6 billion this year. However, according to statistics, only 108 Hong Kong-listed companies have joined the repurchase program this year, a decrease from 121 in the same period last year, with a more significant reduction in the repurchase amount.The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 285.30 points, or 0.58%, at 49,098.71 on Friday, January 23; the S&P 500 rose 2.26 points, or 0.03%, to 6,915.61 on Friday, January 23; and the Nasdaq Composite rose 65.22 points, or 0.28%, to 23,501.24 on Friday, January 23.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD bears at $1,650 on Fed hawkishness and China news

Daniel Rogers

Sep 19, 2022 14:34

 161.png

 

During early Monday morning in Europe, the gold price (XAU/USD) maintains a position close to the intraday low at $1,670. In doing so, metal prices endure the weight of a stronger U.S. dollar amidst a sluggish session caused by Japanese and British vacations. The cause may be related to the Fed's hawkish bets and China-related news stories.

 

US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses a two-day slump while posting intraday gains of 0.18 percent at 109.85 as of press time. Indicators of the U.S. dollar's value versus the six major currencies have recently been buoyed by the University of Michigan's September consumer sentiment report and the market's positive expectations on the Fed's next move. Consequently, the probability of a 75-basis-point (bps) rate hike by the Federal Reserve increased to 80%, while the market's estimates of a one-percentage-point increase in the Fed rate rose to 20% at the latest.

 

US President Biden stated elsewhere, "I'm more positive than I've been in a long time." The national leader also claimed that inflation will be brought under control. On the same line are the covid updates from China, which have unlocked Dalian and Chengdu while observing zero coronavirus cases in Beijing and one, as opposed to zero the day before, outside of Shanghai's quarantine zone. However, US President Biden's willingness to support Taiwan in the event that China assaults Taiwan and hawkish expectations for the Federal Reserve appear to weigh on the steel price ahead of the major monetary policy pronouncements.

 

In addition, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) reduces the 14-day reverse repo rate by 10 basis points to 2.15 percent. "With no maturing reverse repos on Monday, the Chinese central bank injects 12 billion yuan," reports Reuters. The same might have indicated that the dragon nation is not in recovery mode and requires more rate cuts than rate raises, which could have caused the gold price to plummet. The cause is China's position as one of the world's largest gold consumers.

 

In light of this, the S&P 500 Futures post modest losses while mirroring Wall Street's Friday close. Notably, the selling in Japan curbs bond movements in Asia, but yields are robust near the multi-day high due to fears of a recession and hawkish Fed views.

 

Moving forward, a light economic calendar and important market holidays may limit intraday XAU/USD price fluctuations. However, bears are expected to maintain control because to aggressive Fed expectations, which, if dashed, might defy the bearish chart pattern and spark the long-awaited rally.

Suggestion