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Susquehanna International: Raised the target price for Micron Technology (MU.O) to $200, from $160 previously.Gold options data show that before the Feds decision, the Put/Call ratio continued to rise but was still below 1, indicating that bullish expectations still prevailed, but short- and medium-term precautions against pullbacks increased; the transaction ratio returned to around 0.5, the short-term short-selling momentum weakened, and the market was more inclined to oscillate or slowly rise. The high probability range rose from 15% to nearly 19%, and the slope became steeper, especially above 3680-3700 (spot price of about 3673-3693), indicating that "high prices mean strong waves", and once it breaks through, it is easy to trigger a rapid saw-saw and a false breakthrough. Strategically, pay attention to the gains and losses of 3680-3700: if the position ratio is greater than 1 and the implied volatility continues to rise and approaches 20%, tend to reduce positions at highs and defend retreat; if the transaction ratio continues to weaken toOn September 17th, ahead of the Federal Reserves interest rate decision (widely expected to be a 25 basis point rate cut), long-term U.S. Treasury yields edged lower, with the 10-year yield approaching 4%. Short-term Treasury yields were largely unchanged, as the market has already priced in a rate cut. However, if the decision includes any comments on future interest rate trends, yields could fluctuate. "Bond investors remain cautious, and we expect yields to react," said Frank Walbaum of Naga in a report. The market analyst noted that weakening economic expectations or policy guidance for further rate cuts could lead to further declines in Treasury yields and the US dollar; however, a more cautious signal could provide temporary relief.Novo Nordisk (NVO.N): Trials of semaglutide for Alzheimers disease are "like a lottery."Kremlin: (Regarding the EUs plan to accelerate the phase-out of Russian energy) Russia defends its own interests and will not be affected by sanctions.

WTI Price Analysis: Testing the $80 level versus the broad USD

Daniel Rogers

Apr 11, 2023 14:20

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On Monday, crude oil prices are lower as a risk-averse sentiment underpins the U.S. dollar. The price of the black gold is a few cents above its intraday low of $79.71 per barrel and is approaching the range's bottom.

 

Early in April, the Organization of the Oil Exporting Countries and Allies (OPEC+) astonished market participants by announcing a 1.16 million-barrel-per-day reduction in their oil output, which pushed West Texas Intermediate (WTI) approximately 5.5% higher on April 3 and left a $4 void. Since the announcement, WTI has been consolidating between $79 and $81.80, unable to find fresh directionality.

 

Higher energy prices have contributed to inflation's meteoric rise, and OPEC+'s decision came as a complete surprise, reigniting concerns not only about price pressure but also about economic growth.