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RSM Chief Economist Joseph Brusueras: Warsh delivered the right hawkish signals at the press conference and attempted to reinforce the Fed’s credibility in restoring price stability, while also enhancing his own credibility.U.S. stocks continued to decline after the Walsh press conference, with the S&P 500 falling 1%, its biggest drop since July 29, the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.65%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 0.6%.On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh declined to answer questions at a press conference regarding his interactions with US President Trump. Trump has been calling for lower interest rates in recent months. Warsh stated, "I have no comment on my discussions with the president." White House Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Christopher Phelan said on Tuesday that raising interest rates would be a "mistake."On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that he would not disclose details of future interest rate decisions by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). He said, "I am not responsible for providing forward guidance. Our decision today (to raise interest rates) is a carefully considered, serious, and responsible one. We have been preparing for and thinking about this decision for the past 110 or 120 days." Warsh also stated that this decision was not market-driven. He said, "Our decision today is based on our assessment of the current situation, our judgment of the employment trend, and our assessment of the strength of the economy. Sometimes, the market tries to anticipate our decisions. I watch market prices to see what information the market is sending. But todays decision is our own."On September 17th, Warsh stated that while the Federal Reserve cannot prevent price shocks in commodities such as oil on its own, the central bank can use policy tools to prevent further spread of inflationary pressures. Warsh said, "We cannot influence the price of any single commodity, such as oil or groceries." However, he pointed out, "We can and will ensure that any changes in relative prices do not spread further, and do not have second- or third-order effects on the economy. Thats our responsibility, and thats what were doing." Warsh made these remarks as U.S. diesel prices hit a record high due to the Iran war.

USD/JPY Falls to Roughly 123.50 as US Treasury Yields Decline

Larissa Barlow

Apr 07, 2022 10:09

  • USD/JPY has fallen to around 123.50 as declining US Treasury rates erode the greenback's value versus the yen.

  • After reaching a three-year high of 2.66 percent, the 10-year US Treasury yields attracted bids.

  • The IIMF has argued for a lengthy period of ultra-loose monetary policy for the BOJ.

 

The USD/JPY pair has fallen strongly in the Asian session to about 123.50 after bouncing around a small range of 123.71-123.93 over the previous day. Thursday's trading session is exhibiting a bearish open rejection-reverse pattern. The USD/JPY began at 123.80, climbed higher to 123.93, and then fell rapidly to a low of 123.50 as yen bulls attacked the asset.

 

Market players have offered the asset as a result of the low performance of US Treasury yields on Thursday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yields have fallen from 2.66 percent highs, but the 2-year US Treasury yields, which are more sensitive to interest rates, have come under pressure. Bears gained control of Treasury yields as market investors dismissed the hawkish Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes.

 

Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) study recommends that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) maintain its ultra-loose monetary policy for an extended period of time. Increased commodity prices and a recovery in spending patterns may pressurize the BOJ to lower interest rates, but maintaining a steady dovish approach will benefit the economy. Apart from that, the IMF downgraded Japan's economic growth forecast for 2022 to 2.4 percent from 3.3 percent in January.

USD/JPY

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