• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
RSM Chief Economist Joseph Brusueras: Warsh delivered the right hawkish signals at the press conference and attempted to reinforce the Fed’s credibility in restoring price stability, while also enhancing his own credibility.U.S. stocks continued to decline after the Walsh press conference, with the S&P 500 falling 1%, its biggest drop since July 29, the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.65%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 0.6%.On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh declined to answer questions at a press conference regarding his interactions with US President Trump. Trump has been calling for lower interest rates in recent months. Warsh stated, "I have no comment on my discussions with the president." White House Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Christopher Phelan said on Tuesday that raising interest rates would be a "mistake."On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that he would not disclose details of future interest rate decisions by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). He said, "I am not responsible for providing forward guidance. Our decision today (to raise interest rates) is a carefully considered, serious, and responsible one. We have been preparing for and thinking about this decision for the past 110 or 120 days." Warsh also stated that this decision was not market-driven. He said, "Our decision today is based on our assessment of the current situation, our judgment of the employment trend, and our assessment of the strength of the economy. Sometimes, the market tries to anticipate our decisions. I watch market prices to see what information the market is sending. But todays decision is our own."On September 17th, Warsh stated that while the Federal Reserve cannot prevent price shocks in commodities such as oil on its own, the central bank can use policy tools to prevent further spread of inflationary pressures. Warsh said, "We cannot influence the price of any single commodity, such as oil or groceries." However, he pointed out, "We can and will ensure that any changes in relative prices do not spread further, and do not have second- or third-order effects on the economy. Thats our responsibility, and thats what were doing." Warsh made these remarks as U.S. diesel prices hit a record high due to the Iran war.

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bull Flag Breakout Requires a Retest to Near 0.7550

Larissa Barlow

Apr 06, 2022 10:02

  • The Australian bulls have gained strength as the RSI (14) has moved into a bullish zone of 60.00-80.00.

  • A re-test of the bullish flag formation will present market participants with an opportunity to buy at a discount.

  • The advance of the 20- and 50-EMAs bolsters the upside filters.

 

The AUD/USD pair has seen a meteoric rise after breaching the April 4 high of 0.7557, which has pushed the pair north, with the asset printing a new nine-month high of 0.7662 on Wednesday. Aussie bulls have been optimistic since March's lows of 0.7165. The pair has broken out of its consolidation phase, which was contained inside the range 0.7455-0.7541.

 

On a four-hour chart, AUD/USD is producing a bullish flag pattern, which indicates sideways movement following a strong run to the north and indicates the possibility of a new impulsive wave if consolidation breaks out firmly. Typically, a consolidation period is characterized by the placement of bids by investors who did not participate in the early surge and by those investors who choose to enter an auction after a bullish bias develops.

 

The increasing 20- and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at 0.7550 and 0.7514, respectively, amplify the upside filters.

 

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index RSI (14) has shifted from 40.00-60.00 to a bullish range of 60.00-80.00, indicating a firmer upward advance in the near term.

 

A retest of the bullish upper boundary flag at 0.7541 will attract large buys from investors, propelling the pair toward Wednesday's high of 0.7662, followed by the 11 June 2021 high of 0.7776.

 

The greenback bulls, on the other hand, can regain power if the asset falls below the March 29 low of 0.7455, dragging it towards the March 10 high of 0.7369. If the latter is breached, the asset will continue to fall towards the round level support at 0.7300.

Four-Hour AUD/USD Chart

image.png