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RSM Chief Economist Joseph Brusueras: Warsh delivered the right hawkish signals at the press conference and attempted to reinforce the Fed’s credibility in restoring price stability, while also enhancing his own credibility.U.S. stocks continued to decline after the Walsh press conference, with the S&P 500 falling 1%, its biggest drop since July 29, the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.65%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 0.6%.On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh declined to answer questions at a press conference regarding his interactions with US President Trump. Trump has been calling for lower interest rates in recent months. Warsh stated, "I have no comment on my discussions with the president." White House Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Christopher Phelan said on Tuesday that raising interest rates would be a "mistake."On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that he would not disclose details of future interest rate decisions by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). He said, "I am not responsible for providing forward guidance. Our decision today (to raise interest rates) is a carefully considered, serious, and responsible one. We have been preparing for and thinking about this decision for the past 110 or 120 days." Warsh also stated that this decision was not market-driven. He said, "Our decision today is based on our assessment of the current situation, our judgment of the employment trend, and our assessment of the strength of the economy. Sometimes, the market tries to anticipate our decisions. I watch market prices to see what information the market is sending. But todays decision is our own."On September 17th, Warsh stated that while the Federal Reserve cannot prevent price shocks in commodities such as oil on its own, the central bank can use policy tools to prevent further spread of inflationary pressures. Warsh said, "We cannot influence the price of any single commodity, such as oil or groceries." However, he pointed out, "We can and will ensure that any changes in relative prices do not spread further, and do not have second- or third-order effects on the economy. Thats our responsibility, and thats what were doing." Warsh made these remarks as U.S. diesel prices hit a record high due to the Iran war.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Dollar Bulls Defend the 20-EMA, with 1.3000 in Sight

Drake Hampton

Apr 07, 2022 10:16

  • Failure to break above the 20-EMA will exacerbate the suffering for sterling bulls.

  • The RSI has fallen below 40.00, indicating that there is no hint of divergence and an oversold condition.

  • A location beneath the symmetrical triangle will generate substantial proposals for the cable.

 

After three tumultuous trading days in April, the GBP/USD pair has sensed selling pressure to roughly 1.3167. The pound bulls have been stymied by the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around 1.3095.

 

On a four-hour time scale, the cable has settled itself comfortably beneath the symmetrical triangular formation. This will result in significant volume growth for the asset in the future. The chart pattern's top boundary is represented by the March 25 high of 1.3225, while the lower boundary is marked by the March 15 low of 1.3000.

 

 

At 1.3114, the 50-EMA is scaling lower, adding to the downside filters. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has fallen below 40.00, indicating that additional suffering is imminent. The RSI is not indicating divergence or an oversold condition.

 

A break below Tuesday's low of 1.3067 will bolster greenback bulls, and the pair may fall to the March 16 low of 1.3036, followed by psychological support around 1.3000.

 

On the other hand, the asset will march toward Tuesday's high of 1.3167 after breaching the 50-EMA at 1.3114. If the latter is breached, the asset will be pushed towards the round level resistance at 1.3200.

Four-hour chart of the GBP/USD

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