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November 15th - Stephen Innes, Managing Partner of SPI Asset Management, stated that with the US government reopening, a backlog of important data will be released, including employment and inflation indicators, which the market expects to be weak. Weaker US data could depress US Treasury yields, reigniting market expectations for an interest rate cut in early 2026 and providing room for a rebound in gold prices, which have been squeezed by rising real yields. The recent pullback in gold prices appears more like position adjustments than a trend reversal. The outlook for gold remains positive, and investors will closely watch US real yields, a weaker dollar, and upcoming data. If the data points to a cooling US economy, gold could rebound next week.November 15th - According to the Financial Times, Apple (AAPL.O) is accelerating its succession planning, preparing for Tim Cook to potentially step down as CEO as early as next year. Multiple sources familiar with internal discussions revealed that Apples board and senior management have recently expedited preparations to welcome Cooks departure. John Ternus, Apples senior vice president of hardware engineering, is widely considered Cooks most likely successor, but a final decision has not yet been made. Sources close to Apple indicate that this long-awaited transition is not due to the companys current performance, as Apples iPhone sales season at the end of this year is expected to be very strong. If a successor is announced early next year, the new leadership team will have time to establish themselves before Apples key annual events, including the Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) in June and the iPhone launch event in September.According to the Financial Times, Apple (AAPL.O) is preparing for Tim Cook to step down as CEO as early as next year, with John Ternus, the companys senior vice president of hardware engineering, widely considered the most likely successor.According to the Financial Times, Apple (AAPL.O) is stepping up its planning for a successor to CEO Tim Cook.On November 15th, the European Parliament adopted its position paper on amendments to the European Climate Law on the 13th, supporting the addition of a legally binding 2040 mid-term climate target to the existing EU climate law. The position paper requires the EU to reduce net greenhouse gas emissions by 90% from 1990 levels by 2040, while also supporting the European Commissions proposal to introduce flexibility in achieving the target. The European Parliament stated its support for member states to offset emissions reductions of up to 5% of their 1990 emissions by purchasing international carbon credits from other partner countries starting in 2036. The European Parliament also advocated for incorporating permanent carbon removal into the EU Emissions Trading System, in addition to existing reduction methods, to offset some emissions that are difficult to reduce.

USD/CHF Moves Sideways to 1.0020 as DXY Holds Steady and Powell Warns of Additional 50 bps Rate Hikes

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 09:53

The USD/CHF pair is experiencing a pullback as momentum oscillators on the lower timeframe have become very overbought. During the Asian trading session, the pair is fluctuating within a tight range of 1.0024 to 1.0035. Sustaining the dollar bulls above the psychological support of 1.0000 will be advantageous going forward.

 

The pair has stayed in the grip of dollar bulls as measured by the rising US dollar index (DXY). The DXY is gaining significantly due to optimistic economic statistics. The outperformance of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and the higher-than-expected publication of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) have increased the likelihood that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will implement more significant rate hikes this year.

 

After reaching a new 19-year high of 104.93 during the European session, the DXY is undergoing a minor pullback in the Asian session. In an interview with the national radio program Marketplace, Fed chair Jerome Powell said that the Fed may raise interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) at each of the next two policy sessions. In addition, the Fed promises that "we're prepared to do more" if data deteriorate.

 

In the meantime, the Swiss franc faces a prolonged dramatic sell-off as their ultra-loose monetary policy fails to stimulate demand growth in their economy. In addition, the unchanged unemployment rate and inflation figures failed to provide a buffer for the asset.

USD/CHF

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