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On October 25th, local time, Sudans Rapid Support Forces (RSF) announced their control of Bara, a major city in North Kordofan State, central Sudan. The statement stated that the RSF launched a full-scale offensive against the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF)-held city, inflicting thousands of casualties and injuring hundreds, ultimately securing full control of the city. The statement also stated that retaking Bara is a significant step toward full control of the Kordofan region. The SAF has yet to respond to the statement.Pakistans Defense Minister: We see Afghanistans desire for peace, but failure to reach an agreement will mean open war.On October 25th, local time, the second round of ceasefire talks between Pakistan and Afghanistan began in Istanbul, Turkey. The talks were hosted by Turkey and held at an Istanbul hotel. The Pakistani delegation included the militarys director of operations and security and intelligence officials. The Afghan delegation was led by Deputy Interior Minister Rahmatullah Najeeb.On October 25th, Belgorod Oblast Governor Ilya Gladkov announced that Ukrainian armed forces had damaged the Belgorod Reservoir Dam. He stated that Ukrainian forces might attempt to attack and destroy the dam again. If this were to happen, several streets in riverbanks and settlements near Kharkiv Oblast would be flooded, impacting the lives of approximately 1,000 residents. Gladkov stated that local authorities have advised residents at risk of flooding to move to temporary relocation sites. The Ukrainian side has not yet responded to this request.On October 25th, Bank of France Governor François Villeroy de Villeroy warned lawmakers debating the 2026 budget that the deficit must not exceed 4.8% of economic output to ensure France can cope with its growing debt burden. The French National Assembly is currently debating a draft budget that targets 4.7% GDP growth, but Prime Minister Jean-Claude Le Cornu has said the ultimate target should be within 5%, and he is seeking a compromise with opposition lawmakers. "It is absolutely necessary to keep the deficit below 3% between now and 2029, which would imply a maximum deficit of 4.8% next year," Villeroy de Villeroy said in an interview with La Croix. He also stated that France faces the risk of "progressive suffocation" from debt and that additional deficit spending will fail to stimulate economic growth. According to calculations by the Bank of France, if debt uncertainty is reduced, a 1% reduction in the household savings rate would boost economic growth by 0.4%. However, Villeroy de Villeroy stated that the French economy has strong momentum this year and growth will be "at least" as strong as the Banks forecast of 0.7%.

USD/CHF Moves Sideways to 1.0020 as DXY Holds Steady and Powell Warns of Additional 50 bps Rate Hikes

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 09:53

The USD/CHF pair is experiencing a pullback as momentum oscillators on the lower timeframe have become very overbought. During the Asian trading session, the pair is fluctuating within a tight range of 1.0024 to 1.0035. Sustaining the dollar bulls above the psychological support of 1.0000 will be advantageous going forward.

 

The pair has stayed in the grip of dollar bulls as measured by the rising US dollar index (DXY). The DXY is gaining significantly due to optimistic economic statistics. The outperformance of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and the higher-than-expected publication of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) have increased the likelihood that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will implement more significant rate hikes this year.

 

After reaching a new 19-year high of 104.93 during the European session, the DXY is undergoing a minor pullback in the Asian session. In an interview with the national radio program Marketplace, Fed chair Jerome Powell said that the Fed may raise interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) at each of the next two policy sessions. In addition, the Fed promises that "we're prepared to do more" if data deteriorate.

 

In the meantime, the Swiss franc faces a prolonged dramatic sell-off as their ultra-loose monetary policy fails to stimulate demand growth in their economy. In addition, the unchanged unemployment rate and inflation figures failed to provide a buffer for the asset.

USD/CHF

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