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December 8th - Market speculation persists that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise interest rates this month, but participants remain betting on a continued weakening of the yen. Traders at Bank of America, Nomura Holdings, and RBC Capital Markets say investor positioning reflects this bet. Citigroups "pain index" for the yen remains deep in negative territory, indicating continued negative sentiment towards the yen. Even with BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda hinting at a possible imminent rate hike and the BOJ reportedly preparing to raise rates in December unless there is a major shock to the economy or financial markets, investors remain bearish on the yen. This is because even if the BOJ takes action, Japanese yields are still expected to be significantly lower than those in the US, which is more favorable for the dollar. Ivan Stamenovich, head of G-10 currency trading for Asia Pacific at Bank of America, said, "Positioning remains geared towards betting on the dollar to continue rising against the yen until the end of the year, and this trend is unlikely to change unless the BOJ delivers a real surprise." He added that Uedas hawkish comments sparked discussion about the currency pair, but market sentiment has not fundamentally changed.On December 8th, Israel Defense Forces Chief of Staff Zamir stated on the 7th that the withdrawal line drawn by the Israeli military under the first phase of the Gaza ceasefire agreement, known as the "Yellow Line," is the "new border" of the Gaza Strip. During an inspection of the Gaza Strip that day, Zamir said that the "Yellow Line" is the "new border" of the Gaza Strip, serving as both Israels forward defensive line and the boundary for Israeli military operations. Israel maintains operational control over large areas of the Gaza Strip and will continue to hold these lines. According to the first phase of the Gaza ceasefire agreement, the area outside the "Yellow Line" remains under Israeli control, and Israeli troops will no longer be stationed or conducting operations within the "Yellow Line."Anson Resources of Australia and Nusano of the United States have signed a lithium supply agreement.On December 8th, Venezuelan Vice President Rodríguez, speaking to oil industry workers at a heavy crude oil processing facility in Anzoátegui state on the 7th, urged the entire industry to remain "highly vigilant," noting that "the enemy never rests." Rodríguez reiterated that, given the current tense situation between Venezuela and the United States, the government will firmly safeguard national sovereignty and independence.Wave Life Sciences will release interim data from its Phase 1 clinical trial of WVE-007 (INHBE) for the treatment of obesity on Monday.

USD/CHF Moves Sideways to 1.0020 as DXY Holds Steady and Powell Warns of Additional 50 bps Rate Hikes

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 09:53

The USD/CHF pair is experiencing a pullback as momentum oscillators on the lower timeframe have become very overbought. During the Asian trading session, the pair is fluctuating within a tight range of 1.0024 to 1.0035. Sustaining the dollar bulls above the psychological support of 1.0000 will be advantageous going forward.

 

The pair has stayed in the grip of dollar bulls as measured by the rising US dollar index (DXY). The DXY is gaining significantly due to optimistic economic statistics. The outperformance of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and the higher-than-expected publication of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) have increased the likelihood that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will implement more significant rate hikes this year.

 

After reaching a new 19-year high of 104.93 during the European session, the DXY is undergoing a minor pullback in the Asian session. In an interview with the national radio program Marketplace, Fed chair Jerome Powell said that the Fed may raise interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) at each of the next two policy sessions. In addition, the Fed promises that "we're prepared to do more" if data deteriorate.

 

In the meantime, the Swiss franc faces a prolonged dramatic sell-off as their ultra-loose monetary policy fails to stimulate demand growth in their economy. In addition, the unchanged unemployment rate and inflation figures failed to provide a buffer for the asset.

USD/CHF

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