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On December 8th, Oppenheimer Asset Managements Chief Investment Strategist, John Stoltzfus, predicted that the S&P 500 will rise 18% to 8100 points in 2026, driven by continued double-digit earnings per share growth. The team stated in a report, "Our optimistic outlook for the S&P 500 is based on multiple factors, including the continued resilience of U.S. economic data and the better-than-expected performance of S&P 500 companies for most of this year." Data shows that Stoltzfuss 2026 target is currently the highest among strategists forecasts. The average target for the end of 2026 is currently 7315 points, compared to 6870 points at the close last Friday.Tesla (TSLA.O) shares fell more than 1% in pre-market trading after Morgan Stanley downgraded its rating from overweight to neutral.Morgan Stanley downgraded Ferrari (RACE.N) from Overweight to Hold, and lowered its price target from $520 to $425.On December 8th, analysts at BNY Mellon noted in a report that the market has fully priced in a rate cut by the Federal Reserve this month. However, a growing consensus suggests that this will be a hawkish cut, meaning further monetary easing will depend on whether economic data released in March and June 2026 weakens or inflation falls further. The analysts also pointed out that the upcoming change of Fed chair poses a risk, as the market will assess the policy inclinations of the new leadership. Furthermore, the FOMC will release its dot plot, which is likely to confirm recent disagreements within the committee regarding policy stance. Significant divergence in committee members views on the policy direction in 2026 is expected, reflecting the two-way economic risks we anticipate.On December 8th, Netflix (NFLX.O) rose 0.9% in pre-market trading, while Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD.O) fell 1.9%, after Trump stated that the proposed $72 billion sale of Warner Bros. to Netflix "could be problematic." Trump indicated on Sunday that if the acquisition went through, Netflixs market share would be too large, and stated that he would be involved in the decision-making process for the deal. Richard Hunter, head of markets at Interactive Investor, said antitrust concerns are looming over the deal, which could delay its completion to the later end of the 12- to 18-month guidance range given by Warner Discovery and Netflix.

AUD/JPY tumbles below 90.00 as market sentiment deteriorates

Daniel Rogers

May 12, 2022 10:54

The AUD/JPY pair has fallen below the two-day low at 89.78 and is projected to prolong losses as negative market sentiment has dampened demand for risk-perceived assets. The asset's five-day losing run extended on Thursday, and a significant decline to roughly $86.00 is anticipated.

 

The asset remained under the control of bears after the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) rate hike decision failed to excite market participants. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) raised interest rates by 35 basis points (bps) for the very first time since the introduction of the Covid-19. Rising pricing pressures compelled RBA Governor Philip Lowe to take a surprisingly hawkish stance on monetary policy last week.

 

In addition, the sixth straight decline in Australian Westpac Consumer Confidence prompted market players to sell the Australian dollar. The Australian economic data came in at -5.6%, substantially lower than the previous number of -0.9%. Eventually, the antipodean was affected by the persistent decline in confidence among the populace.

 

In the meantime, the Japanese yen is strengthening its safe-haven appeal. The yen's value has been supported by the market structure of value buying. The Monday release of the Japan Produce Price Index (PPI) will provide investors with additional guidance. The preliminary estimates for the monthly and annual PPI are 0.3% and 9.7%, respectively. 

AUD/JPY

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