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According to The Wall Street Journal, Kalshi plans to seek regulatory approval to offer regulated perpetual futures linked to stocks such as Tesla, Apple, and Nvidia.Tesla (TSLA.O): Model Y Performance All-Wheel Drive version starts at 369,000 yuan.On September 11th, Futures News reported that data released by the China Futures Association on September 10th showed that, calculated unilaterally, the national futures market saw a trading volume of 1.087 billion lots and a turnover of 85.04 trillion yuan in August, representing year-on-year increases of 29.05% and 30.67%, respectively. Looking at the first eight months, the national futures markets cumulative trading volume reached 7.194 billion lots, with a cumulative turnover of 654.02 trillion yuan, representing year-on-year increases of 20.36% and 37.37%, respectively. 1. Wei Gang, chief economist at Hengtai Futures, told reporters that the August futures market saw a "simultaneous increase in both volume and price," mainly driven by three factors: First, both volume and price increased in non-ferrous metals and precious metals. Second, the crude oil and energy sectors saw a significant increase in trading volume due to geopolitical factors. Third, the chemical and agricultural futures sectors showed a strong trend and high trading activity due to cost transmission and supply-demand disturbances. Hongyuan Futures analyst Wang Jiangnan stated that, judging from the performance of various commodities, commodity futures were generally strong in August, with most major contracts closing higher. Coking coal saw a cumulative increase of over 45% in August, the energy and chemical sector generally rose, and the precious metals sector also strengthened. Looking ahead to September, Wang Jiangnan believes that the Federal Reserves monetary policy expectations are a key macroeconomic variable, with the probability of a September rate hike rising to 60%, which will suppress the performance of precious metals and risk assets. The ferrous metals sector is entering its traditional peak season, and actual demand will be the main factor determining whether the sectors performance can be sustained. Non-ferrous metals may exhibit a pattern of "structural recovery and product differentiation," maintaining high-level fluctuations in the short term. Wei Gang added that, in addition to the Federal Reserves monetary policy path, the evolution of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East is also an important factor affecting futures market trading.On September 11th, Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management believes that the recent rise in the yen signals a broader correction of the currencys long-term undervaluation. Michael Nizad, the firms head of strategy, wrote that for many years, the yens movements have been primarily driven by the US-Japan interest rate differential and its role as a funding currency for global carry trades; now, the yen is beginning to trade more based on its own fundamentals. He wrote, "The yen may be beginning to trade as a fundamentally-driven currency again. Any pullbacks in yen cross rates should increasingly be seen as opportunities to rebuild or increase long yen positions."The Euro Stoxx 50 index fell 0.3%, German DAX futures fell 0.3%, and UK FTSE futures fell 0.1%.

Price Analysis of the US Dollar Index: DXY Retreats from 104.00, Rising Wedge Anticipated

Alina Haynes

May 12, 2022 10:27

During Thursday's Asian session, the US Dollar Index (DXY) fails to continue the previous two days' upward momentum, trading on the defensive around 103.95.

 

In doing so, the dollar index remains near the 20-year high reached earlier in the week, but for the first time in three days, the daily decline is recorded.

 

In addition to highlighting a 12-day-old rising wedge bearish pattern surrounding the multi-day top, the DXY's most recent decline also reveals a multi-day top-adjacent rising wedge formation. The slow RSI also highlights the significance of the chart pattern.

 

However, a decisive breach below 102.90 is required to validate the potential decline to 101.30.

 

During the fall, the 100-SMA and monthly low between 102.65 and 102.35 will serve as intermediate stops.

 

Until the quote continues below the indicated wedge's resistance line, approximately 104.30 as of press time, a recovery appears elusive.

 

After that, a slow climb to the September 2002 high of 109.80 cannot be ruled out.

Four-hour DXY chart

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