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September 9th - According to sources, Iraq is seeking a significant increase in its oil production quota as OPEC+ reviews its capacity to determine next years output levels. The second-largest oil producer in OPEC hopes to calculate future production targets based on a benchmark of 6 million barrels per day, a substantial increase from its recent levels. Iraq, the birthplace of OPEC sixty years ago, hinted in June that it might withdraw from OPEC if it could not secure a sufficiently high benchmark quota. This move could be a major blow to the organization, following the withdrawal of another key Middle Eastern member, the UAE. OPEC+ has commissioned external consultants to assess the maximum achievable production levels for each member country to better align quotas with reality. This assessment is expected to be completed by the end of this month and approved at the oil ministers meeting at the end of November. The assessment results could be crucial to OPEC unity. Meanwhile, another founding member, Venezuela, is closely watching whether to withdraw, as it is reaching a major agreement with Trump that would grant the US considerable control over some of its oil reserves.The World Platinum Investment Council: The platinum market will experience its first annual supply surplus since 2022 due to outflows of investment funds.September 9th - The World Platinum Investment Council (WPIC) stated that the platinum market is expected to shift to a supply surplus this year after three consecutive years of shortages, influenced by factors such as large-scale investor sell-offs. At the beginning of the year, precious metals were caught in an investment frenzy, with platinum soaring to a record high of nearly $3,000 per ounce. This upward trend subsequently reversed sharply, with platinum prices falling by more than a third from their January peak. The WPIC now predicts an 8.2-ton supply surplus in 2026, compared to a 9.2-ton shortage forecast earlier this year. This change is almost entirely attributed to a downward revision in investment demand, with ETF holdings expected to decrease by approximately 12 tons this year. Ed Stecker, Head of Research at the WPIC, stated that as investor demand recovers, a supply gap is expected in the second half of the year, but this will not be enough to offset the impact of the large ETF outflows at the beginning of the year.The National Bank of Kazakhstan reported that Kazakhstans net gold and foreign exchange reserves in August totaled $68.562 billion (an increase of 11.8% month-on-month).Futures News, September 9th - Data released by the Petroleum Institute of Japan (PAJ) on Wednesday showed that for the week ending September 5th, Japans commercial crude oil inventories were 11.4515 million kiloliters, a decrease of 1,007,645 kiloliters from the previous weeks 12.4591 million kiloliters. Refinery operational capacity (BPSD) utilization was 82.9%, compared to 82.6% the previous week. Refinery design capacity (BPCD) utilization was 76.6%, compared to 77.6% the previous week. Due to changes in Japans petroleum product supply structure, the PAJ has suspended the release of weekly inventory details for gasoline, jet fuel, kerosene, and diesel.

Price Analysis of the US Dollar Index: DXY Retreats from 104.00, Rising Wedge Anticipated

Alina Haynes

May 12, 2022 10:27

During Thursday's Asian session, the US Dollar Index (DXY) fails to continue the previous two days' upward momentum, trading on the defensive around 103.95.

 

In doing so, the dollar index remains near the 20-year high reached earlier in the week, but for the first time in three days, the daily decline is recorded.

 

In addition to highlighting a 12-day-old rising wedge bearish pattern surrounding the multi-day top, the DXY's most recent decline also reveals a multi-day top-adjacent rising wedge formation. The slow RSI also highlights the significance of the chart pattern.

 

However, a decisive breach below 102.90 is required to validate the potential decline to 101.30.

 

During the fall, the 100-SMA and monthly low between 102.65 and 102.35 will serve as intermediate stops.

 

Until the quote continues below the indicated wedge's resistance line, approximately 104.30 as of press time, a recovery appears elusive.

 

After that, a slow climb to the September 2002 high of 109.80 cannot be ruled out.

Four-hour DXY chart

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