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On July 30th, Eckhard Schulte, Chairman of the Board of MainSky Asset Management, stated in a report that Federal Reserve Chairman Warshs avoidance of providing any form of forward guidance makes it extremely difficult for the market to form a coherent analysis of Fed policy. The market will have to adapt to this communication style; the resulting high level of uncertainty will drag down stocks, long-term bonds, and the dollar. Warsh clearly stated that the Fed is serious about its 2% inflation target and intends to achieve it. However, he did not provide a coherent explanation for why the Fed did not heed the opinions of three dissenting members who advocated for interest rate hikes.According to monitoring of 500 county-level markets and collection points nationwide, in the fourth week of July (collection date July 23), prices of piglets, pork, eggs, chicken, commercial broiler chicks, mutton sheep, raw milk, and soybean meal increased week-on-week. Prices of live pigs, commercial layer chicks, live cattle, and broiler feed decreased week-on-week. Prices of beef, corn, fattening pig feed, and layer hen feed remained unchanged week-on-week. The national average price of piglets was 23.20 yuan/kg, up 1.3% from the previous week and down 34.9% year-on-year. The national average price of live pigs was 11.45 yuan/kg, down 0.4% from the previous week and down 22.9% year-on-year. The national average price of pork was 20.96 yuan/kg, up 0.1% from the previous week and down 17.4% year-on-year. The national average price of eggs was 10.96 yuan/kg, up 1.3% from the previous week and up 27.0% year-on-year. The national average price of corn was 2.48 yuan/kg, unchanged from the previous week and down 0.8% year-on-year.Saudi Arabias GDP fell 4.8% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2026. Non-oil activity fell 24.7% year-on-year in the second quarter.Shell (SHEL.N): It expects its combined natural gas production in the third quarter to be approximately 570,000 to 630,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day.The World Gold Council reported that Indian gold demand fell 6% year-on-year in the June quarter, primarily due to weak jewelry purchases. Indian gold demand is expected to recover in the second half of 2026, provided prices remain stable. Indias increased tariffs on gold imports have fueled smuggling and squeezed legitimate market participants.

Price Analysis of the US Dollar Index: DXY Retreats from 104.00, Rising Wedge Anticipated

Alina Haynes

May 12, 2022 10:27

During Thursday's Asian session, the US Dollar Index (DXY) fails to continue the previous two days' upward momentum, trading on the defensive around 103.95.

 

In doing so, the dollar index remains near the 20-year high reached earlier in the week, but for the first time in three days, the daily decline is recorded.

 

In addition to highlighting a 12-day-old rising wedge bearish pattern surrounding the multi-day top, the DXY's most recent decline also reveals a multi-day top-adjacent rising wedge formation. The slow RSI also highlights the significance of the chart pattern.

 

However, a decisive breach below 102.90 is required to validate the potential decline to 101.30.

 

During the fall, the 100-SMA and monthly low between 102.65 and 102.35 will serve as intermediate stops.

 

Until the quote continues below the indicated wedge's resistance line, approximately 104.30 as of press time, a recovery appears elusive.

 

After that, a slow climb to the September 2002 high of 109.80 cannot be ruled out.

Four-hour DXY chart

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