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On May 18th, Ed Yardeni, president and chief investment strategist of Yardeni Research, stated that as investors become increasingly concerned about inflation, the Federal Reserve needs to keep pace with the bond market or risk losing control over borrowing costs. He pointed out that given the current market environment is "no longer" suitable for an accommodative stance, the Fed should remove its dovish bias at its June meeting. "If the Fed fails to remove this bias, investors will conclude that the Fed is lagging behind the inflation curve and will demand a higher inflation risk premium," Yardeni said. "We expect the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged at its June meeting and shift to a tightening policy stance." Yardeni added that the current economic context no longer provides a reason for an accommodative bias, let alone rate cuts. Instead, he believes that a more hawkish Warsh than the market expects could actually benefit Trump by helping to suppress long-term Treasury yields.According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the price of second-hand residential properties in Shenzhen rose 0.3% month-on-month in April (up 0.4% in the previous month) and fell 6.5% year-on-year (down 7.0% in the previous month).According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the price of newly built commercial residential buildings in Shenzhen rose 0.1% month-on-month in April (compared to 0.2% previously) and fell 5.3% year-on-year (compared to -5.5% previously).According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the price of second-hand residential properties in Guangzhou in April increased by 0.2% month-on-month (previous value: +0.2%) and decreased by 7.9% year-on-year (previous value: -8.1%).According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the price of newly built commercial residential buildings in Guangzhou in April increased by 0.1% month-on-month (previous value: +0.3%) and decreased by 4.4% year-on-year (previous value: -4.7%).

Price Analysis of the US Dollar Index: DXY Retreats from 104.00, Rising Wedge Anticipated

Alina Haynes

May 12, 2022 10:27

During Thursday's Asian session, the US Dollar Index (DXY) fails to continue the previous two days' upward momentum, trading on the defensive around 103.95.

 

In doing so, the dollar index remains near the 20-year high reached earlier in the week, but for the first time in three days, the daily decline is recorded.

 

In addition to highlighting a 12-day-old rising wedge bearish pattern surrounding the multi-day top, the DXY's most recent decline also reveals a multi-day top-adjacent rising wedge formation. The slow RSI also highlights the significance of the chart pattern.

 

However, a decisive breach below 102.90 is required to validate the potential decline to 101.30.

 

During the fall, the 100-SMA and monthly low between 102.65 and 102.35 will serve as intermediate stops.

 

Until the quote continues below the indicated wedge's resistance line, approximately 104.30 as of press time, a recovery appears elusive.

 

After that, a slow climb to the September 2002 high of 109.80 cannot be ruled out.

Four-hour DXY chart

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