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Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Green: Upside risks to inflation are the most important.April 14th - The Middle East war has driven up oil prices and demand for Russian oil, and Russias oil tax profits are expected to increase further. Data from Argus, an independent international energy and commodity price assessment agency, shows that in the first 13 days of April, the average price of Urals crude oil, Russias main export, at western ports reached $106.3 per barrel, a 42% increase compared to March. Russian oil taxes are calculated with a one-month lag in Urals crude prices, so the impact of the March price increase will be reflected starting this month. In local currency terms, the average Urals price in March had already soared to 6,191 rubles; if the average price and exchange rate remain at current levels in April, it will further rise to approximately 8,300 rubles this month, the highest since March 2022. Finam economist Berenkaya stated that for every $1 increase in the annual average Urals price, Russian oil and gas tax revenue increases by approximately 150 billion rubles (about $2 billion). In April alone, the industrys revenue may reach 900-950 billion rubles, higher than the 617 billion rubles in March.Federal Reserves Goolsby: Concerns about how long the war with Iran will last.Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Green: Businesses tell me they have no pricing power.European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: Finding a solution to the Iranian issue is in the interest of all parties.

Price Analysis of the US Dollar Index: DXY Retreats from 104.00, Rising Wedge Anticipated

Alina Haynes

May 12, 2022 10:27

During Thursday's Asian session, the US Dollar Index (DXY) fails to continue the previous two days' upward momentum, trading on the defensive around 103.95.

 

In doing so, the dollar index remains near the 20-year high reached earlier in the week, but for the first time in three days, the daily decline is recorded.

 

In addition to highlighting a 12-day-old rising wedge bearish pattern surrounding the multi-day top, the DXY's most recent decline also reveals a multi-day top-adjacent rising wedge formation. The slow RSI also highlights the significance of the chart pattern.

 

However, a decisive breach below 102.90 is required to validate the potential decline to 101.30.

 

During the fall, the 100-SMA and monthly low between 102.65 and 102.35 will serve as intermediate stops.

 

Until the quote continues below the indicated wedge's resistance line, approximately 104.30 as of press time, a recovery appears elusive.

 

After that, a slow climb to the September 2002 high of 109.80 cannot be ruled out.

Four-hour DXY chart

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