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On May 9, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said that once a specific trade plan is on the table, she could envision visiting Washington to meet with Trump to discuss trade negotiations. "If I go to the White House, I hope there is a package that we can discuss," von der Leyen said. "It has to be specific, and I hope there is a solution that we can both agree on. Thats what were working on now." Last month, von der Leyen met briefly with Trump at Pope Francis funeral, but a formal meeting has not yet taken place. On Thursday, the European Commission announced that if trade negotiations with the United States fail to produce satisfactory results, the EU will impose additional tariffs on 95 billion euros of US exports. Von der Leyen said on Friday that the EU prefers to resolve the issue through negotiations to avoid tariff escalation, but is developing countermeasures that can be implemented if a "satisfactory result" cannot be reached.On May 9, ECB board member Simkus said that since the eurozone economy has not yet felt the full impact of US tariffs, inflation is expected to continue to slow, but the ECB must further lower interest rates. He said that although economic activity performed well at the beginning, recent geopolitical trends, including US President Trumps trade threats, are bad news. At the same time, he saw "clear anti-inflationary forces" at work. He said, "For me, the June decision was very clear that another rate cut was needed." He said, "It is possible to cut interest rates again after June," although the timing is unclear. The ECB has cut interest rates seven times since June last year, and officials have said they are ready to take more measures as US tariffs threaten economic growth.Federal Reserve Board Governor Kugler: It is not appropriate to use a single indicator to guide the maximum employment target.Federal Reserve Board Governor Barr: Forward-looking measures are worrying.Federal Reserve Board Governor Barr: The first quarter GDP data was somewhat abnormal.

GBP/USD to Test 1.2260; Downside Remains Favored Due to Rising US CPI; UK GDP Watched

Daniel Rogers

May 12, 2022 10:13

The GBP/USD pair has broken to the negative from its week-long consolidation between 1.2260 and 1.2400. The asset may test the lower range of consolidation to confirm the bears' strength, but the downside remains intact as rising US inflation data has increased the likelihood of a massive rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in June.

 

Wednesday's 8.3 percent reading for the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) surpassed the 8.1 percent forecast by theștiindștiind. Market analysts anticipated that the Fed's June monetary policy would include a 50 basis point (bps) interest rate hike in response to the US CPI reading of 8.1%. Now, a higher-than-anticipated US inflation rate has increased the likelihood of a 75 basis point rate hike. This has shook the foreign exchange market, and investors are selling risky assets like there is no tomorrow.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) is trying to maintain its position above 104.00, although the upside remains intact. Regarding the British pound, investors anticipate the announcement of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures. The quarterly GDP estimate for the United Kingdom is predicted to be 1 percent, compared to the previous estimate of 1.3%, while the annual estimate is projected to be 9 percent, compared to the previous estimate of 6.6%. A higher-than-anticipated UK GDP may protect the pound from additional losses, whilst a weaker-than-anticipated figure would accelerate the asset's decline.

GBP/USD

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