• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
August 26th - US inflation unexpectedly remained unchanged in July, marking the 65th consecutive month significantly above the Federal Reserves 2% target. The recent decline in inflation after reaching high levels, influenced by the Iran war, has stalled, potentially exacerbating tensions within the Federal Reserve regarding whether to raise or maintain interest rates. Data released Wednesday by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis showed that the Feds preferred indicator, the US PCE price index, rose 3.7% year-on-year in July, unchanged from June, compared to analysts expectations of 3.6%. With trade negotiations between the US and its second-largest trading partner, Canada, breaking down on Friday, a new round of tariff-driven inflationary pressures may be imminent. On a month-on-month basis, the PCE price index rose 0.2% in July, also exceeding economists expectations. In June, the index fell 0.1% month-on-month, the lowest level since April 2020. The Bureau of Economic Analysis also updated its second-quarter economic growth data, maintaining the annualized growth rate of US real GDP at 1.5%.August 26th - Market pricing indicates a slight increase in expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike next month. This follows data released by the US government showing that the Feds key inflation gauge rose 3.7% year-on-year in July, slightly higher than economists expectations. Interest rate futures data shows that after the data release, the market expects a 42% probability of a Fed rate hike in September, up from approximately 36% before the data release.On August 26th, Alibabas Qianwen released the Qwen3.8-Flash model. This is a multimodal MoE model and an early preview version of the Qwen4 architecture. The production version of Qwen3.8-Flash will soon be available through the Qwen Cloud API, priced at only $0.16 per 1 million input tokens and $0.47 per 1 million output tokens. The model boasts 125 billion parameters + 51 billion N-gram embedding parameters, but each token only activates 6 billion parameters, achieving extremely high cost-effectiveness.Ukrainian President Zelensky: Ukraine will send two additional troops to reinforce the Donetsk front.U.S. short-term interest rate futures pared earlier gains slightly after the release of U.S. economic data.

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Retracement Moves Seek Confirmation at 1,3000

Alina Haynes

May 13, 2022 10:00

USD/CAD consolidates recent advances while retreating from its highest level since November 2020, reaching a fresh intraday low around 1.3010 during the Asia session on Friday.

 

In doing so, the Loonie pair depicts a pullback from a four-day-old resistance line, which was near 1.3080 at the time of publication.

 

Given that the downward-sloping RSI (14) line is not oversold, the most recent price downturn may continue for a while longer before reaching any important support.

 

However, a junction of the 100-HMA and a one-week-old ascending trend line at 1.2995 is a formidable obstacle for USD/CAD bears.

 

In the event that the price falls below 1.2995, various levels surrounding 1.2920-10, including the high from early May and the 200-hour moving average, will attract pair sellers.

 

In contrast, a decisive breach of the aforementioned short-term resistance line of 1.3080 would require confirmation from the 1.3100 level before going for the peak of 1.3172 in late November 2020.

 

In conclusion, USD/CAD decline is not indicative of a trend reversal until the quotation breaks 1.2920.

The USD/CAD Hourly Graph

 image.png