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1. The three major U.S. stock indexes closed slightly lower. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.13% to 50,121.4 points, the S&P 500 was flat at 6,941.47 points, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.16% to 23,066.47 points. IBM fell more than 6%, and Salesforce fell more than 4%, leading the decline in the Dow. The Wind U.S. Tech Big Seven Index fell 0.57%, with Google and Microsoft falling more than 2%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell 0.65%, with Hesai Technology falling nearly 6% and Huya falling more than 5%. 2. The three major European stock indexes closed mixed. The German DAX fell 0.53% to 24,856.15 points, the French CAC40 fell 0.18% to 8,313.24 points, and the UK FTSE 100 rose 1.14% to 10,472.11 points. 3. International precious metals futures generally closed higher, with COMEX gold futures rising 1.53% to $5107.80 per ounce and COMEX silver futures rising 4.60% to $84.08 per ounce. 4. The most active US crude oil contract closed up 1.45% at $64.89 per barrel; the most active Brent crude oil contract rose 1.15% to $69.60 per barrel.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially determined that a 4.7-magnitude earthquake occurred in the South China Sea at 06:27 on February 12, with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.February 12th - A surprisingly strong surge in US non-farm payrolls weighed on the US Treasury market, with traders reducing their bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut this year. Short-term Treasury bonds were hit hardest, with the two-year Treasury yield rising 6 basis points to around 3.51%. The money market now expects the next Fed rate cut to occur in July, rather than the previously anticipated June. Asian stock index futures diverged after US stocks closed flat. Futures indicated a rise in Japanese stocks after Thursdays holiday, while the Australian benchmark stock index contract fell. This volatility suggests that the current strength of the US economy is offsetting market desire for lower borrowing costs, supporting risk sentiment. Bret Kenwell of eToro said investors should welcome the US jobs report, even if it gives the Fed more room to keep interest rates unchanged. He noted, "If the labor market does stabilize, that will be constructive for both the economy and the markets."On February 12, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy refuted reports that he would announce elections on February 24, emphasizing that elections could only be held if all security guarantees were in place. Furthermore, Zelenskyy denied reports that the United States had threatened to withdraw its security guarantees to Ukraine if it did not announce a presidential election date, stating, "Some of Ukraines partners have raised the issue of elections, but Ukraine itself has never brought it up. However, Ukraine is absolutely ready for elections. Achieving this goal is simple: as long as there is a ceasefire, elections can be held."February 12th - Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Milan said on Wednesday that he would be "very happy" to remain at the Fed long-term if asked, but the decision is not in his hands. Milans term has expired, making it the only remaining position available for President Trump to nominate former Fed Governor Peter Warsh as his nominee for Fed Chair, unless Fed Chair Jerome Powell resigns when his term expires in mid-May. Powell has not yet indicated his intention to leave. In an interview, Milan stated, "What happens next this year depends on many factors: whether there is a vacancy, the presidents choice, and the Senates confirmation decision."

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Retracement Moves Seek Confirmation at 1,3000

Alina Haynes

May 13, 2022 10:00

USD/CAD consolidates recent advances while retreating from its highest level since November 2020, reaching a fresh intraday low around 1.3010 during the Asia session on Friday.

 

In doing so, the Loonie pair depicts a pullback from a four-day-old resistance line, which was near 1.3080 at the time of publication.

 

Given that the downward-sloping RSI (14) line is not oversold, the most recent price downturn may continue for a while longer before reaching any important support.

 

However, a junction of the 100-HMA and a one-week-old ascending trend line at 1.2995 is a formidable obstacle for USD/CAD bears.

 

In the event that the price falls below 1.2995, various levels surrounding 1.2920-10, including the high from early May and the 200-hour moving average, will attract pair sellers.

 

In contrast, a decisive breach of the aforementioned short-term resistance line of 1.3080 would require confirmation from the 1.3100 level before going for the peak of 1.3172 in late November 2020.

 

In conclusion, USD/CAD decline is not indicative of a trend reversal until the quotation breaks 1.2920.

The USD/CAD Hourly Graph

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