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July 19th - According to the Wall Street Journal, the U.S. labor market remains robust according to most key indicators. However, nearly two million Americans have been unable to find work for at least six months. Data from the U.S. Department of Labor shows that in June, the number of long-term unemployed (unemployed for 27 consecutive weeks or more) accounted for 27.3% of the total unemployed, up 4 percentage points from a year ago. This proportion is close to its highest level since the end of 2021. Because the overall unemployment rate remains low, the size of the long-term unemployed population is not yet sufficient to cause a substantial shock to the economy. However, analysts say its ripple effects are accumulating. Preston Mooy, senior economist at Employ America, said, "We havent seen large-scale layoffs in the past few years, so the number of short-term unemployed has remained relatively stable. But at the same time, hiring activity has seen a fairly significant decline." Even if some long-term unemployed people find new jobs, the weak hiring environment means more people are constantly joining the long-term unemployed group, keeping this number consistently high.Ukrainian President Zelensky: Decisions regarding the military will continue to be made through consultation.Ukrainian President Zelensky: I spoke today with Alexander Sylsky, Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.July 19th - According to CNN, the US military announced that two US troops stationed in Jordan were killed in action yesterday, and another is missing. This news is bound to further fuel anger among those in the US who oppose the war. In the first phase of the US-Iran war, 13 US military personnel have already died. Subsequently, a pilot died in a plane crash, bringing the death toll to 14. The latest casualties will bring the total number of US military deaths to 16, or even 17. This is clearly an extremely difficult moment for Trump. The American public generally does not support the war, and these casualties are likely to further erode public support for the war.According to Israels Channel 13, the United States is preparing to expand its operations against Iran by sending approximately 100 refueling aircraft to the Middle East. Israeli defense agencies are preparing for a potential major escalation in the region.

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Retracement Moves Seek Confirmation at 1,3000

Alina Haynes

May 13, 2022 10:00

USD/CAD consolidates recent advances while retreating from its highest level since November 2020, reaching a fresh intraday low around 1.3010 during the Asia session on Friday.

 

In doing so, the Loonie pair depicts a pullback from a four-day-old resistance line, which was near 1.3080 at the time of publication.

 

Given that the downward-sloping RSI (14) line is not oversold, the most recent price downturn may continue for a while longer before reaching any important support.

 

However, a junction of the 100-HMA and a one-week-old ascending trend line at 1.2995 is a formidable obstacle for USD/CAD bears.

 

In the event that the price falls below 1.2995, various levels surrounding 1.2920-10, including the high from early May and the 200-hour moving average, will attract pair sellers.

 

In contrast, a decisive breach of the aforementioned short-term resistance line of 1.3080 would require confirmation from the 1.3100 level before going for the peak of 1.3172 in late November 2020.

 

In conclusion, USD/CAD decline is not indicative of a trend reversal until the quotation breaks 1.2920.

The USD/CAD Hourly Graph

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