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Both WTI and Brent crude oil prices rose by $0.60 in the short term, reaching $69.20 and $72.65 per barrel, respectively.On June 26th, Federal Reserve official Neel Kashkari stated that widespread signs of inflation led him to anticipate one interest rate hike this year in the Feds economic projections released earlier this month. Interest rates are expected to remain unchanged until 2027. In a media interview on Friday, Kashkari said, "Im concerned about inflation, and its not just about the situation in the Middle East, but rather a manifestation of broader inflationary pressures in the economy." The war in Iran has pushed up oil prices, and prices across many categories have also risen. This has exacerbated concerns among some Fed officials that inflation is becoming more widespread and persistent, potentially requiring stronger central bank action. A report released earlier this week showed that the PCE annual rate in May reached 4.1%, the largest increase since April 2023. Prices have exceeded the Feds 2% target for over five years. In the Feds dot plot projections released last week, half of the officials who provided dot plot projections expected at least one interest rate hike this year.Federal Reserves Kashkari: The goal is to reduce inflation without harming employment.The German DAX 30 index closed down 328.90 points, or 1.32%, at 24,671.64 on Friday, June 26; the UK FTSE 100 index closed down 19.23 points, or 0.18%, at 10,510.66; and the French CAC 40 index closed down 46.74 points, or 0.55%, at 8,384.87. The Stoxx 50 index closed down 45.53 points, or 0.73%, at 6222.00 on Friday, June 26; the Spanish IBEX 35 index closed down 75.13 points, or 0.39%, at 19438.47 on Friday, June 26; and the Italian FTSE MIB index closed down 480.41 points, or 0.93%, at 51302.50 on Friday, June 26.The International Tanker Owners Association (INTERTANKO) stated that the Hormuz route through Iran is "concerning".

USD/CAD Bears are nearing multi-month support close to $1.3470

Alina Haynes

Mar 31, 2023 11:49

USD:CAD.png

 

USD/CAD sellers eye 1.3520-25 after falling to the lowest levels since February 22 as markets become volatile on Friday ahead of the release of crucial US inflation data. As a result, during the five-day losing sequence, the Loonie duo demonstrates modest losses.

 

However, the successful break below the 50-day moving average and the bearish MACD signals maintain optimism among sellers. The absence of a fatigued RSI (14) line strengthens the bearish bias.

 

Notably, a rising support line from early June 2022, which was near 1.3475 at the time of publication, appears to be a formidable obstacle for USD/CAD bears to surmount. In addition to emphasizing the significance of the 1.3475 level, the decline of the RSI below the 50 level suggests that purchasing near the key support line is likely.

 

The 200-day moving average and an ascending trend line from mid-November 2022 near 1.3375 and 1.3295 could challenge the bears if the Loonie pair breaches the 1.3475 support level.

 

To convince short-term USD/CAD investors, recovery advances require confirmation from the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) resistance of 1.3545.

 

However, the mid-month low around 1.3650-55 and December 2022 highs around 1.3705 can challenge the Loonie pair's further ascent before underscoring the previous yearly high of 1.3977.


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