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On April 3, Iranian Ambassador to Egypt Mojtaba Ferdowsi Poul stated that if the United States decides to send troops to land on Iranian islands, it could lead to the Houthi rebels blocking the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. Ferdowsi Poul said, "We hope our enemies will not make another strategic mistake against Iran. If they want to land on or occupy Iranian islands, another strait will become like the Strait of Hormuz, which will trigger financial markets and the global economy. This is not the situation we want. We will not beg the Houthis, but they have this plan." Houthi political bureau member Mohammed al-Buhaiti previously stated that the movement might block the Bab el-Mandeb Strait connecting the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden, but only against the invading nation.Futures News, April 3rd - According to foreign media reports, soybean oil futures on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) closed higher on Thursday, with the benchmark contract rising 2.7%, mainly due to a surge in international crude oil futures. US President Trumps statement that the US would continue attacks on Iran sparked market concerns about a potential long-term disruption to crude oil supplies, causing Brent crude futures to jump 7.8%, which boosted sentiment in the Chicago soybean oil market. The May contract closed near its intraday high, slightly below this weeks high of $69.68. The US Department of Agricultures weekly export sales report showed that for the week ending March 26, 2026, net sales of US soybean oil for the 2025/26 marketing year totaled 1,100 tons, a 53% increase from the previous week, but a 58% decrease from the four-week average.Federal Reserves Goolsby: The oil price shock adds another layer of uncertainty.Federal Reserves Goolsby: Uncertainty is leading to an environment of low hiring and low layoffs.Federal Reserves Goolsby: When gasoline prices rise sharply, some complications can arise that could push up inflation expectations. That would make things even more difficult for us.

USD/CAD Bears are nearing multi-month support close to $1.3470

Alina Haynes

Mar 31, 2023 11:49

USD:CAD.png

 

USD/CAD sellers eye 1.3520-25 after falling to the lowest levels since February 22 as markets become volatile on Friday ahead of the release of crucial US inflation data. As a result, during the five-day losing sequence, the Loonie duo demonstrates modest losses.

 

However, the successful break below the 50-day moving average and the bearish MACD signals maintain optimism among sellers. The absence of a fatigued RSI (14) line strengthens the bearish bias.

 

Notably, a rising support line from early June 2022, which was near 1.3475 at the time of publication, appears to be a formidable obstacle for USD/CAD bears to surmount. In addition to emphasizing the significance of the 1.3475 level, the decline of the RSI below the 50 level suggests that purchasing near the key support line is likely.

 

The 200-day moving average and an ascending trend line from mid-November 2022 near 1.3375 and 1.3295 could challenge the bears if the Loonie pair breaches the 1.3475 support level.

 

To convince short-term USD/CAD investors, recovery advances require confirmation from the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) resistance of 1.3545.

 

However, the mid-month low around 1.3650-55 and December 2022 highs around 1.3705 can challenge the Loonie pair's further ascent before underscoring the previous yearly high of 1.3977.


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