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On May 9th, Japans Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) announced on social media that Japan may send government officials to Russia as early as the end of May to maintain communication channels and provide support to its companies still operating in Russia. METI stated that it is necessary to protect the assets of Japanese companies remaining in Russia, and to support these efforts, the Japanese government has been maintaining government-level communication with Russia and has made relevant requests.May 9th - As the war with Iran disrupts oil transport in the Persian Gulf, global oil inventories are being depleted at a record rate, eroding the buffers originally intended to withstand supply shocks. The rapid shrinking of inventories means the risk of more extreme price spikes and supply shortages is looming. With the Strait of Hormuz nearing closure for two months, governments and industries have fewer options to cope with a supply loss of over 1 billion barrels. The sharp depletion of inventories also means that even after the conflict ends, the market will remain vulnerable to future supply disruptions for a longer period. Morgan Stanley estimates that global oil inventories fell by an average of about 4.8 million barrels per day between March 1st and April 25th, far exceeding previous peaks in quarterly inventory declines compiled by the International Energy Agency. Crude oil accounted for nearly 60% of the decline, with the remainder being refined products. Crucially, the oil system also needs to set a minimum inventory level. Natasha Kaneva, global head of commodities research at JPMorgan Chase, stated that this means that the untouchable safety stock will be reached before inventories truly bottom out.On May 9th, the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM) clarified that rumors circulating online claiming "new energy vehicle companies were summoned for talks and placed under investigation for battery locking issues" are false. A CAAM representative stated that the claims circulating online regarding "eight new energy vehicle companies being summoned for talks due to battery locking issues" and "three companies being placed under investigation" lack official source and are seriously inconsistent with the facts. All industry regulatory updates and enforcement measures should be based on official information from the relevant authorities. Furthermore, CAAM hopes that new energy vehicle companies will optimize their battery management systems, maintain transparency, protect consumers right to know and choose, establish efficient after-sales communication channels, actively handle complaints and disputes related to battery locking, and safeguard their brand reputation through honest business practices.On May 9, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced via social media that he had spoken with European Council President Costa, exchanging views on Ukraines cooperation with Europe and its integration into European integration. Zelenskyy stated that he and Costa focused on joint efforts to further Ukraines integration into Europe, clarifying Ukraines commitment to becoming a full member of the EU and that preparations are underway for initiating negotiations and subsequent decisions.On May 9th, the chairman of the Iranian Parliaments Energy Committee stated that production continues uninterrupted at multiple oil fields across the country. He asserted that the actions of adversaries targeting Iranian oil tankers are entirely illegal, and that pressure on Iranian oil exports has been ineffective. There are currently no official reports of an oil spill near Kharg Island. Earlier reports indicated that satellite images suggested a large-scale oil spill near Kharg Island, a key Iranian oil export hub, with pollution covering tens of square kilometers of sea surface.

USD/CAD Approaches Exhaustion at 1.2830 as Oil Rebounds; BOC's Macklem Comes Under Fire

Alina Haynes

Apr 27, 2022 09:59

The USD/CAD pair is showing symptoms of weariness following a mammoth rally from last week's low of 1.2458. The asset has been climbing upward as safe-haven assets have been bolstered by negative market sentiment. While exhaustion signals at monthly highs of 1.2830 may be associated with a more robust recovery in oil prices.

 

China's pledge to strengthen its economy through conservative monetary policy has given oil prices a boost. Increased liquidity in the economy to boost demand will restore normalcy to oil requirements. The price of oil has recaptured the $100.00 level. The black gold was underperforming as the Covid-19 pandemic spread from Shanghai to Beijing, reigniting fears of a slide in China's aggregate demand. Additionally, the Beijing mass testing was used to call for severe lockdown measures.

 

It's worth mentioning that China is the world's largest oil importer, and any concerns about the dragon economy's oil demand might have a significant impact on oil prices. Additionally, Canada is the largest oil exporter to the United States, and rising oil prices result in increased capital inflows into the loonie area.

 

Investors' attention will now turn to Tuesday's speech by Bank of Canada (BOC) Governor Tiff Macklem. Additionally, the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) number for the third quarter will be released on the same day, and is predicted to decline to 7.2 percent.

USD/CAD

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