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U.S. stock futures extended their losses, with Nasdaq 100 futures down 1%, S&P 500 futures down 0.75%, and Dow Jones futures down 0.4%.Turkish Automobile Association: Car sales from January to October increased by 10.20% year-on-year.Turkish Automobile Association: October car sales increased by 19.40% year-on-year.On November 4th, Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama issued another strong verbal warning regarding exchange rate movements, reiterating his "high vigilance" regarding current market volatility. The warning is increasingly evident as market expectations for potential government intervention intensify. Katayama stated at a press conference on Tuesday, "I have seen one-sided and rapid fluctuations in the foreign exchange market. Our position of maintaining high vigilance regarding market dynamics remains unchanged." These remarks came as the yen fell to its lowest level against the dollar since February, nearing 154.5. Following his comments, the yen briefly rebounded to 153.71. The market believes the risk of Japanese authorities intervening in the foreign exchange market is rising, but most still expect actual action to be unlikely in the short term. Japan last intervened in the exchange rate in July of last year, when the yen was around 160 against the dollar.On November 4th, Morgan Stanley released a technical research report predicting that Standard Chartered (02888.HK) will outperform its peers over the next 30 days, with a probability of 70-80% or very high. The report states that this forecast is based on Standard Chartereds strong quarterly results, and the bank has also raised its earnings forecast for Standard Chartered this year by 11%, and its earnings forecasts for next year and the year after by 3.5% and 2%, respectively. The report also notes that Standard Chartereds managements return on tangible equity guidance has been revised upward from trending towards 13% to approximately 13%. The 2026 tangible equity guidance is expected to be updated when the results are announced in February next year, with the latest interim forecast expected in May next year. The bank expects Standard Chartereds tangible equity return to be 13.1% this year, and above 14% from 2027 onwards. The bank currently gives Standard Chartered a target price of HK$176.7 and a "Buy" rating.

USD/CAD Approaches Exhaustion at 1.2830 as Oil Rebounds; BOC's Macklem Comes Under Fire

Alina Haynes

Apr 27, 2022 09:59

The USD/CAD pair is showing symptoms of weariness following a mammoth rally from last week's low of 1.2458. The asset has been climbing upward as safe-haven assets have been bolstered by negative market sentiment. While exhaustion signals at monthly highs of 1.2830 may be associated with a more robust recovery in oil prices.

 

China's pledge to strengthen its economy through conservative monetary policy has given oil prices a boost. Increased liquidity in the economy to boost demand will restore normalcy to oil requirements. The price of oil has recaptured the $100.00 level. The black gold was underperforming as the Covid-19 pandemic spread from Shanghai to Beijing, reigniting fears of a slide in China's aggregate demand. Additionally, the Beijing mass testing was used to call for severe lockdown measures.

 

It's worth mentioning that China is the world's largest oil importer, and any concerns about the dragon economy's oil demand might have a significant impact on oil prices. Additionally, Canada is the largest oil exporter to the United States, and rising oil prices result in increased capital inflows into the loonie area.

 

Investors' attention will now turn to Tuesday's speech by Bank of Canada (BOC) Governor Tiff Macklem. Additionally, the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) number for the third quarter will be released on the same day, and is predicted to decline to 7.2 percent.

USD/CAD

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