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UAE Presidents Foreign Policy Advisor: The UAE is exercising restraint and seeking a way out for Iran and the region.The UAE presidents foreign policy advisor said Irans accusations against the UAE are "part of its unwise and chaotic policy."On March 15, S&P Global Ratings affirmed Saudi Arabias sovereign credit rating, adding that despite disruptions, non-oil growth momentum and related non-oil revenues should help support the economy. S&P stated that Saudi Arabia should be able to withstand the impact of the current conflict with Iran. S&P noted that the country should be able to shift oil exports to the Red Sea, utilize its vast oil storage capacity, and increase oil production post-conflict. The Saudi government should also be able to adjust investment spending related to "Vision 2030," a strategic framework launched by the country in 2016.On March 15th, Matt Reed, Vice President of the geopolitical and energy consultancy Foreign Reports, stated that an attack on Kharg Island could trigger Iranian retaliation against Gulf oil-producing countries. He said, "Iran will retaliate in kind." The United States warned on Friday that if Iran continues to block the Strait of Hormuz, Kharg Islands oil facilities could become the next target. Reed warned that the longer the conflict continues, the harder it will be to find alternative energy supplies. "At least 10 million barrels of oil are trapped in the Gulf every day, plus more than 4 million barrels of refined petroleum products and tens of billions of cubic feet of liquefied natural gas, with no easy alternatives." The International Energy Agency has announced the largest emergency oil reserve release in history, with 32 member countries planning to release approximately 400 million barrels of oil. However, Reed believes this measure will have limited effect, stating, "By the time the oil gets to the market, it may be too little, too late." He described it as nothing more than a "band-aid."On March 15th, local time, the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a statement saying that in the past 48 hours, the US and Israel had launched attacks on several civilian industrial facilities in Iran, resulting in the deaths of several workers. The statement said that after setbacks in its confrontation with Iran, the US and Israel have turned to attacking non-military industrial facilities. Iran warned that US companies in the region should withdraw from their facilities and urged nearby residents to stay away from industrial areas with US capital involvement to avoid potential attacks.

USD/CAD Approaches Exhaustion at 1.2830 as Oil Rebounds; BOC's Macklem Comes Under Fire

Alina Haynes

Apr 27, 2022 09:59

The USD/CAD pair is showing symptoms of weariness following a mammoth rally from last week's low of 1.2458. The asset has been climbing upward as safe-haven assets have been bolstered by negative market sentiment. While exhaustion signals at monthly highs of 1.2830 may be associated with a more robust recovery in oil prices.

 

China's pledge to strengthen its economy through conservative monetary policy has given oil prices a boost. Increased liquidity in the economy to boost demand will restore normalcy to oil requirements. The price of oil has recaptured the $100.00 level. The black gold was underperforming as the Covid-19 pandemic spread from Shanghai to Beijing, reigniting fears of a slide in China's aggregate demand. Additionally, the Beijing mass testing was used to call for severe lockdown measures.

 

It's worth mentioning that China is the world's largest oil importer, and any concerns about the dragon economy's oil demand might have a significant impact on oil prices. Additionally, Canada is the largest oil exporter to the United States, and rising oil prices result in increased capital inflows into the loonie area.

 

Investors' attention will now turn to Tuesday's speech by Bank of Canada (BOC) Governor Tiff Macklem. Additionally, the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) number for the third quarter will be released on the same day, and is predicted to decline to 7.2 percent.

USD/CAD

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