EUR/USD 1.17797
0.486%
Gold 4723.80
0.784%
Oil 92.012
-2.817%
USD/JPY 156.725
-0.130%
GBP/USD 1.36276
0.570%
GBP/JPY 213.582
0.450%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
On May 9, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced via social media that he had spoken with European Council President Costa, exchanging views on Ukraines cooperation with Europe and its integration into European integration. Zelenskyy stated that he and Costa focused on joint efforts to further Ukraines integration into Europe, clarifying Ukraines commitment to becoming a full member of the EU and that preparations are underway for initiating negotiations and subsequent decisions.On May 9th, the chairman of the Iranian Parliaments Energy Committee stated that production continues uninterrupted at multiple oil fields across the country. He asserted that the actions of adversaries targeting Iranian oil tankers are entirely illegal, and that pressure on Iranian oil exports has been ineffective. There are currently no official reports of an oil spill near Kharg Island. Earlier reports indicated that satellite images suggested a large-scale oil spill near Kharg Island, a key Iranian oil export hub, with pollution covering tens of square kilometers of sea surface.On May 9th, according to CCTV, Li Qiang chaired an executive meeting of the State Council, during which a report was heard on the construction of the national comprehensive transportation system. The meeting emphasized the need for coordinated advancement of transportation infrastructure construction, adhering to integrated planning and systematic integration, effectively utilizing existing resources and optimizing new supply. It stressed the importance of improving management and service levels, creating a more convenient travel environment to facilitate the smooth flow of people and goods, and promoting cost reduction, quality improvement, and efficiency enhancement in freight transportation. The meeting also called for deepening reform and innovation, building a unified and open transportation market, actively promoting the application of new technologies, developing new transportation business models safely and orderly, and cultivating more new growth points.On May 9th, according to CCTV, Li Qiang chaired an executive meeting of the State Council, which discussed and promoted work related to resolving local government debt risks. The meeting pointed out that since the implementation of the comprehensive debt reduction plan, significant progress has been made in resolving debt risks. It is necessary to continue focusing on key areas and weak links, improve policies supporting debt reduction, enhance local governments ability to repay debts independently, and ensure the timely completion of debt reduction tasks. It is also necessary to establish and improve a long-term mechanism to resolutely prevent the creation of new hidden debt.On May 9th, according to CCTV, Li Qiang chaired an executive meeting of the State Council, emphasizing the need to strengthen the planning and construction of water networks, new power grids, computing power networks, next-generation communication networks, urban underground pipe networks, and logistics networks. He stressed that efforts to ensure peoples livelihoods should focus on stabilizing employment and providing a safety net, while also improving education, healthcare, childcare, and rural development. He called for greater efforts and more concrete measures to strengthen basic research, placing it high on the agenda, identifying key areas and priorities based on both urgent national needs and long-term objectives, increasing investment through multiple measures, and fostering a favorable research environment.

When Will the Australian Consumer Price Index Be Released and How Will It Affect the AUD/USD?

Daniel Rogers

Apr 27, 2022 09:54

Today, at 0130 GMT, Australia's important first quarter Consumer Price Index data will be released. The Australian central bank has abandoned its patient attitude and declared that monetary policy will be data-driven. Quarterly inflation in Australia is projected to exceed the RBA's objective at the top end.

 

Westpac analysts stated that "given the conclusion of grants, the spike in house purchase prices is projected to play a significant influence."

 

"Automotive gasoline and food prices are also anticipated to play a significant role."

 

Westpac anticipates a 2.0 percent quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) and 4.9 percent year-on-year (YoY) increase in the headline CPI (market median 1.7 percent and 4.6 percent ).

 

"Continued disruptions to supply chains and the persistent strength of domestic demand imply more widespread inflationary pressures," the analysts wrote. "This supports a 1.2 percent QoQ (3.4 percent YoY) increase in the trimmed mean measure (in line with the median).

 

According to NAB analysts, they anticipate a 1.2 percent quarter-on-quarter increase in the trimmed mean and a 3.4 percent year-on-year increase in the trimmed mean. 3.4 percent as a post-2009 high, much over the RBA's 2-3 percent target range.

 

Meanwhile, ANZ Bank analysts forecast Australian Q1 headline inflation of 1.8 percent quarter on quarter, bringing annual inflation to 4.7 percent - the highest level since the September quarter of 2008.

 

"The increase is not just due to increasing gasoline and food prices," the researchers observed. 'Adjusted mean inflation is estimated to be 1.1 percent quarter on quarter and 3.4 percent year on year. This will be the first time since Q1 2010 that core inflation will exceed the top of the RBA's target zone."

 

"Despite this, we continue to expect the RBA to wait until June before raising the cash rate target, with the April meeting minutes indicating that the board would prefer to see both inflation and wage data before making a decision."

How Might CPI Affect the AUD/USD Exchange Rate?

Although the AUD/USD pair is technically bearish, positive inflation data could spark a recovery. The AUD/USD pair did not perform well overnight and was locked below an hourly barrier, sliding to the south on the strength of the US dollar.

 

 image.png

 

However, the daily chart indicates that the price may be due for a correction, and the above analysis highlights the upside structure target areas for a retracement. A positive surprise in the data would almost certainly support the thesis and energise the bulls. If, on the other hand, the data fails to solidify the RBA's prospects for a near-term rate hike, the Aussie is projected to come under pressure and break through the barriers for a test of 0.71 before the 0.7080/90 early February 2022 areas.

Concerning the CPI

The Consumer Price Index, which is published by the Reserve Bank of Australia and republished by the Australian Bureau of Statistics, is a measure of price changes calculated by comparing the retail prices of a representative basket of goods and services. Inflation drags down the purchasing power of the AUD. The CPI is a critical indicator for determining inflation and changes in consumer spending trends. A positive (or bullish) value for the AUD is considered positive, while a negative reading is considered bad (or Bearish).


Suggestion