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On January 12th, the Israeli Prime Ministers Office announced via social media that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated at the start of his weekly government meeting that Israel is closely monitoring the situation in Iran. That afternoon, Netanyahu convened consultations with his senior advisors and several ministers on security issues. The Israeli security cabinet is scheduled to hold a plenary meeting on the 13th.January 12th - Bond investors overall bets on the Federal Reserves policy path and the direction of the US Treasury market in 2026 appear to have room for further expansion. Last Fridays non-farm payroll report showed weaker-than-expected job growth, maintaining market expectations for further Fed rate cuts. This result confirms market expectations that short-term Treasury bonds (most sensitive to monetary policy) will outperform long-term Treasury bonds this year, widening the yield spread between the two. This strategy, known as the "steepening trade," was one of the most popular bond trades for most of last year and continues to work at the start of 2026. Pramod Atrouli, fixed-income portfolio manager at Capital Group, stated, "There are many scenarios over the next 12 to 24 months that are very favorable for the yield curve steepening trade." An analysis of 25 of the largest actively managed core bond funds by JPMorgan shows that, historically, these funds still have a high exposure to this trade.According to Iranian state media, Iran summoned the British ambassador after protesters tore down the Iranian flag from the Iranian embassy building in London.Market news: Home Depot and Google Cloud have jointly launched the Agentic AI tool to help customers and employees transform projects from "how to do it" to "completed".Domestic News: 1. The "Tianma-1000" unmanned transport aircraft successfully completed its maiden flight. 2. Shanxi Province issued consumption subsidies for home appliances and digital smart products in 2026. 3. Hong Kongs new budget will be announced on February 25. 4. China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC): Focusing on cracking down on major, malicious, and key illegal activities, and severely punishing all kinds of malicious illegal activities. 5. Chinese Embassy: Due to scheduling conflicts, Wang Yis planned visit to Somalia on January 9 has been postponed. 6. Wang Yi held a telephone conversation with the Somali Foreign Minister: Opposing Somalilands collusion with the Taiwan authorities to seek independence. 7. National Business Work Conference: In 2026, efforts will be accelerated to cultivate new growth points in service consumption and optimize the implementation of the trade-in policy for consumer goods. International News: 1. A curfew has been imposed in Narathiwat Province in southern Thailand. 2. Israeli forces are reportedly planning a new round of attacks on the Gaza Strip. 3. British officials: The possibility of Britain deploying troops to Greenland cannot be ruled out. 4. South Korean Presidential Office: Will investigate the truth behind North Koreas claim of a "drone intrusion" and release the results promptly. 5. Iranian President: The government endorses peaceful protests and is willing to meet with protest groups. 6. Danish Parliament Chief: It would be "foolish" to go to war over Greenland. 7. Israel demands the EU designate Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a "terrorist organization." 8. US Media: Trump received a briefing on options for striking Iran but has not yet made a final decision; the government is considering multiple options for intervention in Iran. 9. Trump again pressures Cuba, threatening that if Cuba does not reach an agreement soon, it will face a situation of "zero oil and zero funds" flowing into Cuba. 10. Iranian Parliament Speaker warns Trump that any attack would lead Iran to consider Israel and US bases in the region as "legitimate targets" and strike them.

The AUD/JPY Recovers from the Day's Low of 91.30, as the BOJ's Policy is Examined

Daniel Rogers

Apr 28, 2022 10:04

The AUD/JPY pair has drawn offers near 91.60 in the early Tokyo session, as investors await the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) monetary policy decision on Thursday. Since Wednesday, the pair has been swinging within a narrow range of 91.02-91.98 due to market participants' concern regarding the release of the BOJ's interest rate decision.

 

According to market expectations, the BOJ will maintain the status quo by maintaining current interest rates. Japan's inflation rate, at 1.2 percent, is the highest since October 2018 but remains much lower than the aim of 2%. Additionally, Japan's growth rate has not yet returned to pre-pandemic levels, implying that a rate hike decision is ruled out. Thus, an ultra-loose monetary policy will continue to be critical, and additional stimulus packages may be offered.

 

Meanwhile, the odds of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hiking rates have increased, mostly as a result of the Australian Bureau of Statistics reporting annual Australian inflation at 5.1 percent. Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading came in significantly higher than the forecasted 4.6 percent. Additionally, the quarterly CPI came in at 2.1 percent, exceeding expectations of 1.7 percent. The RBA stated at its most recent monetary policy meeting that they are not seeing any meaningful price pressure that would require them to announce a rate hike, and have adopted a data-dependent strategy for additional guidance. Now, the tide may be turning in May in favor of aggressive monetary policy.

AUD/JPY

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