• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
June 28 - According to foreign media reports on the 27th, citing official Iranian data, Irans inflation rate in June rose sharply to 88.6% year-on-year, affected by the Middle East conflict.On June 28, Iran launched a drone strike on Bahrain on Saturday, while simultaneously attacking a ship in the Strait of Hormuz, possibly in response to a US nighttime airstrike. The attacks in the Persian Gulf once again demonstrate that even with a provisional agreement between Iran and the US attempting to reach a final ceasefire, the Iran-Iraq war could still spiral out of control. This comes after the US Central Command stated that it launched strikes against Iran on June 26 in response to the attack on a merchant ship. Meanwhile, the International Maritime Organization announced on Saturday that it would widen the strait near Oman to allow two-way passage. This move could reignite tensions with Tehran, which views the strait as a key bargaining chip in ongoing negotiations with the US.On June 28, CNBC reported that an oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz was attacked by artillery fire on Saturday, the latest development in escalating tensions between the United States and Iran after the two sides reached a provisional agreement aimed at ending hostilities in the region. The UKs Maritime Trade Action Centre stated that a vessel in the strait was hit by an "unidentified flying object," sustaining damage, but the crew was reportedly unharmed. Bahrain also condemned Irans drone attack on Saturday, calling it a "blatant violation" of its sovereignty. These new attacks come as the US and Iran were supposed to be in the midst of a 60-day ceasefire negotiation, discussing ending the war. However, both countries have accused the other of violating the terms of the agreement.Domestic News: 1. my country achieves significant breakthrough in the research and development of superconducting magnets for nuclear fusion reactors. 2. Wuhan Optics Valley introduces a package of new policies for science and technology finance, aiming to have over 100 listed companies. 3. National Bureau of Statistics: Industrial enterprise profits increased by 18.8% year-on-year in the first five months, with the electronics industry contributing over 40%. 4. Vice Premier Zhang Guoqing emphasized during his research visit to Zhejiang the need to strengthen the deep integration of scientific and technological innovation and industrial innovation. International News: 1. US Secretary of State Rubio: Pushing for Trumps visit to India early next year. 2. The US government may lift restrictions on the Anthropic Fable 5 model as early as next week. 3. ECB Executive Board member Schnabel: Price pressures may remain stronger than expected, and further interest rate hikes are anticipated. 4. A magnitude 6 earthquake struck the Hindu Kush region of Afghanistan, with tremors felt in the capital, Kabul. 5. Middle East Situation—① Israeli Army Radio: The Israeli army will reduce its forces in southern Lebanon and withdraw several combat brigades. ② Joint Maritime Information Center: The maritime security threat level in the Taiwan Strait has been raised from "moderate" to "high". ③ Following the Iranian Revolutionary Guards strikes on vessels violating regulations, more ships are seeking permission from Iran. ④ After the framework agreement between Lebanon, Israel, and the US, the Israeli military launched another attack on southern Lebanon. ⑤ Hezbollah: The Israel-Lebanon framework agreement is invalid, and it refuses to link Israeli troop withdrawal with Hezbollahs disarmament. On June 27th, European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board member Schnabel warned that even if a US-Iran peace agreement reopens the Strait of Hormuz, price pressures could still be stronger than expected. Schnabel stated on Saturday that "food, goods, and services inflation face upside risks," and that energy price shocks could spread to a wider range of sectors. While welcoming the recent drop in energy prices due to the prospect of a US-Iran peace agreement, she warned that a ceasefire should not be a reason for complacency. She stated, "Uncertainty remains high, but the announced peace agreement reduces the likelihood of a negative scenario." Nevertheless, oil prices are expected to remain high because the Strait of Hormuz is only gradually reopening. Schnabel, considered the most hawkish member of the Governing Council, reiterated that "the ECB expects further interest rate hikes to bring inflation back to 2% in the medium term." She noted that consumer inflation expectations have risen. However, there are no signs of wage pressures yet.

The AUD/JPY Recovers from the Day's Low of 91.30, as the BOJ's Policy is Examined

Daniel Rogers

Apr 28, 2022 10:04

The AUD/JPY pair has drawn offers near 91.60 in the early Tokyo session, as investors await the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) monetary policy decision on Thursday. Since Wednesday, the pair has been swinging within a narrow range of 91.02-91.98 due to market participants' concern regarding the release of the BOJ's interest rate decision.

 

According to market expectations, the BOJ will maintain the status quo by maintaining current interest rates. Japan's inflation rate, at 1.2 percent, is the highest since October 2018 but remains much lower than the aim of 2%. Additionally, Japan's growth rate has not yet returned to pre-pandemic levels, implying that a rate hike decision is ruled out. Thus, an ultra-loose monetary policy will continue to be critical, and additional stimulus packages may be offered.

 

Meanwhile, the odds of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hiking rates have increased, mostly as a result of the Australian Bureau of Statistics reporting annual Australian inflation at 5.1 percent. Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading came in significantly higher than the forecasted 4.6 percent. Additionally, the quarterly CPI came in at 2.1 percent, exceeding expectations of 1.7 percent. The RBA stated at its most recent monetary policy meeting that they are not seeing any meaningful price pressure that would require them to announce a rate hike, and have adopted a data-dependent strategy for additional guidance. Now, the tide may be turning in May in favor of aggressive monetary policy.

AUD/JPY

 image.png