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July 26 - According to Reuters: A senior Iranian source said that Iran will cease its attacks as long as the United States maintains the current ceasefire; after the United States suspended its attacks on Iran, Irans attitude was "more skeptical than optimistic".1. Monday: ① Data: Germanys July IFO Business Climate Index; UKs July CBI Retail Sales Balance; US June Durable Goods Orders (MoM); US July Dallas Fed Business Activity Index. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: US ADP Employment Change (Weekly) to July 11; US May FHFA House Price Index (MoM); US May S&P/CS 20-City Composite Home Price Index (YoY, Unadjusted); US July Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index; US July Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index. ② Event: Speech by RBA Governor Bullock. 3. 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The USD/CHF exchange rate surges above 1.0060 as the risk-off sentiment regains dominance

Alina Haynes

Oct 20, 2022 15:21

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The USD/CHF pair reversed its minor decline from 1.0063 at the start of the Asian session and resumed its climb. Prior to the risk-on profile losing momentum, the asset exhibited a juggernaut rally to approximately 1.0063.

 

After two consecutive days of gains, a slight dip in the S&P 500 diminished investors' appetite for risk and drove demand for safe-haven assets. The US dollar index (DXY) oscillates slightly below the immediate barrier of 113.00 and appears on the verge of breaking through. In addition, 10-year US Treasury rates have reached a 14-year high of 4.14 percent as bets on a greater rate hike by the Federal Reserve have increased (Fed).

 

Regarding the Swiss franc, investors anticipate the release of the Trade Balance data. It is projected that the economic statistics will climb to 3,558M from 3,425M in the previous report.

 

The road map presented by James Bullard, president of the St. Louis Fed Bank, suggests that the central bank would maintain its hawkish stance for an extended length of time. Fed policymakers expect the central bank to raise interest rates by an additional 75 basis points (bps) when it meets on November 1 and 2, with a second 50 or 75 bps increase likely in December. Before relying on statistics, he highlighted that the Fed must first identify the proper rate level.

 

Despite some signs of slowing in certain areas, the Fed's Beige Book reported that price rises remained elevated. Therefore, price pressures remain a cause of concern. While the price of fuel and transportation has reduced, the cost of inputs for businesses has climbed. Labor demand is low due to firms' unwillingness to raise payrolls in expectation of an economic recession.

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