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On August 16th, according to a report by Axios, citing three sources familiar with the matter, in mid-May, US negotiators encountered a problem when attempting to reach an agreement with Iran to end the war: they were unsure whether the Iranian representatives across the negotiating table truly represented the countrys powerful Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). The report stated that, therefore, Trump administration officials took an unusual approach—bypassing Iranian negotiators and contacting the IRGC leadership directly. The person chosen by the US to oversee this secret communication channel was Nechirvan Barzani, the president of the Iraqi Kurdistan Region. He possessed an extremely rare advantage: the trust of both the US and the IRGC leadership. This incident highlights that a key reason for the difficulties in US-Iran negotiations lies in Washingtons inability to ascertain who truly holds decision-making power in Iran. The US and Iran did ultimately reach a memorandum of understanding, but it quickly collapsed.August 16 (Yonhap) -- Several North Korean soldiers recently crossed the Military Demarcation Line in the eastern region, prompting South Korean forces to fire warning shots. This is reportedly the first time this year that South Korean forces have fired warning shots in response to a North Korean incursion.August 16 - Indonesian National Disaster Management Agency official Abdul Muhari stated on the afternoon of the 16th that the 7.7 magnitude earthquake in Indonesia has so far caused 53 deaths. Since the earthquake, 995 aftershocks have been recorded in the area.Hamas: The delegations meeting in Cairo aimed to ensure the occupiers commitment to the roadmap reached with the Peace Commission.Hamas: The delegation’s meeting in Cairo was part of ongoing communication with the mediators, aimed at informing them of Israel’s violations.

The USD/CHF exchange rate surges above 1.0060 as the risk-off sentiment regains dominance

Alina Haynes

Oct 20, 2022 15:21

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The USD/CHF pair reversed its minor decline from 1.0063 at the start of the Asian session and resumed its climb. Prior to the risk-on profile losing momentum, the asset exhibited a juggernaut rally to approximately 1.0063.

 

After two consecutive days of gains, a slight dip in the S&P 500 diminished investors' appetite for risk and drove demand for safe-haven assets. The US dollar index (DXY) oscillates slightly below the immediate barrier of 113.00 and appears on the verge of breaking through. In addition, 10-year US Treasury rates have reached a 14-year high of 4.14 percent as bets on a greater rate hike by the Federal Reserve have increased (Fed).

 

Regarding the Swiss franc, investors anticipate the release of the Trade Balance data. It is projected that the economic statistics will climb to 3,558M from 3,425M in the previous report.

 

The road map presented by James Bullard, president of the St. Louis Fed Bank, suggests that the central bank would maintain its hawkish stance for an extended length of time. Fed policymakers expect the central bank to raise interest rates by an additional 75 basis points (bps) when it meets on November 1 and 2, with a second 50 or 75 bps increase likely in December. Before relying on statistics, he highlighted that the Fed must first identify the proper rate level.

 

Despite some signs of slowing in certain areas, the Fed's Beige Book reported that price rises remained elevated. Therefore, price pressures remain a cause of concern. While the price of fuel and transportation has reduced, the cost of inputs for businesses has climbed. Labor demand is low due to firms' unwillingness to raise payrolls in expectation of an economic recession.