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The Hang Seng Tech Index has turned positive after falling more than 2% earlier; the Hang Seng Index is currently up 0.1%.On July 14, the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a statement on social media saying that it had attacked multiple weapons support warehouses, a satellite communications center, and a U.S. military base in Bahrain with missiles and drones.The yield on Japans two-year government bonds fell 1.0 basis point to 1.435%. The yield on Japans 20-year government bonds fell 4 basis points to 3.705%.July 14th Futures News Commentary by Guangda Futures: On July 13th, COMEX gold prices plummeted during the session, closing at $4008.7 per ounce, a drop of 2.55%. Domestic SHFE gold prices fluctuated and declined in the night session, closing at 873.26 yuan per gram, a drop of 2.12%. 1. The market refocused on Middle East geopolitics. With the resumption of hostilities between the US and Iran and no signs of cessation, the risk of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz is increasing. Oil prices rebounded rapidly, and the market returned to trading based on the simultaneous rise in inflation stickiness and interest rate expectations, further suppressing precious metals. According to a report in the New York Times on the 13th, Trump stated on Monday that he had notified Congress of the renewed outbreak of hostilities with Iran and that the US would resume its naval blockade against Iran. Market risk appetite was suppressed, and gold prices continued to fall. Furthermore, the weakening AI narrative further compressed market liquidity, suppressing gold price movements. 2. Regarding the Federal Reserve, Fed Governor Waller stated that if core inflation remains high, the Fed may need to raise interest rates, with the probability of a July rate hike slightly increasing. This week will see the release of US June CPI and PPI data, coinciding with Warshs first congressional appearance. The market is concerned that stronger-than-expected data could reinforce Warshs hawkish rhetoric. Overall, golds price action has been characterized by a weak decline and subsequent correction, indicating that its current bottoming-out consolidation is not stable. With geopolitical factors and Fed policy repeatedly intertwined, there is significant divergence between bulls and bears, requiring continued caution.The State Council Information Office will hold a press conference in ten minutes on the import and export situation in the first half of 2026.

The EUR/GBP exchange rate recovers from 0.86 before to German GDP

Alina Haynes

Oct 28, 2022 15:29

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During the Tokyo session, the EUR/GBP exchange rate of 0.8610 attracted increased interest. Prior to the announcement of German Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data, the asset broke above a tight consolidation between 0.8610 and 0.8620.

 

The risk profile has detected a comeback as S&P500 futures have reduced their gains. Additionally, the US dollar index (DXY) has declined to roughly 110.35.

 

Following Thursday's announcement of monetary policy by the European Central Bank, bulls of common currencies faced a sharp sell-off (ECB). Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank (ECB), announced a 75 basis point (bps) consecutive rate increase and a push of interest rates to 1.5%, the highest level since 2009, in order to combat the record inflation jump and ensure a speedy return to 2%.

 

The less forceful tone of policy directives hurt euro bulls. Christine Lagarde appeared dovish during the press conference, but Commerzbank analysts still forecast a big rate hike at the December meeting.

 

The future focus of investors will be on German Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures. The consensus predicts that the annual GDP growth rate for the third quarter will be 0.8%, down from the previous reading of 1.7%. Quarterly GDP data will demonstrate a 0.2% drop.

 

In order to establish financial stability, the novel UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has shifted his whole attention to lowering the pile of debt. According to the Financial Times, Sunak is proposing tax increases and budget cuts of up to 50 billion GBP, which is consistent with the plan of the Bank of England (BOE). Next week, investors will focus only on the monetary policy of the Bank of England. As the first interest rate decision following Sunak's candidacy as British prime minister, the monetary policy decision will have a significant impact.


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