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Hong Kong-listed auto stocks continued to rise in the afternoon, with Li Auto (02015.HK) and BYD (01211.HK) up more than 4%, NIO (09866.HK) up nearly 4%, and XPeng (09868.HK) and Great Wall Motor (02333.HK) up more than 2%.On January 28th, Hengrui Medicine announced that its subsidiary, Shandong Shengdi Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., received a "Drug Clinical Trial Approval Notice" from the National Medical Products Administration, authorizing the company to conduct a Phase III clinical trial of its independently developed Class 1 innovative oral small molecule GLP-1 receptor agonist, HRS-7535 tablets, for the indication of hypertension complicated by overweight or obesity. HRS-7535 tablets are a novel oral small molecule GLP-1R agonist; currently, there are no other oral small molecule GLP-1R agonists on the market globally.ASMLs stock price rose 7.3% on the TRADEGATE platform compared to yesterdays closing price.On January 28th, according to futures market news: 1. WTI crude oil futures trading volume was 1,070,018 lots, an increase of 331,219 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 2,036,077 lots, an increase of 32,401 lots from the previous trading day. 2. Brent crude oil futures trading volume was 208,054 lots, an increase of 55,495 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 267,545 lots, an increase of 10,832 lots from the previous trading day. 3. Natural gas futures trading volume was 923,107 lots, a decrease of 177,024 lots from the previous trading day. Open interest was 1,626,209 lots, a decrease of 7,743 lots from the previous trading day.1. Nomura: Powell is not expected to give a clear signal on future rate cuts, and may reiterate that current policy is "in good shape," adding that current interest rates are "within a neutral and reasonable range." 2. Morgan Stanley: Powell is expected to rely on recent strong economic data, stable hiring, and declining unemployment to justify a pause in rate cuts. 3. Bank of America: Powell is expected to use cautious language, and investors will closely watch his assessment of the December unemployment rate decline and his view on whether strong economic growth is consistent with higher neutral interest rates. 4. Rabobank: Powell may be asked about forward guidance such as the timing and conditions of the next rate cut. He will likely use the default phrase of "meeting-by-meeting" and "data-dependent," but may further elaborate on the criteria for rate cuts. Powell may also be asked about his court subpoena, and he may be more hawkish than in previous press conferences. 5. Allianz: Market focus will be on the strength of Powells response to recent government challenges to the Feds independence, which may have a greater market impact than the interest rate decision itself. 6. First US Financial: Powell is likely to emphasize that last years cumulative rate cuts have given the Fed more room for maneuver, while closely monitoring the latest data and broader funding conditions. Further rate cuts are still possible later this year if inflation continues to moderate or economic growth slows more than expected.

Despite a reduction in oil prices, USD/CAD falls to 1.3550; US PCE inflation is forecast

Daniel Rogers

Oct 28, 2022 15:25

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During Friday's Asian session, the USD/CAD accepts bids to retest the intraday low near 1.3550, reversing the previous day's recovery from the monthly low.

 

Thus, the Loonie pair disregards the recent decline in Canada's key export item, WTI crude oil, as the US Dollar Index (DXY) consolidates its gains from the previous day in response to the recent decline in hawkish Fed wagers.

 

Despite this, the DXY dips to 110.50, following Thursday's recovery from the five-week low, as Fed hawks receive contradictory information regarding the overall strength of US data. In the third quarter, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the United States climbed 2.6% on an annualized basis, exceeding estimates (Q3). Nevertheless, a fifth consecutive decline in private consumption presented a challenge to Fed hawks, as it demonstrated that policymakers are gradually approaching the target of slowing down private domestic demand. This may favor easy rate hike discussions for December at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting the following week.

 

Notable obstacles to the US dollar are the sluggish US Treasury yields and the mood of risk aversion. US 10-year Treasury rates reached a two-week low on Thursday and are heading for their first weekly loss in eleven weeks, which encouraged equities to enjoy a decent week despite the most recent decline in the statistics.

 

At home, the Bank of Canada's (BOC) 0.50 percent rate hike, as opposed to the 0.75 percent expected, joins the optimism of officials to keep USD/CAD bears upbeat.

 

The US Core PCE Price Index for September, which is expected to increase to 5.2% from 4.9% previously, will be crucial for the future direction of the USD/CAD pair. A better reading of the Fed's preferred inflation indicator might increase interest rates and hawkish Fed bets, which will benefit pair buyers.

 

In conjunction with the pair's prolonged trading below the 21-DMA barrier near 1.3700, bearish MACD signals encourage sellers. To imply more losses, however, a daily close below the support zone of 1.3505-3495 is required.


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