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U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessant: Government debt plans are at appropriate levels for several quarters.U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson: Looking forward to communicating with investors on market conditions in the Treasury market and the global economy.On February 25, U.S. consumer confidence fell sharply in February, and pessimism about the future returned. According to the Conference Board, the consumer confidence index fell 7 points to 98.3 in February, and the expectations index fell 9.3 points to 72.9. This is the first time since June 2024 that the expectations index has fallen below the critical value of 80, which indicates an economic recession. "Consumer confidence posted its largest monthly drop since August 2021 in February, marking the third straight month of month-over-month declines, bringing the index to the bottom of its range since 2022," said Stephanie Guichard, senior economist at The Conference Board. "Of the five components, only consumers assessment of current business conditions improved slightly. Consumers became pessimistic about future business conditions and were less optimistic about future income. Pessimism about future employment prospects climbed to a ten-month high." Guichard added, "The 12-month average inflation expectations surged to 6% in February from 5.2%. Mentions of inflation and general prices in correspondence remain high, but the focus has shifted to other topics. Mentions of trade and tariffs rose sharply, returning to levels not seen since 2019."U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson: As market confidence in the U.S. governments long-term fiscal situation increases, the (Treasury bond) term premium should narrow.U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessant: Pay special attention to the 10-year Treasury yield. Trumps policies should be able to lower this yield.

European Open: Singapore's Central Bank Tightens Policy But The European Central Bank Is Unlikely to Follow Suit

Skylar Shaw

Apr 18, 2022 11:08


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  • Australia's ASX 200 index rose by 43.8 points (0.59%) and currently trades at 7,522.80

  • Japan's Nikkei 225 index has risen by 310.28 points (1.16%) and currently trades at 27,153.77

  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng index has risen by 65.17 points (0.3%) and currently trades at 21,439.54

  • China's A50 Index has risen by 131.5 points (0.95%) and currently trades at 13,953.66

UK and Europe:

  • UK's FTSE 100 futures are currently up 12.5 points (0.17%), the cash market is currently estimated to open at 7,593.30

  • Euro STOXX 50 futures are currently up 16 points (0.43%), the cash market is currently estimated to open at 3,843.96

  • Germany's DAX futures are currently up 62 points (0.44%), the cash market is currently estimated to open at 14,138.44

US Futures:

  • DJI futures are currently up 21 points (0.06%)

  • S&P 500 futures are currently up 38 points (0.27%)

  • Nasdaq 100 futures are currently up 3.75 points (0.08%)


Asian stocks advanced for a second day, ahead of a four-day weekend in parts of the West. Given the long weekend, traders may want to be nimble in order to avoid getting caught up in what may be volatile news when major traders close their books. However, attitude looks to be positive, with futures markets for European and US indexes indicating a higher open.


The unemployment rate in Australia stayed at 4%, despite the fact that headline job growth was just 17.9 thousand, since part-time employment declined by -59.5 thousand. In comparison to its main counterparts, the Australian dollar is practically unchanged.

MAS Is The Most Recent Bank to Tighten Its Policies

Singapore's central bank tightened policy today for the third time in six months, raising the NEER (Nominal Effective Exchange Pace) and marginally boosting the rate of appreciation of its policy band.


It's the first time the central bank has utilized both instruments at the same time in a year. Following the decision, the Singapore currency rose, sending USD/SGD down at -0.6 percent, its most bearish day in two years.

ECB and TCMB up next

At 12:00 BST, Turkey's Central Bank will publish its monetary policy decision, however we don't anticipate any fireworks given the central bank's intentions for 'liraization.' They've kept rates at 14 percent for each meeting this year, which is a step in the right way after decreasing rates in the fourth quarter of last year despite 30 percent inflation.


While inflationary pressures remain throughout Europe, the ECB is unlikely to intervene today. They altered their bond purchases for Q2 during last month's meeting, and their intentions for Q3 have yet to be published. The purpose of today's meeting is to provide forward guidance and clarity on when bond purchases will end, since rates cannot increase until bond purchases end. According to OIS, a 25 basis point raise by the end of the year has already been factored in.

Potential head and shoulders top on EUR/CAD

Given that we're approaching the ECB meeting ahead of a four-day weekend, there's a good possibility we won't see any sustained collapse today. If there is no 'event,' we'll keep a watch on the market's ability to breach critical support next week, as a break below 1.3650 confirms a head and shoulders top on this period and puts 1.3600 into focus.

FTSE: Market Internals

FTSE 350: 4242.5 (0.05%) 13 April 2022

  • 157 (44.73%) stocks advanced and 184 (52.42%) declined

  • 10 stocks rose to a new 52-week high, 9 fell to new lows

  • 33.9% of stocks closed above their 200-day average

  • 88.6% of stocks closed above their 50-day average

  • 6.27% of stocks closed above their 20-day average

Outperformers:

  • + 6.28% - Hochschild Mining PLC (HOCM.L)

  • + 5.78% - Oxford Instruments PLC (OXIG.L)

  • + 5.45% - Baltic Classifieds Group PLC (BCG.L)

Underperformers:

  • -11.65% - Darktrace PLC (DARK.L)

  • -6.67% - Dr Martens PLC (DOCS.L)

  • -4.96% - Trustpilot Group PLC (TRST.L)